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North Texas vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-63
0-0 34-33 0-0 31-30
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game64.0
North Texas 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas State
USA
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game78.0
USANIT
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#281
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H20/02
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/03
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A09/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H14/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H15/03
NCAA
Furman
#26
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H20/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-28
0-0
36-33
0-0
30-19
0-0
33-25
0-0
40-26
0-0
24-31
0-0
37-34
0-0
34-27
0-0
31-28
0-0
37-38
0-0
33-33
0-0
42-31
0-0
24-34
0-0
37-32
0-0
26-31
0-0
51-28
0-0
20-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
43-30
128.5Avg total
67.7Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.064.0139.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)75.064.0139.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.760.8128.5+6.980%
Last 5 (5)68.863.8132.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
vs Similar (9)64.363.4127.8+0.944%
vs Weaker (19)69.258.5127.7+10.789%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A01/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H08/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A10/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H19/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
55-36
0-0
46-31
0-0
34-30
0-0
36-41
0-0
21-25
0-0
35-35
0-0
50-29
0-0
45-41
0-0
44-28
0-0
39-36
0-0
41-28
0-0
53-39
0-0
39-36
0-0
38-38
0-0
37-34
0-0
37-37
0-0
43-41
0-0
38-53
0-0
50-37
0-0
53-41
155.0Avg total
83.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.078.0181.0+25.0100%
Season at home (1)103.078.0181.0+25.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.471.6155.0+11.870%
Last 5 (5)85.876.8162.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)76.176.3152.4-0.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.368.2148.4+12.180%
This opponent (North Texas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +9.0+9.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +9.0+9.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
North TexasArkansas State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
North TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#281
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H20/02
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H14/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H15/03
NCAA
Furman
#26
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/03
NIT
60.1Avg total
30.4Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.328.759.0+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.628.758.3+0.956%-
Last 30 away (12)31.328.659.9+2.858%-
Last 10 (10)30.429.760.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)27.032.459.4-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.028.059.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (9)28.630.058.6-1.444%-
vs Weaker (19)31.027.858.8+3.263%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/03
NIT
73.8Avg total
41.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.632.871.3+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.330.069.3+9.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.835.573.3+2.373%-
Last 10 (10)41.432.473.8+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.277.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)34.336.971.2-2.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.930.770.6+9.280%-
This opponent (North Texas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Texas wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
North Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/25HFurman75-64
15/03/25HUAB56-66
14/03/25HTulsa77-59
09/03/25ATemple61-66
07/03/25HCharlotte75-64
04/03/25HWichita State68-66
28/02/25AFlorida Atlantic71-61
23/02/25ASouth Florida64-57
20/02/25HTulsa63-44
12/02/25ARice67-61
Arkansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens103-78
10/03/25ATroy81-94
09/03/25ASouth Alabama74-71
08/03/25HMarshall77-74
01/03/25ALouisiana Monroe94-67
27/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette83-64
22/02/25HLouisiana Monroe95-70
20/02/25HSouth Alabama56-60
16/02/25HTroy70-71
13/02/25HSouthern Miss101-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Texas
NIT 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas State
NIT 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+25.0+25.0-
Avg total181.0181.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Santa Clara110100%101.062.0+39.0
2 Arkansas State110100%103.078.0+25.0
3 Kent State110100%75.056.0+19.0
4 Jacksonville State110100%81.064.0+17.0
5 Stanford110100%87.070.0+17.0
6 North Texas110100%75.064.0+11.0
7 Chattanooga Mocs220100%98.087.5+10.5
8 UC Irvine110100%82.072.0+10.0
9 San Francisco110100%79.070.0+9.0
10 Bradley220100%73.064.5+8.5
11 Oklahoma State220100%87.081.0+6.0
12 UAB110100%69.065.0+4.0
13 Loyola Chicago110100%73.070.0+3.0
14 George Mason21150%76.572.0+4.5
15 SMU Mustangs21150%78.074.0+4.0
16 Dayton21150%79.083.0-4.0
17 San Jose State1010%70.073.0-3.0
18 Saint Josephs Hawks1010%65.069.0-4.0
19 Middle Tenn. St.1010%103.0109.0-6.0
20 Florida Atlantic1010%79.086.0-7.0
21 North Alabama1010%62.071.0-9.0
22 Utah Valley State1010%70.079.0-9.0
23 Northern Colorado1010%72.082.0-10.0
24 Northern Iowa1010%63.073.0-10.0
25 Wichita State1010%79.089.0-10.0
26 Furman1010%64.075.0-11.0
27 CS Northridge1010%70.087.0-17.0
28 Georgia Tech1010%64.081.0-17.0
29 Samford1010%69.086.0-17.0
30 St. Bonaventure1010%56.075.0-19.0
31 St. Louis Billikens1010%78.0103.0-25.0
32 UC Riverside1010%62.0101.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
North Texas03403165
Arkansas State03303063
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