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Northern Iowa vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 75-83
31-40 44-43
Position#248
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game65.7
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#18
Record5-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
43-66
43
66
-23
H05/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#28
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A17/03
NIT
Brigham Young
#5
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A20/03
NIT
Wartburg Knights
#646
W
105-49
105
49
+56
H08/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A12/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A21/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-39
0-0
20-27
0-0
43-38
0-0
37-30
0-0
42-47
0-0
29-43
0-0
53-20
0-0
52-29
0-0
29-32
0-0
26-36
0-0
43-32
0-0
26-43
0-0
27-41
0-0
40-28
0-0
32-31
0-0
51-45
0-0
30-29
0-0
23-39
0-0
38-20
0-0
34-35
138.2Avg total
69.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.065.7137.7+6.343%
Season at home (3)86.760.0146.7+26.7100%
Season away (4)61.070.0131.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)69.868.4138.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)68.868.6137.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.078.8150.8-6.833%
vs Similar (11)72.469.6142.0+2.755%
vs Weaker (8)77.066.2143.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#57
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
0-0
52-26
0-0
33-44
0-0
39-46
0-0
54-39
0-0
57-37
0-0
55-53
0-0
38-33
0-0
33-50
0-0
33-32
0-0
42-54
0-0
45-33
0-0
37-36
0-0
40-33
0-0
50-34
0-0
32-35
0-0
41-45
157.2Avg total
79.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.178.8163.9+6.462%
Season at home (5)91.079.6170.6+11.480%
Season away (3)75.377.3152.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)79.877.4157.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)78.277.0155.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.471.2153.7+11.275%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -1.6-1.6
Northern IowaToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H05/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#28
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/03
NIT
Brigham Young
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/03
NIT
Wartburg Knights
#646
W
53-20
53
20
+33
H08/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A12/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H03/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.869.0+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.330.767.9+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)35.035.070.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.032.968.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.030.664.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.139.474.6-4.322%-
vs Similar (11)35.229.364.5+5.973%-
vs Weaker (8)35.631.266.9+4.462%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#57
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
38.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.874.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.134.172.2+4.059%-
Last 30 away (13)42.535.878.2+6.777%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.773.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.270.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.634.575.1+6.271%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northern Iowa wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HEvansville72-55
01/12/22ABradley53-68
26/11/22HNorthern Illinois83-76
22/11/22AGrand Canyon67-69
21/11/22ASan Francisco69-75
12/11/22ARichmond Spiders55-68
08/11/22HWartburg Knights105-49
20/03/22ABrigham Young71-90
17/03/22ASt. Louis Billikens80-68
05/03/22HLoyola Chicago43-66
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22AGeorge Mason73-80
01/12/22HRichmond Spiders90-67
23/11/22ANorthern Kentucky82-69
22/11/22HEast Carolina75-86
21/11/22AUMKC71-83
17/11/22HOakland112-90
11/11/22HUAB93-85
08/11/22HValparaiso85-70
16/03/22HDayton55-74
11/03/22HAkron62-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game72.086.761.0
Allowed / game65.760.070.0
Point differential+6.3+26.7-9.0
Avg total137.7146.7131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game85.191.075.3
Allowed / game78.879.677.3
Point differential+6.4+11.4-2.0
Avg total163.9170.6152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State98189%84.168.9+15.2
2 Drake87188%74.864.4+10.4
3 Bradley107370%69.059.2+9.8
4 Murray State85362%75.670.0+5.6
5 Southern Illinois85362%66.261.6+4.6
6 Belmont106460%76.672.9+3.7
7 Illinois (Chi.)95456%70.766.8+3.9
8 Northern Iowa73443%72.065.7+6.3
9 Valparaiso104640%70.373.3-3.0
10 Illinois State93633%64.868.4-3.7
11 Evansville102820%59.270.1-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass87188%72.166.0+6.1
2 Kent State96367%75.463.1+12.3
3 Akron85362%68.060.2+7.8
4 Toledo85362%85.178.8+6.4
5 Buffalo95456%76.374.4+1.9
6 Ball State84450%77.467.8+9.6
7 Ohio84450%77.868.8+9.0
8 Central Michigan84450%72.869.1+3.6
9 Bowling Green83538%70.475.0-4.6
10 Western Michigan93633%72.170.6+1.6
11 Northern Illinois93633%69.474.8-5.3
12 Eastern Michigan92722%75.482.8-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa314475
Toledo404383
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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