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South Alabama vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-57
40-26 34-31
Position#166
Record11-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#203
Record14-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · South Alabama v Appalachian State
04 Jan 2024
SOUT84
APPA91
02 Mar 2023
SOUT68
APPA61
11 Feb 2023
SOUT74
APPA57
06 Jan 2022
SOUT64
APPA72
16 Jan 2021
SOUT77
APPA83
15 Jan 2021
SOUT73
APPA64
19 Dec 2019
SOUT71
APPA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H07/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-36
37-28
33-24
30-38
40-33
36-46
37-33
35-43
28-41
40-27
29-34
35-32
37-25
40-35
44-30
38-32
34-25
38-39
34-27
23-34
138.1Avg total
70.2Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.666.9136.5+2.644%
Season at home (11)69.661.9131.5+7.755%
Season away (14)69.570.9140.4-1.436%
Last 10 (10)70.267.9138.1+2.340%
Last 5 (5)70.462.6133.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.271.8133.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.267.9137.1+1.333%
vs Weaker (17)69.364.4133.6+4.953%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H12/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H14/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-24
32-38
33-33
32-34
25-20
33-25
39-38
37-38
33-26
39-32
42-27
29-32
31-25
32-26
24-31
34-35
19-30
38-33
31-19
21-26
126.0Avg total
65.1Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.963.5134.4+7.454%
Season at home (16)73.660.6134.2+13.056%
Season away (10)66.568.1134.6-1.650%
Last 10 (10)65.160.9126.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)60.256.8117.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.564.3125.8-2.833%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.366.5130.8-2.220%
vs Weaker (14)78.960.7139.6+18.186%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.8+0.8
South AlabamaAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H07/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A10/02
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.762.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.428.160.4+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)32.431.163.5+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.864.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.628.263.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.528.555.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.729.062.7+4.778%-
vs Weaker (17)33.130.363.4+2.853%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H26/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A10/02
NCAA
58.9Avg total
31.6Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.328.963.2+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.428.561.9+4.950%-
Last 30 away (12)35.529.565.0+6.083%-
Last 10 (10)31.627.358.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)29.426.455.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.528.555.0-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.830.161.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker (14)39.428.267.6+11.179%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South Alabama wins
4
Appalachian State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23ATroy57-61
04/02/23ALouisiana Monroe72-64
03/02/23AArkansas State82-62
28/01/23HTroy77-60
27/01/23HOld Dominion64-66
21/01/23ACoastal Carolina81-85 OT
20/01/23ASouthern Miss72-76
14/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette76-79
13/01/23HJames Madison63-62
07/01/23HTexas State58-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23ALouisiana Monroe52-45
04/02/23HJames Madison57-63
02/02/23HMarshall58-66
28/01/23HArkansas State63-51
26/01/23HGeorgia State71-59
22/01/23AOld Dominion72-58
20/01/23ACoastal Carolina84-93 OT
14/01/23HTroy58-45
12/01/23HGeorgia Southern65-67
08/01/23AJames Madison71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %44%55%36%
Points / game69.669.669.5
Allowed / game66.961.970.9
Point differential+2.6+7.7-1.4
Avg total136.5131.5140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)40% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %54%56%50%
Points / game70.973.666.5
Allowed / game63.560.668.1
Point differential+7.4+13.0-1.6
Avg total134.4134.2134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2723485%75.764.1+11.6
2 Marshall2721678%82.170.2+11.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette2620677%79.371.2+8.1
4 James Madison2718967%81.366.8+14.5
5 Old Dominion26161062%67.566.0+1.5
6 Troy27161159%72.565.5+7.0
7 Appalachian State26141254%70.963.5+7.4
8 Georgia Southern27141352%68.466.2+2.2
9 Texas State27121544%64.665.9-1.2
10 South Alabama25111444%69.666.9+2.6
11 Louisiana Monroe27111641%68.568.8-0.3
12 Coastal Carolina26101638%73.572.7+0.7
13 Georgia State26101638%66.767.3-0.6
14 Arkansas State27101737%64.867.3-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama403474
Appalachian State263157
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