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Western Michigan vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-85
35-36 47-49
Position#325
Record7-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.2
vs
UMass 🏆
USA
Position#189
Record10-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
51-91
51
91
-40
A14/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H22/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
45-26
17-37
38-47
47-27
41-47
36-28
47-45
16-52
35-39
28-41
43-47
48-32
46-25
41-32
38-52
35-39
41-48
30-36
49-26
151.9Avg total
75.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.178.2154.3-2.244%
Season at home (8)81.971.0152.9+10.975%
Season away (8)70.285.5155.8-15.212%
Last 10 (10)75.976.0151.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.875.6155.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.981.8153.7-9.930%
vs Similar (7)72.366.6138.9+5.786%
vs Weaker (2)95.560.5156.0+35.0100%
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#133
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H04/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
42-50
42-32
38-28
35-33
41-41
43-47
60-48
24-35
35-34
41-21
50-19
41-38
33-42
34-34
52-52
41-48
42-38
28-25
51-46
157.0Avg total
82.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.573.9154.5+6.659%
Season at home (11)81.471.6153.0+9.764%
Season away (6)79.078.2157.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)82.374.7157.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)85.475.6161.0+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.378.5148.8-8.220%
vs Similar (14)76.873.5150.3+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.470.0146.4+6.480%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +4.6+4.6
Western MichiganUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
16-52
16
52
-36
A14/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H20/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H10/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.337.270.5-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.935.569.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)32.838.671.4-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)33.635.869.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.072.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.039.770.7-8.720%-
vs Similar (7)34.331.766.0+2.671%-
vs Weaker (2)50.027.577.5+22.5100%-
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#133
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H04/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H10/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
36.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.069.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.833.768.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)33.837.070.8-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.533.469.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.270.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.139.071.1-6.920%-
vs Similar (14)35.034.369.3+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.031.867.8+4.2100%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
0
UMass wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HEastern Michigan79-62
07/01/26AMiami (Ohio)76-87
30/12/25AToledo79-84
22/12/25HDefiance College94-57
20/12/25HBuffalo71-88
14/12/25AIowa51-91
06/12/25ASiu Edwardsville83-73
04/12/25HSouthern Indiana88-74
29/11/25AValparaiso55-84
23/11/25HMount St. Mary's83-60
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HBall State79-71
06/01/26AOhio83-86
03/01/26HBowling Green100-101 OT
31/12/25AEastern Michigan74-80
22/12/25HMassachusetts-Boston91-40
20/12/25HKent State59-69
13/12/25AFlorida State103-95
11/12/25ABoston College76-74
06/12/25HUMass Lowell80-60
04/12/25HHarvard78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%75%12%
Points / game76.181.970.2
Allowed / game78.271.085.5
Point differential-2.2+10.9-15.2
Avg total154.3152.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%64%50%
Points / game80.581.479.0
Allowed / game73.971.678.2
Point differential+6.6+9.7+0.8
Avg total154.5153.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)17170100%92.972.3+20.6
2 Buffalo1713476%79.972.7+7.2
3 Akron1612475%93.475.7+17.7
4 Kent State1712571%90.082.2+7.8
5 Bowling Green1711665%88.070.8+17.2
6 UMass1710759%80.573.9+6.6
7 Ohio1710759%78.175.8+2.2
8 Toledo169756%81.677.3+4.2
9 Eastern Michigan189950%71.570.8+0.7
10 Western Michigan167944%76.178.2-2.2
11 Northern Illinois1651131%74.178.1-4.0
12 Central Michigan1751229%72.878.7-5.9
13 Ball State1641225%67.469.8-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan354782
UMass364985
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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