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North Dakota St vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-65
34-35 34-30
Position#30
Record15-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game70.2
North Dakota St 🏆
USA
vs
St. Thomas (Minn.)
USA
Position#42
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)
17 Jan 2026
NORT68
ST. 65
02 Jan 2025
NORT85
ST. 89
22 Feb 2024
NORT64
ST. 50
23 Feb 2023
NORT73
ST. 64
25 Jan 2022
NORT77
ST. 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A12/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A13/12
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#502
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H16/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A23/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H31/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H03/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A10/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
40-39
55-41
44-53
57-33
44-34
33-40
40-34
36-32
30-44
38-30
46-31
32-37
25-20
54-34
43-39
32-44
46-32
35-23
41-42
156.5Avg total
83.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.370.2151.6+11.175%
Season at home (10)85.767.0152.7+18.790%
Season away (10)77.073.5150.5+3.560%
Last 10 (10)83.373.2156.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)82.870.4153.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.473.0143.4-2.640%
vs Weaker (22)80.075.4155.4+4.668%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A11/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
37-42
47-23
41-42
35-31
45-25
46-25
34-34
41-38
51-40
55-36
50-23
43-37
49-51
53-31
46-55
43-40
39-31
37-36
54-44
160.7Avg total
88.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.972.4155.3+10.579%
Season at home (10)87.969.3157.2+18.6100%
Season away (9)77.375.9153.2+1.456%
Last 10 (10)88.372.4160.7+15.990%
Last 5 (5)93.876.8170.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.672.6146.2+1.060%
vs Weaker (23)82.275.1157.3+7.174%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
North Dakota StSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A12/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A13/12
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#502
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A23/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H15/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
41.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.671.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.233.272.4+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)37.233.971.1+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.475.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.671.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.435.869.2-2.440%-
vs Weaker (22)37.833.671.4+4.268%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/01
NCAA
77.4Avg total
43.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.933.173.0+6.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.930.873.7+12.288%-
Last 30 away (14)36.435.772.1+0.771%-
Last 10 (10)43.733.777.4+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.082.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.632.267.8+3.480%-
vs Weaker (23)40.133.773.8+6.478%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Dakota St wins
5
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St79-62
03/01/25North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)85-89
10/03/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St68-58
23/02/24North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)64-50
26/01/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St79-66
24/02/23North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)73-64
21/12/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St78-68
13/02/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota St64-75
26/01/22North Dakota St v St. Thomas (Minn.)77-56
North Dakota Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HSouth Dakota St.76-65
10/01/26ANebraska O.78-76
09/01/26AUMKC97-73
03/01/26HOral Roberts79-77 OT
31/12/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes84-61
23/12/25AUTEP66-76
22/12/25HUC Irvine73-74
16/12/25HMN-Crookston101-67
13/12/25ADrake99-94
12/12/25ACSU Bakersfield80-69
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26ANorth Dakota91-80
11/01/26AOral Roberts82-71
08/01/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes99-86
04/01/26HDenver92-88
28/12/25HNorth Central Rams105-59
21/12/25HUC Riverside92-78
13/12/25AUNC Asheville80-59
12/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-56
07/12/25HWeber State88-65
04/12/25AMontana State74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game81.385.777.0
Allowed / game70.267.073.5
Point differential+11.1+18.7+3.5
Avg total151.6152.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%100%56%
Points / game82.987.977.3
Allowed / game72.469.375.9
Point differential+10.5+18.6+1.4
Avg total155.3157.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%70%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1915479%82.972.4+10.5
2 North Dakota St2015575%81.370.2+11.1
3 South Dakota Coyotes1910953%83.282.6+0.6
4 South Dakota St.1991047%76.072.6+3.4
5 Denver2091145%84.385.0-0.8
6 North Dakota2191243%76.076.8-0.8
7 Nebraska O.1981142%76.877.7-0.9
8 Oral Roberts1951426%73.777.8-4.1
9 UMKC1941521%72.883.1-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Dakota St343468
St. Thomas (Minn.)353065
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