North Macedonia vs Luxembourg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 79-70

25-17 19-15 15-17 20-21

Position#2

Record2-0

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game62.5

North Macedonia 🏆

Luxembourg

Position#10

Record2-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game92.0

Allowed / game83.5

EuroBasketRound 3· Sports hall City Park

Other2029

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Macedonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Luxembourg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lithuania

67-82

-15

H21/11

EuroBasket

Lithuania

72-94

-22

A24/11

EuroBasket

Estonia

#10

65-84

-19

A21/02

EuroBasket

Poland

#24

88-74

+14

H24/02

EuroBasket

Romania

#34

72-80

-8

H02/08

World Cup

Hungary

#38

58-96

-38

A09/08

World Cup

Romania

#34

66-79

-13

A13/08

World Cup

Hungary

#38

82-75

H20/08

World Cup

Azerbaijan

#12

87-49

+38

H27/11

EuroBasket

Ireland

#11

88-76

+12

A30/11

EuroBasket

9-23

18-21

16-20

24-18

27-23

19-20

16-21

10-30

17-22

22-16

11-20

15-26

26-19

19-20

22-16

21-19

18-17

14-14

25-24

15-25

18-19

19-34

14-17

7-26

19-26

15-19

15-14

17-20

23-15

22-17

19-18

18-25

22-13

18-8

23-16

24-12

20-27

22-13

19-22

27-14

153.4Avg total

74.5Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	87.5	62.5	150.0	+25.0	100%
Season at home (1)	87.0	49.0	136.0	+38.0	100%
Season away (1)	88.0	76.0	164.0	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	78.9	153.4	-4.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	75.0	151.2	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	67.1	80.5	147.5	-13.4	20%
vs Similar (6)	70.3	72.3	142.7	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	81.6	65.3	146.9	+16.2	89%

This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Croatia

62-98

-36

A22/07

EuroBasket

Ireland

#29

76-96

-20

H26/07

EuroBasket

Croatia

79-91

-12

H02/08

EuroBasket

Ireland

#29

76-79

-3

A05/08

EuroBasket

Romania

#34

76-72 OT

A22/02

World Cup

Norway

#75

58-72

-14

H25/02

World Cup

Romania

#34

78-84

-6

H24/11

World Cup

Norway

#75

59-68

-9

A20/02

World Cup

Ireland

#11

89-77

+12

H27/11

EuroBasket

Azerbaijan

#12

95-90

A30/11

EuroBasket

14-31

20-26

12-23

16-18

21-23

16-17

22-30

17-26

12-25

25-25

18-24

24-17

20-29

23-12

20-18

13-20

17-20

10-19

11-16

29-12

9-24

23-19

20-8

6-21

12-23

19-23

18-19

29-19

21-15

17-15

8-22

13-16

26-11

21-26

17-24

25-16

25-18

32-26

25-17

13-29

157.5Avg total

74.8Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	92.0	83.5	175.5	+8.5	100%
Season at home (1)	89.0	77.0	166.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (1)	95.0	90.0	185.0	+5.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	82.7	157.5	-7.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	78.2	154.0	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	74.1	88.5	162.6	-14.4	12%
vs Similar (9)	81.9	82.0	163.9	-0.1	44%
vs Weaker (4)	76.8	80.2	157.0	-3.5	50%

This opponent (North Macedonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

North MacedoniaLuxembourg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.8	38.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.3	38.5	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.5	21.1	39.5	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.7	17.7	34.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.3	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.9	39.6	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.6	23.2	40.8	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.0	36.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.9	19.8	35.7	-3.9	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.4	16.4	36.9	+4.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.5	19.2	43.8	+5.2	100%	-

North MacedoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lithuania

27-44

-17

H21/11

EuroBasket

Lithuania

46-43

A24/11

EuroBasket

Estonia

#10

39-38

A21/02

EuroBasket

Poland

#24

45-39

H24/02

EuroBasket

Romania

#34

32-31

H02/08

World Cup

Hungary

#38

37-53

-16

A09/08

World Cup

Romania

#34

34-45

-11

A13/08

World Cup

Hungary

#38

45-32

+13

H20/08

World Cup

Azerbaijan

#12

40-21

+19

H27/11

EuroBasket

Ireland

#11

42-40

A30/11

EuroBasket

77.3Avg total

38.7Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	37.9	74.5	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	37.3	73.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	38.4	75.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.6	77.3	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.4	40.9	75.3	-6.5	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	33.7	69.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.0	35.7	76.7	+5.3	67%	-

This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LuxembourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Croatia

34-57

-23

A22/07

EuroBasket

Ireland

#29

37-40

-3

H26/07

EuroBasket

Croatia

37-50

-13

H02/08

EuroBasket

Ireland

#29

43-41

A05/08

EuroBasket

Romania

#34

27-39

-12

A22/02

World Cup

Norway

#75

32-43

-11

H25/02

World Cup

Romania

#34

31-46

-15

H24/11

World Cup

Norway

#75

38-30

A20/02

World Cup

Ireland

#11

47-37

+10

H27/11

EuroBasket

Azerbaijan

#12

57-44

+13

A30/11

EuroBasket

81.0Avg total

38.3Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	43.1	82.1	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	44.7	84.4	-4.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	41.4	79.4	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	42.7	81.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.9	45.4	81.4	-9.5	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.3	40.8	84.1	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	75%	-

This opponent (North Macedonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.1	18.3	33.5	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.5	18.2	34.7	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	14.7	21.7	36.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.2	15.7	33.9	+2.6	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	21.4	40.2	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.9	40.2	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-5.0	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	17.3	35.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.1	21.4	37.5	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.3	14.0	36.3	+8.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.8	19.9	39.8	-0.1	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	13.2	22.0	35.2	-8.8	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	36.2	71.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	35.2	71.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	37.2	70.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	40.3	76.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.8	73.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	32.7	39.6	72.3	-6.9	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	32.8	37.5	70.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.6	29.7	70.2	+10.9	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	41.1	79.9	-2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	43.0	78.4	-7.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.5	75.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.1	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.5	40.2	72.8	-7.8	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

North Macedoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

North Macedonia: 73.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.8	52.8%	-	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.2	30.5%	-	24.6
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.9	72.5%	-	12.9

They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Luxembourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luxembourg: 74.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	19.8	49.8%	-	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.1	27.9%	-	21.4
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.0	70.4%	-	14.0

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.6	17.0	53.8%	-	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	7.5	28.0%	-	22.5
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.4	69.8%	-	13.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.1	53.5%	-	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.5	37.2%	-	31.5
🏀 Free throws	21.4	14.5	67.8%	-	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.8	53.0%	-	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.4	31.6%	-	25.2
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.5	71.4%	-	12.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.4	16.9	53.8%	-	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	7.8	29.4%	-	23.2
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.1	70.7%	-	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.1	53.5%	-	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.5	37.2%	-	31.5
🏀 Free throws	21.4	14.5	67.8%	-	14.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

North Macedonia

WWWLLLWLLL

Luxembourg

WWLLLWLLLL

League position

#10

+4.4

Net rating

-12.2

100.8

Offensive rating

97.8

96.4

Defensive rating

110.0

49.7%

Effective FG%

46.7%

48.4%

Opp. effective FG%

54.5%

15.3%

Turnover %

15.2%

19.9%

Off. rebound %

20.8%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.31

30.5%

3-point %

27.9%

58.5%

Assist %

69.3%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ North Macedonia ■ Luxembourg

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

North Macedonia wins

Luxembourg wins

No previous meetings.

North Macedonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/25	A	Ireland	88-76
27/11/25	H	Azerbaijan	87-49
20/08/25	H	Hungary	82-75
13/08/25	A	Romania	66-79
09/08/25	A	Hungary	58-96
02/08/25	H	Romania	72-80
24/02/25	H	Poland	88-74
21/02/25	A	Estonia	65-84
24/11/24	A	Lithuania	72-94
21/11/24	H	Lithuania	67-82

Luxembourglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/25	A	Azerbaijan	95-90
27/11/25	H	Ireland	89-77
20/02/25	A	Norway	59-68
24/11/24	H	Romania	78-84
25/02/24	H	Norway	58-72
22/02/24	A	Romania	76-72 OT
05/08/23	A	Ireland	76-79
02/08/23	H	Croatia	79-91
26/07/23	H	Ireland	76-96
22/07/23	A	Croatia	62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Macedonia

EuroBasket 2029

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	87.5	87.0	88.0
Allowed / game	62.5	49.0	76.0
Point differential	+25.0	+38.0	+12.0
Avg total	150.0	136.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Luxembourg

EuroBasket 2029

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.0	89.0	95.0
Allowed / game	83.5	77.0	90.0
Point differential	+8.5	+12.0	+5.0
Avg total	175.5	166.0	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	North Macedonia	2	2	0	100%	87.5	62.5	+25.0
2	Kosovo	1	1	0	100%	99.0	84.0	+15.0
3	Norway	1	1	0	100%	74.0	62.0	+12.0
4	Bulgaria	1	1	0	100%	98.0	88.0	+10.0
5	Slovakia	1	1	0	100%	73.0	63.0	+10.0
6	Luxembourg	2	2	0	100%	92.0	83.5	+8.5
7	Armenia	2	0	2	0%	75.0	86.0	-11.0
8	Ireland	2	0	2	0%	76.5	88.5	-12.0
9	Albania	2	0	2	0%	73.5	86.0	-12.5
10	Azerbaijan	2	0	2	0%	69.5	91.0	-21.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
North Macedonia	25	19	15	20	79
Luxembourg	17	15	17	21	70

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North Macedonia vs Luxembourg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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