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Northern Illinois vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 91-78
48-36 43-42
Position#307
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game49.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#133
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H11/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-66 OT
65
66
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A09/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
37-36
35-27
46-26
33-43
44-44
32-22
26-36
37-37
31-40
47-29
37-51
26-42
49-43
37-25
48-41
18-31
39-45
28-50
42-42
150.2Avg total
73.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.092.0162.0-22.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.092.0162.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)73.876.4150.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)74.279.8154.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.980.2148.1-12.320%
vs Similar (9)71.173.3144.4-2.244%
vs Weaker (6)82.368.5150.8+13.883%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-31
34-35
19-30
38-33
31-19
21-26
26-40
31-34
33-31
49-44
35-32
28-42
42-25
36-27
29-29
35-44
37-34
24-34
44-21
43-28
129.8Avg total
65.9Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.049.0136.0+38.0100%
Season at home (1)87.049.0136.0+38.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.963.9129.8+2.040%
Last 5 (5)70.663.2133.8+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.067.0127.0-7.020%
vs Similar (10)62.067.3129.3-5.310%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.560.0135.5+15.580%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
Northern IllinoisAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#133
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A07/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.536.369.8-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.837.069.8-4.236%-
Last 30 away (19)33.935.969.8-2.037%-
Last 10 (10)33.235.268.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.466.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.538.869.3-8.313%-
vs Similar (9)31.835.767.4-3.944%-
vs Weaker (6)43.531.074.5+12.583%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
61.2Avg total
32.0Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.128.861.9+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.027.659.6+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)34.530.464.8+4.169%-
Last 10 (10)32.029.261.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.428.265.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.830.456.2-4.620%-
vs Similar (10)31.930.362.2+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.327.363.6+8.980%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northern Illinois wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AMarquette70-92
09/03/23AKent State57-76
04/03/23HEastern Michigan85-66
01/03/23HBuffalo75-85
25/02/23ACentral Michigan84-80
22/02/23AOhio68-77
18/02/23HMiami (FL)65-66 OT
15/02/23ABall State77-87
11/02/23HWestern Michigan81-53
08/02/23HOhio76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HOakland City87-49
02/03/23ASouth Alabama61-68
25/02/23AGeorgia Southern64-73
23/02/23AGeorgia State78-52
18/02/23HOld Dominion63-74
16/02/23HTexas State82-75
11/02/23ASouth Alabama57-74
10/02/23ALouisiana Monroe52-45
04/02/23HJames Madison57-63
02/02/23HMarshall58-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-22.0--22.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game49.049.0-
Point differential+38.0+38.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo110100%94.060.0+34.0
2 Ball State220100%87.054.0+33.0
3 UMass110100%92.071.0+21.0
4 Ohio110100%88.070.0+18.0
5 Bowling Green220100%75.558.0+17.5
6 Akron220100%76.564.5+12.0
7 Kent State21150%93.585.5+8.0
8 Eastern Michigan21150%62.577.0-14.5
9 Western Michigan2020%73.078.5-5.5
10 Buffalo2020%71.081.0-10.0
11 Miami (Ohio)1010%65.075.0-10.0
12 Central Michigan2020%61.581.5-20.0
13 Northern Illinois1010%70.092.0-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Appalachian State110100%87.049.0+38.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette110100%72.062.0+10.0
3 James Madison220100%96.092.0+4.0
4 Coastal Carolina110100%88.086.0+2.0
5 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
6 Old Dominion21150%69.565.0+4.5
7 Georgia State21150%82.079.5+2.5
8 South Alabama21150%72.069.5+2.5
9 Texas State21150%70.568.0+2.5
10 Southern Miss21150%59.057.0+2.0
11 Louisiana Monroe21150%52.574.0-21.5
12 Troy31233%80.772.0+8.7
13 Georgia Southern2020%61.077.0-16.0
14 Arkansas State2020%75.593.0-17.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois484391
Appalachian State364278
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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