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UMKC vs North Dakota St Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-97
34-54 39-43
Position#368
Record4-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#30
Record12-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMKC v North Dakota St
08 Jan 2026
UMKC73
NORT97
06 Feb 2025
UMKC72
NORT78
11 Jan 2024
UMKC91
NORT92
16 Feb 2023
UMKC58
NORT69
20 Jan 2022
UMKC80
NORT77
30 Jan 2021
UMKC49
NORT47
29 Jan 2021
UMKC67
NORT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A29/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H04/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Spurgeon College
#451
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H14/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-35
38-47
29-25
30-43
28-47
38-43
31-32
29-32
48-32
54-43
27-54
40-35
44-48
35-43
49-50
42-28
28-41
46-46
32-28
41-38
152.2Avg total
73.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.881.4153.1-9.625%
Season at home (6)80.577.3157.8+3.250%
Season away (10)66.583.8150.3-17.310%
Last 10 (10)73.279.0152.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)76.882.2159.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.382.7150.0-15.48%
vs Similar (8)65.571.6137.1-6.10%
vs Weaker (6)70.766.5137.2+4.250%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A04/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H07/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A12/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A13/12
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#502
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H16/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A23/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H31/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
35-31
34-31
47-41
30-22
39-46
40-30
40-39
55-41
44-53
57-33
44-34
33-40
40-34
36-32
30-44
38-30
46-31
32-37
25-20
155.5Avg total
81.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.970.1151.0+10.971%
Season at home (9)86.867.2154.0+19.689%
Season away (8)74.473.2147.6+1.150%
Last 10 (10)81.274.3155.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)80.671.0151.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.976.3157.2+4.667%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
UMKCNorth Dakota St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H04/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Spurgeon College
#451
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A04/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
33.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.637.570.0-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.233.869.0+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)30.540.370.8-9.812%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.273.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.280.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.741.673.3-9.915%-
vs Similar (8)30.135.865.9-5.612%-
vs Weaker (6)32.029.361.3+2.767%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H07/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A12/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A13/12
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#502
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A23/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
39.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.072.5+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.234.273.4+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.633.871.4+3.871%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.572.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.473.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.535.769.2-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.334.172.5+4.271%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UMKC wins
6
North Dakota St wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25UMKC v North Dakota St72-78
17/01/25North Dakota St v UMKC71-64
09/02/24North Dakota St v UMKC82-78 OT
12/01/24UMKC v North Dakota St91-92 OT
17/02/23UMKC v North Dakota St58-69
21/01/23North Dakota St v UMKC73-75
19/02/22North Dakota St v UMKC71-85
21/01/22UMKC v North Dakota St80-77
08/03/21North Dakota St v UMKC69-65
31/01/21UMKC v North Dakota St49-47
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ANebraska O.73-66
31/12/25ADenver74-87
28/12/25HMcPherson91-78
19/12/25AOklahoma State79-91
17/12/25AOklahoma67-89
14/12/25HSpurgeon College102-75
11/12/25HWeber State60-64
06/12/25AEast. Washington66-90
04/12/25HIdaho State59-68
29/11/25AWeber State61-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HOral Roberts79-77 OT
31/12/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes84-61
23/12/25AUTEP66-76
22/12/25HUC Irvine73-74
16/12/25HMN-Crookston101-67
13/12/25ADrake99-94
12/12/25ACSU Bakersfield80-69
07/12/25HNorthern Arizona69-68
04/12/25AMontana81-72
28/11/25AArkansas State80-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %25%50%10%
Points / game71.880.566.5
Allowed / game81.477.383.8
Point differential-9.6+3.2-17.3
Avg total153.1157.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Dakota St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game80.986.874.4
Allowed / game70.167.273.2
Point differential+10.9+19.6+1.1
Avg total151.0154.0147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1713476%82.572.1+10.4
2 North Dakota St1712571%80.970.1+10.9
3 South Dakota St.178947%76.072.0+4.0
4 Denver178947%84.585.0-0.5
5 South Dakota Coyotes178947%82.483.2-0.8
6 North Dakota1881044%75.375.1+0.2
7 Nebraska O.1771041%76.177.6-1.5
8 Oral Roberts1751229%73.176.4-3.3
9 UMKC1641225%71.881.4-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMKC343973
North Dakota St544397
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