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Toledo vs UAB Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-85
39-46 54-39
Position#18
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.0
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
UAB
USA
Position#44
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
92-50
92
50
+42
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-36
0-0
39-36
0-0
29-31
0-0
39-35
0-0
41-36
0-0
51-14
0-0
40-39
0-0
48-34
0-0
46-32
0-0
46-44
0-0
47-28
0-0
49-28
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-39
0-0
28-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
0-0
52-26
0-0
33-44
144.7Avg total
76.9Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.967.8144.7+9.170%
Last 5 (5)74.068.2142.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)80.968.8149.8+12.179%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H19/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A25/02
NCAA
UTEP
#136
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A19/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
111-70
111
70
+41
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
30-33
37-30
31-26
27-34
42-32
44-32
37-36
39-36
48-38
47-35
33-31
35-31
27-31
43-33
39-40
37-46
31-36
53-34
58-36
151.6Avg total
80.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)111.070.0181.0+41.0100%
Season at home (1)111.070.0181.0+41.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.571.1151.6+9.480%
Last 5 (5)88.677.8166.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)64.767.7132.3-3.033%
vs Weaker (26)81.068.7149.6+12.381%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
ToledoUAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.833.473.2+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.531.870.3+6.761%-
Last 30 away (12)41.835.977.7+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)35.633.268.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.667.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)40.033.973.9+6.168%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H19/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A25/02
NCAA
UTEP
#136
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H08/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
38.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.270.4+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.329.969.3+9.478%-
Last 30 away (12)36.435.672.0+0.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.672.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.878.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.035.068.0-2.067%-
vs Weaker (26)38.532.871.2+5.769%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
UAB wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22HValparaiso85-70
16/03/22HDayton55-74
11/03/22HAkron62-70
10/03/22HCentral Michigan72-71
04/03/22HBowling Green96-56
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
23/02/22AWestern Michigan92-50
20/02/22HCentral Michigan68-66
15/02/22HKent State59-72
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22HAlabama State111-70
19/03/22AHouston68-82
13/03/22HLouisiana Tech82-73
11/03/22AMiddle Tenn. St.102-98 OT
11/03/22HFlorida Atlantic80-66
05/03/22HLouisiana Tech87-74
03/03/22ASouthern Miss81-68
27/02/22AUTEP69-66
25/02/22AUTSA Roadrunners68-56
19/02/22HNorth Texas57-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
UAB
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game111.0111.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+41.0+41.0-
Avg total181.0181.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State110100%109.039.0+70.0
2 Kent State220100%77.556.0+21.5
3 Toledo110100%85.070.0+15.0
4 Eastern Michigan110100%75.066.0+9.0
5 Bowling Green110100%62.058.0+4.0
6 Akron110100%81.080.0+1.0
7 Buffalo110100%88.087.0+1.0
8 Western Michigan21150%79.561.5+18.0
9 UMass21150%74.567.0+7.5
10 Ohio1010%69.070.0-1.0
11 Northern Illinois1010%77.083.0-6.0
12 Central Michigan1010%73.097.0-24.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB110100%111.070.0+41.0
2 Florida Atlantic110100%81.046.0+35.0
3 UTSA Roadrunners110100%74.047.0+27.0
4 Wichita State110100%79.055.0+24.0
5 Charlotte110100%82.059.0+23.0
6 Tulane110100%89.067.0+22.0
7 Memphis110100%76.067.0+9.0
8 North Texas110100%53.047.0+6.0
9 East Carolina110100%77.075.0+2.0
10 Rice21150%76.077.0-1.0
11 South Florida1010%61.064.0-3.0
12 Temple1010%73.076.0-3.0
13 Tulsa1010%70.073.0-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo395493
UAB463985
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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