Norths Bears vs Illawarra Hawks 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jul 2025

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 101-103

28-30 21-24 25-21 27-28

Position#4

Record9-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game77.8

Norths Bears

Illawarra Hawks 2 🏆

Position#2

Record12-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game91.4

Allowed / game83.6

NBL1 East

Other2025

Meetings · Norths Bears v Illawarra Hawks 2

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks 2 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths Bears Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hills Hornets

#11

76-77

-1

A03/05

NBL1 East

Penrith P.

#16

97-86

+11

H10/05

NBL1 East

BA CoE

62-85

-23

H17/05

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

#13

68-81

-13

A24/05

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

68-78

-10

A31/05

NBL1 East

Maitland M.

#12

89-85

A01/06

NBL1 East

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#15

80-75

A14/06

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

102-70

102

+32

H21/06

NBL1 East

Manly W.

90-78

+12

H29/06

NBL1 East

Hornsby S.

#14

90-83

H05/07

NBL1 East

23-17

20-21

18-21

15-18

25-26

16-17

25-24

31-19

13-23

21-24

16-21

12-17

19-20

16-18

15-15

18-28

22-19

19-19

10-17

17-23

21-20

24-16

19-30

25-19

16-8

20-21

25-20

19-26

25-22

31-13

25-11

21-24

20-23

21-22

28-19

21-14

19-25

30-21

22-19

19-18

162.0Avg total

82.2Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	77.6	77.8	155.4	-0.2	56%
Season at home (7)	84.0	79.7	163.7	+4.3	71%
Season away (9)	72.7	76.3	149.0	-3.7	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	79.8	162.0	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	78.2	168.4	+12.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	77.1	89.1	166.2	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	78.1	79.3	157.4	-1.2	56%
vs Weaker (13)	88.7	80.3	169.0	+8.4	85%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks 2 Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hornsby S.

#14

69-100

100

-31

A10/05

NBL1 East

Penrith P.

#16

86-81

A11/05

NBL1 East

Canberra

85-78

H17/05

NBL1 East

Hills Hornets

#11

94-69

+25

A24/05

NBL1 East

Manly W.

108-74

108

+34

A01/06

NBL1 East

Bankstown Bruins

112-100

112

100

+12

H14/06

NBL1 East

BA CoE

102-72

102

+30

H15/06

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

#13

98-95

H21/06

NBL1 East

Canberra

85-93

-8

A28/06

NBL1 East

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#15

122-90

122

+32

H05/07

NBL1 East

20-26

11-20

16-22

22-32

22-23

13-17

31-21

20-20

22-24

12-20

20-16

31-18

25-24

26-15

25-18

18-12

25-22

31-11

33-19

19-22

39-36

22-22

24-27

27-15

26-15

25-18

17-24

34-15

30-23

14-22

24-18

30-32

23-22

23-18

21-25

18-28

36-29

30-17

30-23

26-21

181.3Avg total

96.1Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	91.4	83.6	175.0	+7.8	75%
Season at home (8)	99.8	84.0	183.8	+15.8	100%
Season away (8)	83.0	83.2	166.2	-0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	96.1	85.2	181.3	+10.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	103.8	90.0	193.8	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	86.0	98.0	184.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	85.8	82.8	168.6	+3.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	91.6	81.5	173.1	+10.1	78%

This opponent (Norths Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Norths BearsIllawarra Hawks 2

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.5	18.6	40.2	+2.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	22.3	46.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.2	23.4	48.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	21.1	44.7	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	24.4	51.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	25.0	55.8	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	26.5	48.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	26.1	22.4	48.6	+3.7	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.6	43.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	17.4	38.8	+3.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.2	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	33%	-

Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hills Hornets

#11

43-38

A03/05

NBL1 East

Penrith P.

#16

41-43

-2

H10/05

NBL1 East

BA CoE

34-47

-13

H17/05

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

#13

35-38

-3

A24/05

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

41-38

A31/05

NBL1 East

Maitland M.

#12

45-36

A01/06

NBL1 East

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#15

36-29

A14/06

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

56-35

+21

H21/06

NBL1 East

Manly W.

41-45

-4

H29/06

NBL1 East

Hornsby S.

#14

49-46

H05/07

NBL1 East

81.6Avg total

42.1Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.8	81.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	44.1	87.9	-0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	36.1	75.9	+3.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	39.5	81.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	38.2	83.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.8	44.9	84.6	-5.1	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.1	37.9	79.0	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.2	38.1	81.2	+5.1	77%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hornsby S.

#14

31-46

-15

A10/05

NBL1 East

Penrith P.

#16

35-40

-5

A11/05

NBL1 East

Canberra

34-44

-10

H17/05

NBL1 East

Hills Hornets

#11

51-39

+12

A24/05

NBL1 East

Manly W.

56-33

+23

A01/06

NBL1 East

Bankstown Bruins

61-58

H14/06

NBL1 East

BA CoE

51-33

+18

H15/06

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

#13

44-45

-1

H21/06

NBL1 East

Canberra

46-40

A28/06

NBL1 East

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#15

66-46

+20

H05/07

NBL1 East

89.9Avg total

47.5Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	42.1	86.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	42.7	88.8	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	42.4	89.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.6	44.4	98.0	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	44.0	86.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.6	41.8	84.4	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.8	42.0	87.8	+3.8	56%	-

This opponent (Norths Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.5	19.6	42.2	+2.9	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	21.3	45.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	29.0	49.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.4	44.2	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.4	23.1	42.5	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	18.9	43.2	+5.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	22.2	49.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.4	19.4	40.9	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.5	83.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	42.6	87.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	42.5	79.8	-5.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	40.3	80.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	40.0	84.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.4	44.2	81.6	-6.9	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.0	41.4	78.4	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.5	42.2	87.8	+3.3	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	40.7	84.9	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.5	39.1	86.6	+8.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	42.5	82.9	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	42.8	91.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	45.6	95.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.5	54.0	97.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.8	39.1	83.8	+5.7	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Norths Bears wins

Illawarra Hawks 2 wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/23	Norths Bears v Illawarra Hawks 2	101-75

Norths Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/07/25	H	Hornsby S.	90-83
29/06/25	H	Manly W.	90-78
21/06/25	H	Newcastle Falcons	102-70
14/06/25	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	80-75
01/06/25	A	Maitland M.	89-85
31/05/25	A	Newcastle Falcons	68-78
24/05/25	A	Inner West Bulls	68-81
17/05/25	H	BA CoE	62-85
10/05/25	H	Penrith P.	97-86
03/05/25	A	Hills Hornets	76-77

Illawarra Hawks 2last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/07/25	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	122-90
28/06/25	A	Canberra	85-93
21/06/25	H	Inner West Bulls	98-95
15/06/25	H	BA CoE	102-72
14/06/25	H	Bankstown Bruins	112-100
01/06/25	A	Manly W.	108-74
24/05/25	A	Hills Hornets	94-69
17/05/25	H	Canberra	85-78
11/05/25	A	Penrith P.	86-81
10/05/25	A	Hornsby S.	69-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears

NBL1 East 2025

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	56%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LLLWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	56%	71%	44%
Points / game	77.6	84.0	72.7
Allowed / game	77.8	79.7	76.3
Point differential	-0.2	+4.3	-3.7
Avg total	155.4	163.7	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	43%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	-	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks 2

NBL1 East 2025

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	75%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	91.4	99.8	83.0
Allowed / game	83.6	84.0	83.2
Point differential	+7.8	+15.8	-0.2
Avg total	175.0	183.8	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	62%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	BA CoE	18	14	4	78%	84.4	73.2	+11.3
2	Canberra	17	13	4	76%	92.8	78.0	+14.8
3	Sydney Comets	17	13	4	76%	80.4	75.5	+4.9
4	Illawarra Hawks 2	16	12	4	75%	91.4	83.6	+7.8
5	Norths Bears	16	9	7	56%	77.6	77.8	-0.2
6	Sutherland Sharks	18	10	8	56%	85.9	81.1	+4.8
7	Bankstown Bruins	17	9	8	53%	87.0	84.7	+2.3
8	Manly W.	17	9	8	53%	85.4	85.5	-0.1
9	Central Coast Crusaders	17	9	8	53%	82.8	84.8	-2.1
10	Newcastle Falcons	17	8	9	47%	80.1	79.7	+0.4
11	Maitland M.	17	7	10	41%	91.2	89.2	+1.9
12	Hills Hornets	17	6	11	35%	76.6	81.8	-5.1
13	Hornsby S.	17	6	11	35%	82.8	89.4	-6.6
14	Inner West Bulls	16	5	11	31%	83.9	87.5	-3.6
15	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	17	3	14	18%	80.3	96.1	-15.8
16	Penrith P.	18	3	15	17%	74.9	89.5	-14.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Norths Bears	28	21	25	27	101
Illawarra Hawks 2	30	24	21	28	103

← all games of the day

Norths Bears vs Illawarra Hawks 2 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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