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North Dakota St vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-89
39-41 46-48
Position#85
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game70.2
North Dakota St
USA
vs
St. Thomas (Minn.) 🏆
USA
Position#57
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)
17 Jan 2026
NORT68
ST. 65
02 Jan 2025
NORT85
ST. 89
22 Feb 2024
NORT64
ST. 50
23 Feb 2023
NORT73
ST. 64
25 Jan 2022
NORT77
ST. 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MN-Crookston
#376
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A27/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
83-63
83
63
+20
A28/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A05/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H08/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A10/12
NCAA
UW-Stout
#467
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H15/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H24/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
31-32
44-50
41-35
33-32
40-29
36-24
47-39
42-34
35-39
37-34
45-36
44-23
27-45
55-21
36-41
49-28
49-34
51-18
43-42
151.6Avg total
83.4Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.770.2150.9+10.573%
Season at home (7)85.164.3149.4+20.986%
Season away (8)76.975.4152.2+1.562%
Last 10 (10)83.468.2151.6+15.290%
Last 5 (5)87.264.4151.6+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.669.6134.2-5.040%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.376.3153.5+1.053%
vs Weaker (7)76.968.4145.3+8.471%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Crown College
#535
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H15/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A21/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-43
40-38
53-21
38-44
22-32
43-37
47-25
51-51
47-32
40-43
40-39
48-42
36-34
41-37
53-29
47-32
46-20
47-48
36-26
37-47
157.9Avg total
85.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.172.7157.7+12.467%
Season at home (7)90.670.7161.3+19.986%
Season away (8)80.274.4154.6+5.950%
Last 10 (10)85.172.8157.9+12.370%
Last 5 (5)87.472.4159.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.871.0143.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (21)77.971.8149.6+6.162%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.5+13.51st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.3+1.3
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.5+13.51st half: +11.2+11.22nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.3+1.3
North Dakota StSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MN-Crookston
#376
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A27/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A28/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A05/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A10/12
NCAA
UW-Stout
#467
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H15/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H24/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
42.7Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.333.169.4+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.131.968.9+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)35.634.269.8+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)42.729.271.9+13.590%-
Last 5 (5)47.224.872.0+22.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.436.065.4-6.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.735.370.0-0.547%-
vs Weaker (7)41.029.070.0+12.086%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
53-21
53
21
+32
A23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A05/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Crown College
#535
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A21/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A29/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
41.3Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.631.470.0+7.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.432.073.4+9.471%-
Last 30 away (16)36.130.967.0+5.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.330.171.4+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.229.671.8+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.531.367.8+5.250%-
vs Weaker (21)37.631.969.4+5.762%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Dakota St wins
3
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St68-58
23/02/24North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)64-50
26/01/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St79-66
24/02/23North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)73-64
21/12/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St78-68
13/02/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St64-75
26/01/22North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)77-56
North Dakota Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HCSU Bakersfield94-60
15/12/24HWestern Michigan98-62
13/12/24HUW-Stout91-62
10/12/24AButler71-68
08/12/24HNorthern Colorado82-70
05/12/24AWeber State77-73
28/11/24AUtah Valley State83-63
27/11/24AWest Georgia73-61
27/11/24ASamford98-103 OT
22/11/24HMN-Crookston67-60
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AUC Riverside79-81 OT
21/12/24ABowling Green93-68
15/12/24HCrown College100-61
14/12/24HWestern Michigan77-71
07/12/24HMontana88-81
05/12/24ANorthern Colorado87-75
03/12/24HChicago State98-76
24/11/24AWisc. Milwaukee65-69
23/11/24APortland State91-65
22/11/24HWofford73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota St
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%86%62%
Points / game80.785.176.9
Allowed / game70.264.375.4
Point differential+10.5+20.9+1.5
Avg total150.9149.4152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %13%0%25%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game85.190.680.2
Allowed / game72.770.774.4
Point differential+12.4+19.9+5.9
Avg total157.7161.3154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St1511473%80.770.2+10.5
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)1510567%85.172.7+12.4
3 South Dakota St.159660%77.971.1+6.8
4 South Dakota Coyotes159660%86.680.0+6.6
5 UMKC158753%77.265.1+12.1
6 North Dakota156940%75.175.3-0.2
7 Denver156940%75.779.0-3.3
8 Nebraska O.156940%70.173.9-3.8
9 Oral Roberts134931%74.074.6-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Dakota St394685
St. Thomas (Minn.)414889
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