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UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 83-96
36-45 47-51
Position#98
Record21-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game73.5
UC Riverside
USA
vs
Cal Poly 🏆
USA
Position#235
Record15-18
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Riverside v Cal Poly
31 Dec 2026
UC R v CAL
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
UC R87
CAL 94
13 Mar 2025
UC R83
CAL 96
01 Feb 2025
UC R80
CAL 62
11 Jan 2024
UC R71
CAL 56
16 Jan 2023
UC R83
CAL 78
19 Feb 2022
UC R78
CAL 58
23 Jan 2020
UC R97
CAL 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H02/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A07/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H09/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A14/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H16/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H21/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
100-112 OT
100
112
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A28/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H07/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
41-34
44-46
27-45
36-41
33-23
43-40
31-35
37-37
44-32
38-30
49-36
47-43
48-52
35-36
47-40
46-39
48-40
25-25
39-34
155.5Avg total
80.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.973.5148.4+1.466%
Season at home (15)78.768.5147.2+10.393%
Season away (17)71.578.0149.5-6.541%
Last 10 (10)80.275.3155.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)85.478.4163.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.178.3152.4-4.264%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.875.3150.2-0.558%
vs Weaker (6)75.059.3134.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#218
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
112-100 OT
112
100
+12
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A28/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A09/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
45-28
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
34-42
33-39
43-47
52-48
42-47
35-49
45-41
53-31
52-30
48-31
47-41
36-28
38-47
48-29
167.5Avg total
88.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.882.5164.3-0.745%
Season at home (14)85.178.3163.4+6.864%
Season away (19)79.485.6164.9-6.232%
Last 10 (10)88.579.0167.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)88.874.8163.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.188.8164.9-12.710%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.381.0163.3+1.353%
vs Weaker (5)90.875.2166.0+15.6100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +7.0+7.0
UC RiversideCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A28/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A09/03
NCAA
75.5Avg total
39.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.169.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.732.969.6+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)33.435.368.7-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.575.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.672.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.034.968.9-0.945%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.237.272.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (6)34.829.264.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#218
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/03
NCAA
83.7Avg total
42.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.476.7-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.937.874.7-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.778.2-3.241%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.283.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.286.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.843.079.8-6.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.138.674.7-2.533%-
vs Weaker (5)41.434.876.2+6.680%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UC Riverside wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Cal Poly v UC Riverside112-100 OT
02/02/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly80-62
25/02/24Cal Poly v UC Riverside78-84
12/01/24UC Riverside v Cal Poly71-56
05/03/23Cal Poly v UC Riverside72-73 OT
17/01/23UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-78 OT
20/02/22UC Riverside v Cal Poly78-58
14/01/22Cal Poly v UC Riverside46-57
17/01/21Cal Poly v UC Riverside53-70
16/01/21Cal Poly v UC Riverside51-86
UC Riversidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ACS Fullerton64-59
07/03/25HCS Northridge94-79
28/02/25AHawaii82-76
22/02/25ACal Poly100-112 OT
21/02/25HLong Beach State87-66
16/02/25HUC Santa Barbara81-69
14/02/25AUC Davis74-75
09/02/25HCSU Bakersfield69-64
07/02/25AUC San Diego71-91
02/02/25HCal Poly80-62
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AUC Davis86-76
09/03/25ALong Beach State83-69
07/03/25HCS Fullerton100-61
01/03/25HCSU Bakersfield98-72
28/02/25AUC Santa Barbara77-96
22/02/25HUC Riverside112-100 OT
21/02/25HUC San Diego67-81
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83
07/02/25HHawaii79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%93%41%
Points / game74.978.771.5
Allowed / game73.568.578.0
Point differential+1.4+10.3-6.5
Avg total148.4147.2149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%47%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won85% (13)100% (6)71% (7)
Overtime %12%13%12%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayWLLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %45%64%32%
Points / game81.885.179.4
Allowed / game82.578.385.6
Point differential-0.7+6.8-6.2
Avg total164.3163.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %12%21%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego3228488%80.262.0+18.3
2 UC Irvine3227584%75.765.6+10.2
3 CS Northridge32221069%80.672.5+8.2
4 UC Riverside32211166%74.973.5+1.4
5 UC Santa Barbara33211264%75.068.8+6.2
6 Hawaii31151648%70.171.2-1.1
7 UC Davis32151747%68.070.3-2.3
8 Cal Poly33151845%81.882.5-0.7
9 CSU Bakersfield33141942%73.873.7+0.1
10 Long Beach State3272522%67.274.2-6.9
11 CS Fullerton3262619%63.277.3-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Riverside364783
Cal Poly455196
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