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North Carolina vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-74
62-24 32-50
Position#41
Record17-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#168
Record13-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · North Carolina v Florida State
30 Dec 2025
NORT79
FLOR66
14 Mar 2024
NORT92
FLOR67
02 Dec 2023
NORT78
FLOR70
12 Feb 2022
NORT94
FLOR74
27 Feb 2021
NORT78
FLOR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A23/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
67-87
67
87
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
43-33
42-26
46-39
22-49
35-36
36-46
40-52
37-33
41-35
33-31
25-16
56-31
44-49
36-35
38-39
28-39
39-48
30-25
49-52
151.5Avg total
76.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.172.8150.9+5.271%
Season at home (15)77.767.9145.7+9.880%
Season away (9)78.781.0159.7-2.356%
Last 10 (10)76.774.8151.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)78.874.8153.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.392.7166.0-19.30%
vs Similar (15)72.972.1145.0+0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.068.2154.2+17.8100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
H19/01
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
37-35
36-37
40-34
33-38
34-29
48-38
38-35
43-19
18-41
33-44
28-31
31-39
41-46
36-45
33-30
21-25
39-43
20-21
31-35
138.5Avg total
68.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.269.2140.4+2.057%
Season at home (14)74.966.0140.9+8.971%
Season away (9)65.474.2139.7-8.833%
Last 10 (10)68.070.5138.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)62.671.8134.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.175.0141.1-8.940%
vs Similar (16)73.866.1139.9+7.869%
vs Weaker (4)74.565.2139.8+9.250%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.0-2.0
North CarolinaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A08/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.269.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.733.070.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (12)32.335.968.2-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.069.1+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.268.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.740.070.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (15)32.134.566.7-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.132.273.3+8.875%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/01
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H10/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.367.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.729.765.4+6.168%-
Last 30 away (11)33.036.969.9-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.566.4-0.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.234.863.0-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.334.165.4-2.830%-
vs Similar (16)36.331.467.8+4.975%-
vs Weaker (4)37.031.568.5+5.550%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
3
Florida State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/22AClemson79-77
05/02/22HDuke67-87
02/02/22ALouisville90-83 OT
29/01/22HNC State100-80
27/01/22HBoston College58-47
25/01/22HVirginia Tech78-68
23/01/22AWake Forest76-98
19/01/22AMiami (FL)57-85
16/01/22HGeorgia Tech88-65
08/01/22HVirginia74-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/22HPittsburgh51-56
05/02/22HWake Forest60-68
03/02/22AClemson69-75
29/01/22HVirginia Tech72-85
27/01/22AGeorgia Tech61-75
22/01/22AMiami (FL)61-60
20/01/22HNorth Florida86-73
19/01/22HDuke79-78 OT
15/01/22ASyracuse76-71
12/01/22HMiami (FL)65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %71%80%56%
Points / game78.177.778.7
Allowed / game72.867.981.0
Point differential+5.2+9.8-2.3
Avg total150.9145.7159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%73%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%11%
Florida State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL57%
HomeWWLLL71%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %57%71%33%
Points / game71.274.965.4
Allowed / game69.266.074.2
Point differential+2.0+8.9-8.8
Avg total140.4140.9139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2420483%80.264.9+15.3
2 Wake Forest2520580%78.968.2+10.6
3 SMU Mustangs2217577%75.667.8+7.8
4 North Carolina2417771%78.172.8+5.2
5 Notre Dame2417771%69.865.2+4.6
6 Miami (FL)2417771%74.871.2+3.5
7 Virginia2415962%63.559.9+3.6
8 Virginia Tech24141058%70.962.0+8.9
9 Stanford24141058%67.768.8-1.1
10 Florida State23131057%71.269.2+2.0
11 Syracuse24131154%78.274.7+3.5
12 Clemson24121250%72.568.3+4.2
13 Louisville24111346%68.569.7-1.2
14 Boston College2291341%65.166.3-1.2
15 NC State25101540%73.675.0-1.4
16 California25101540%64.066.2-2.2
17 Georgia Tech2391439%69.370.3-1.0
18 Pittsburgh2591636%61.666.4-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina623294
Florida State245074
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