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Toledo vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-70
52-26 33-44
Position#18
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Valparaiso
USA
Position#306
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Toledo v Valparaiso
07 Nov 2022
TOLE85
VALP70
19 Dec 2020
TOLE71
VALP57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#320
W
100-72
100
72
+28
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
92-50
92
50
+42
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
53-35
0-0
47-37
0-0
20-36
0-0
39-36
0-0
29-31
0-0
39-35
0-0
41-36
0-0
51-14
0-0
40-39
0-0
48-34
0-0
46-32
0-0
46-44
0-0
47-28
0-0
49-28
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-39
0-0
28-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
146.4Avg total
78.4Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.468.0146.4+10.470%
Last 5 (5)75.469.4144.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.368.7149.0+11.679%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
79-72 OT
79
72
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A12/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
27-26
37-33
33-37
36-41
30-43
36-30
33-41
39-23
33-33
36-30
38-39
29-31
36-40
13-34
42-45
43-32
38-27
28-35
30-32
140.0Avg total
69.4Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.470.6140.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)66.669.0135.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.173.2137.3-9.19%
vs Similar (11)69.874.3144.1-4.545%
vs Weaker (7)79.962.0141.9+17.9100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +8.8+8.82nd half: -2.3-2.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +8.8+8.82nd half: -2.3-2.3
ToledoValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
69.8Avg total
35.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.673.1+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.732.169.8+5.659%-
Last 30 away (13)41.835.677.4+6.277%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.169.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.867.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)39.634.173.8+5.568%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.864.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.931.165.0+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)29.534.964.4-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.365.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.462.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.232.961.1-4.727%-
vs Similar (11)30.036.166.1-6.118%-
vs Weaker (7)39.029.368.3+9.786%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toledo wins
0
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
10/11/21Valparaiso v Toledo61-69
19/12/20Toledo v Valparaiso71-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/22HDayton55-74
11/03/22HAkron62-70
10/03/22HCentral Michigan72-71
04/03/22HBowling Green96-56
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
23/02/22AWestern Michigan92-50
20/02/22HCentral Michigan68-66
15/02/22HKent State59-72
12/02/22ANorthern Illinois100-72
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22AMissouri State58-67
04/03/22HEvansville81-59
27/02/22ABradley55-79
24/02/22HDrake65-71
22/02/22HEvansville74-69
19/02/22AEvansville72-56
17/02/22HLoyola Chicago69-71
12/02/22AMissouri State66-84
10/02/22AIllinois State75-78 OT
06/02/22HIndiana State79-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison110100%123.038.0+85.0
2 Appalachian State110100%142.074.0+68.0
3 Oakland110100%92.027.0+65.0
4 UMass Lowell110100%108.043.0+65.0
5 Baylor110100%117.053.0+64.0
6 Wisc. Milwaukee110100%102.046.0+56.0
7 Butler110100%89.053.0+36.0
8 NC Greensboro110100%93.060.0+33.0
9 Kentucky110100%95.063.0+32.0
10 Middle Tenn. St.110100%79.052.0+27.0
11 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%97.072.0+25.0
12 Charlotte110100%82.059.0+23.0
13 Michigan110100%75.056.0+19.0
14 Prairie View A&M110100%94.079.0+15.0
15 Villanova110100%81.068.0+13.0
16 Stanford110100%88.078.0+10.0
17 Harvard110100%68.063.0+5.0
18 Morehouse1010%63.068.0-5.0
19 Pacific1010%78.088.0-10.0
20 La Salle1010%68.081.0-13.0
21 Kansas Christian1010%79.094.0-15.0
22 IPFW1010%56.075.0-19.0
23 Coppin State1010%59.082.0-23.0
24 Merrimack Warriors1010%72.097.0-25.0
25 Brescia1010%52.079.0-27.0
26 Howard1010%63.095.0-32.0
27 Johnson & Wales (RI)1010%60.093.0-33.0
28 New Orleans1010%53.089.0-36.0
29 Milwaukee School of Engineering1010%46.0102.0-56.0
30 Miss. Valley St.1010%53.0117.0-64.0
31 Defiance College1010%27.092.0-65.0
32 Fisher1010%43.0108.0-65.0
33 Warren Wilson1010%74.0142.0-68.0
34 Valley Forge1010%38.0123.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo523385
Valparaiso264470
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