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Northern Arizona vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 93-87
52-46 41-41
Position#335
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#266
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#271
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H21/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H02/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
49-84
49
84
-35
A12/11
NCAA
Embry-Riddle Eagles
#460
W
108-79
108
79
+29
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-45
51-38
41-37
46-30
33-44
40-39
44-42
38-37
34-30
32-23
31-30
34-44
31-28
40-49
47-23
40-32
17-46
32-38
56-36
52-43
150.0Avg total
76.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.873.8152.5+5.050%
Season at home (2)97.567.0164.5+30.5100%
Season away (2)60.080.5140.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)76.673.4150.0+3.250%
Last 5 (5)76.073.8149.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.080.5140.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.375.1145.4-4.825%
vs Weaker (15)78.869.9148.7+8.973%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A09/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A13/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A14/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A15/03
NCAA
USC
#153
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A04/11
NCAA
Pacific Lutheran
#427
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A09/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-41
36-28
38-47
48-29
45-36
51-47
39-38
39-58
31-37
33-57
41-36
60-43
39-38
34-33
37-47
42-46
26-37
56-53
50-39
42-46
167.0Avg total
83.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.885.3167.2-3.550%
Season at home (1)101.079.0180.0+22.0100%
Season away (5)78.086.6164.6-8.640%
Last 10 (10)83.483.6167.0-0.260%
Last 5 (5)85.483.6169.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.589.5166.0-13.19%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.381.5163.8+0.854%
vs Weaker (5)90.875.2166.0+15.6100%
This opponent (Northern Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
Northern ArizonaCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#271
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H21/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A10/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A12/11
NCAA
Embry-Riddle Eagles
#460
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H19/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
36.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.472.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.835.677.4+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)32.037.069.0-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.172.2+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.669.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)24.037.061.0-13.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.636.471.0-1.850%-
vs Weaker (15)38.536.374.8+2.347%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/03
NCAA
USC
#153
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/11
NCAA
Pacific Lutheran
#427
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A21/11
NCAA
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.277.2-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.937.574.4-0.536%-
Last 30 away (19)38.640.278.8-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.041.978.9-4.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.338.876.1-1.531%-
vs Weaker (5)41.434.876.2+6.680%-
This opponent (Northern Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northern Arizona wins
0
Cal Poly wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HEmbry-Riddle Eagles108-79
12/11/25AArizona49-84
08/11/25HJustice College87-55
03/11/25ADrake71-77
10/03/25AMontana65-74
09/03/25HEast. Washington66-53
04/03/25AIdaho State82-79
02/03/25HNorthern Colorado73-83
22/02/25HEast. Washington87-67
21/02/25HIdaho78-83
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AUtah Utes92-85
15/11/25AMontana82-90
13/11/25AColorado State79-93
09/11/25ASeattle73-71
06/11/25HPacific Lutheran101-79
04/11/25AUSC64-94
15/03/25AUC Irvine78-96
14/03/25AUC Riverside96-83
13/03/25AUC Davis86-76
09/03/25ALong Beach State83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.897.560.0
Allowed / game73.867.080.5
Point differential+5.0+30.5-20.5
Avg total152.5164.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game81.8101.078.0
Allowed / game85.379.086.6
Point differential-3.5+22.0-8.6
Avg total167.2180.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado65183%89.274.8+14.3
2 Portland State53260%90.876.8+14.0
3 Idaho53260%83.070.2+12.8
4 Montana74357%83.371.4+11.9
5 Northern Arizona42250%78.873.8+5.0
6 Idaho State63350%71.268.3+2.8
7 Montana State73443%80.167.0+13.1
8 Sacramento State73443%75.479.4-4.0
9 Weber State62433%87.775.2+12.5
10 East. Washington61517%76.085.2-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego550100%85.469.8+15.6
2 Hawaii64267%79.565.2+14.3
3 UC Davis64267%78.373.8+4.5
4 UC Santa Barbara53260%82.676.6+6.0
5 CS Northridge53260%82.280.8+1.4
6 UC Riverside74357%75.971.7+4.1
7 UC Irvine63350%89.366.7+22.7
8 CSU Bakersfield63350%73.875.2-1.3
9 Cal Poly63350%81.885.3-3.5
10 CS Fullerton72529%88.990.3-1.4
11 Long Beach State61517%68.773.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Arizona524193
Cal Poly464187
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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