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Northern Illinois vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-68
40-33 30-35
Position#342
Record5-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#189
Record11-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A26/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
64-99
64
99
-35
H03/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A07/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A13/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
21-36
32-52
32-47
26-39
29-45
48-41
31-44
59-25
53-39
27-44
47-29
29-43
38-38
26-47
47-30
25-37
36-38
26-28
33-49
149.5Avg total
70.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.178.1152.2-4.031%
Season at home (7)85.376.6161.9+8.757%
Season away (9)65.479.3144.8-13.911%
Last 10 (10)70.379.2149.5-8.920%
Last 5 (5)66.876.6143.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.281.1149.3-12.914%
vs Similar (7)75.072.1147.1+2.929%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
38-28
35-33
41-41
43-47
60-48
24-35
35-34
41-21
50-19
41-38
33-42
34-34
52-52
41-48
42-38
28-25
51-46
36-35
49-47
158.8Avg total
83.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.874.4155.2+6.461%
Season at home (11)81.471.6153.0+9.764%
Season away (7)79.978.7158.6+1.157%
Last 10 (10)83.075.8158.8+7.260%
Last 5 (5)84.284.0168.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.980.4150.3-10.611%
vs Similar (14)76.873.5150.3+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)77.872.0149.8+5.883%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +5.6+5.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +5.6+5.6
Northern IllinoisUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H03/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A13/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
33.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.571.6-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.435.973.2+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)31.239.070.2-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.639.773.3-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)26.639.866.4-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.839.370.1-8.519%-
vs Similar (7)36.636.473.0+0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
36.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.269.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.733.968.6+0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)34.036.870.8-2.854%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.871.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.072.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.740.171.8-8.411%-
vs Similar (14)35.034.369.3+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.032.368.3+3.7100%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northern Illinois wins
0
UMass wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26AEastern Michigan59-77
07/01/26HToledo61-75
03/01/26AKent State73-77
31/12/25HBuffalo67-81
20/12/25HCentral Michigan74-73
17/12/25HEWU Phantoms112-64
13/12/25AElon79-85
07/12/25ABradley55-84
03/12/25HLindenwood64-99
26/11/25AAustin Peay59-77
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AWestern Michigan85-82
10/01/26HBall State79-71
06/01/26AOhio83-86
03/01/26HBowling Green100-101 OT
31/12/25AEastern Michigan74-80
22/12/25HMassachusetts-Boston91-40
20/12/25HKent State59-69
13/12/25AFlorida State103-95
11/12/25ABoston College76-74
06/12/25HUMass Lowell80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%57%11%
Points / game74.185.365.4
Allowed / game78.176.679.3
Point differential-4.0+8.7-13.9
Avg total152.2161.9144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW61%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game80.881.479.9
Allowed / game74.471.678.7
Point differential+6.4+9.7+1.1
Avg total155.2153.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)19190100%93.973.3+20.6
2 Akron1814478%93.676.5+17.1
3 Kent State1813572%89.882.3+7.5
4 Buffalo1813572%81.274.5+6.7
5 Bowling Green1812667%87.871.2+16.6
6 UMass1811761%80.874.4+6.4
7 Toledo1810856%82.878.3+4.5
8 Ohio1910953%78.177.2+0.9
9 Eastern Michigan1991047%71.971.6+0.3
10 Western Michigan1871139%77.180.1-2.9
11 Northern Illinois1651131%74.178.1-4.0
12 Ball State1851328%68.470.8-2.4
13 Central Michigan1851328%72.179.9-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois403070
UMass333568
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