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Northeastern vs Yale Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 78-75
Projected total 153.8
Final 84-73
43-34 41-39
Position#238
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game86.7
Northeastern 🏆
USA
Vs
60%
40%
■ NORT 60%■ YALE 40%
Pythia win probability
Yale
USA
Position#322
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Northeastern faces Yale on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the home side and expecting a close contest; the projected score is 78-75 and the spread line is 2.0 points, with a 65% chance of the home team covering. Both teams finish the season 1-2, the Huskies averaging 77.0 points and allowing 86.7, while the Bulldogs average 69.3 and allow 79.7, placing them 294th and 298th respectively. Northeastern's sole home game was a 74-70 win over Harvard, and they have won 2 of their last 5, whereas Yale has won 2 of its last 5, including a 72-62 home victory over Howard. The projected total is 153.8 points, with a 49% probability of the over on the 154.0 line, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by a narrow margin, with the home team's 65% cover probability and Yale's 40% win probability reflecting the model's assessment. The final figure to note is Northeastern's 74-70 home win, the only result that shows a positive points balance for the Huskies.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northeastern winWon
60.0%fair 1.67
Best odds2.14
Implied45.0%
Edge+15.0pp
Yale winLost
40.0%fair 2.50
Best odds1.75
Implied55.0%
Edge-15.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NortheasternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H20/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A28/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H04/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A06/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Boston University
#134
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A06/11
NCAA
Harvard
#218
W
74-70 OT
74
70
+4
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
37-41
30-39
38-43
32-35
45-49
38-33
27-43
42-52
41-37
40-24
48-48
22-39
55-45
36-46
49-47
31-38
41-59
29-19
31-41
156.7Avg total
75.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.086.7163.7-9.733%
Season at home (1)74.070.0144.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)78.595.0173.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)75.081.7156.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)79.283.2162.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)75.884.3160.1-8.515%
vs Similar (4)72.273.0145.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Yale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
YaleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#133
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H07/03
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#180
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H03/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#75
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Baylor
#6
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
36-32
35-40
39-30
30-35
39-37
34-25
26-29
32-30
46-23
49-42
39-34
39-41
36-34
40-28
32-34
42-39
33-48
30-41
31-49
146.4Avg total
73.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.379.7149.0-10.333%
Season at home (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)68.088.5156.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)73.772.7146.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)76.080.6156.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.379.7149.0-10.333%
vs Similar (3)87.392.3179.7-5.067%
vs Weaker (23)79.768.9148.5+10.878%
This opponent (Northeastern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
61.0%
@ 1.44-3.5pp
Under 149
39.0%
@ 2.62+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Over/Under 154 · main lineActual: Over 154
Over 154
48.8%
@ 1.89-1.8pp
Under 154
51.2%
@ 1.95+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.86
SBO
1.85
Over/Under 159Actual: Under 159
Over 159
36.7%
@ 2.50-0.8pp
Under 159
63.3%
@ 1.50+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Northeastern total 73Actual: Northeastern over 73
Over 73
70.5%
Under 73
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northeastern total 77 · main lineActual: Northeastern over 77
Over 77
55.3%
@ 1.86+5.5pp
Under 77
44.7%
@ 1.84-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
Northeastern total 81Actual: Northeastern over 81
Over 81
39.2%
Under 81
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yale total 74Actual: Yale under 74
Over 74
55.5%
Under 74
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yale total 78 · main lineActual: Yale under 78
Over 78
39.6%
@ 1.87-10.1pp
Under 78
60.4%
@ 1.85+10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Yale total 81.5Actual: Yale under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.42
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Northeastern -1Actual: Northeastern -1
NORT -1
58.8%
@ 2.23+15.8pp
YALE +1
41.2%
@ 1.68-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
2.12
YALE
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Be
1.64
Spread Northeastern +2 · main lineActual: Northeastern +2
NORT +2
65.3%
@ 1.94+15.7pp
YALE -2
34.7%
@ 1.91-15.7pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.93
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
YALE
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Spread Northeastern +5Actual: Northeastern +5
NORT +5
75.1%
@ 1.58+16.7pp
YALE -5
24.9%
@ 2.22-16.7pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Bet365
1.58
YALE
Bet365
2.22

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
NortheasternYale
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NortheasternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H04/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A06/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/03
NCAA
Boston University
#134
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A06/11
NCAA
Harvard
#218
W
29-19
29
19
+10
H11/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
32.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)34.138.072.1-4.030%47%
Last 30 at home (11)35.237.772.9-2.536%64%
Last 30 away (19)33.438.271.6-4.826%37%
Last 10 (10)32.435.467.8-3.030%20%
Last 5 (5)31.633.264.8-1.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)34.338.773.0-4.327%50%
vs Similar (4)32.233.866.0-1.550%25%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Yale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
YaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#133
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#180
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H03/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#75
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Baylor
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
36.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)37.833.771.6+4.167%40%
Last 30 at home (16)40.633.674.2+6.975%50%
Last 30 away (14)34.733.968.6+0.957%29%
Last 10 (10)36.135.571.6+0.650%40%
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.336.073.3+1.367%33%
vs Similar (3)38.341.379.7-3.067%67%
vs Weaker (23)37.932.970.7+5.065%39%
This opponent (Northeastern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Northeastern win
NORT win
no forecast
@ 2.07
YALE win
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Northeastern +1 · main lineActual: Northeastern +1
NORT +1
no forecast
@ 1.81
YALE -1
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Northeastern 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Northeastern over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Yale 1st half total 37 · main lineActual: Yale under 37
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Northeastern 0Actual: Northeastern 0
NORT 0
no forecast
@ 1.92
YALE 0
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Over 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Northeastern +2.5Actual: Northeastern +2.5
NORT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
YALE -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Northeastern -1.5Actual: Northeastern -1.5
NORT -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
YALE +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Northeastern +3.5Actual: Northeastern +3.5
NORT +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
YALE -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half Spread Northeastern -2.5Actual: Northeastern -2.5
NORT -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
YALE +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Northeastern +4.5Actual: Northeastern +4.5
NORT +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
YALE -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Northeastern (regulation)
NORT
no forecast
@ 2.12
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
YALE
no forecast
@ 1.85

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NORT win + total 154.5
🔒 Pro
YALE win + total 154.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NORT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: YALE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Northeastern +575.1%1.58
Bet365
1.58		----+16.7ppWon
Northeastern +780.7%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+15.7ppWon
Northeastern +883.1%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+15.5ppWon
Northeastern +678.0%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+15.5ppWon
Northeastern +5.575.9%1.52
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50		---+15.2ppWon
Northeastern +4.572.8%1.60
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.57		---+15.0ppWon
Northeastern +985.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+14.7ppWon
Northeastern +6.578.6%1.44
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.42		---+14.4ppWon
Northeastern +1087.1%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+14.3ppWon
Northeastern +7.581.2%1.38
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.35		---+14.2ppWon
Northeastern +10.587.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+14.0ppWon
Northeastern +8.583.4%1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.30		---+13.9ppWon
Northeastern +471.9%1.65
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65		---+13.8ppWon
Northeastern +9.585.5%1.28
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.25		---+13.2ppWon
Northeastern over 71.574.7%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+7.1ppWon
Northeastern over 72.571.5%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+6.9ppWon
Overtime: no94.7%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+5.2ppWon
Under 179.593.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.4ppWon
Over 129.593.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.7ppWon
Under 174.589.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+0.5ppWon
Under 162.570.6%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+0.1ppWon
Under 169.582.9%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----0.1ppWon
Under 164.574.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----0.2ppWon
Over 134.587.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.6ppWon
Over 139.580.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----4.0ppWon
Over 144.570.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----4.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northeastern wins
0
Yale wins
No previous meetings.
Northeasternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HHarvard74-70 OT
06/11/26AVirginia72-97
03/11/26ABoston University85-93
07/03/26ADrexel77-84
06/03/26AN. Carolina A&T88-72
04/03/26HMonmouth83-89
28/02/26AHampton65-76
27/02/26AWilliam & Mary77-84
21/02/26HHofstra68-82
20/02/26HDrexel61-70
Yalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABaylor61-90
07/11/26AUCF Knights75-87
03/11/26HHoward72-62
15/03/26HPenn84-88 OT
14/03/26HCornell88-76
07/03/26HPrinceton78-53
28/02/26AColumbia60-54
27/02/26ACornell69-72
21/02/26HPenn74-70
14/02/26AHarvard76-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northeastern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.074.078.5
Allowed / game86.770.095.0
Point differential-9.7+4.0-16.5
Avg total163.7144.0173.5
Over 15467%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
Yale
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game69.372.068.0
Allowed / game79.762.088.5
Point differential-10.3+10.0-20.5
Avg total149.0134.0156.5
Over 15433%0%50%
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington330100%90.071.0+19.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Elon32167%69.368.3+1.0
5 Towson42250%70.865.5+5.2
6 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
7 N. Carolina A&T31233%76.368.3+8.0
8 Hofstra31233%72.765.3+7.3
9 Hampton31233%61.068.7-7.7
10 Drexel31233%67.076.3-9.3
11 Northeastern31233%77.086.7-9.7
12 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
13 Campbell3030%62.779.3-16.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
2 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
3 Columbia32167%88.765.7+23.0
4 Harvard32167%68.755.3+13.3
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Yale31233%69.379.7-10.3
7 Penn31233%74.786.0-11.3
8 Brown41325%67.068.0-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northeastern434184
Yale343973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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