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Norths Bears W vs Maitland Mustangs W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 82-55
23-8 20-7 25-25 14-15
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game62.1
vs
Position#13
Record5-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game72.9
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2024
Meetings · Norths Bears W v Maitland Mustangs W
29 Jun 2024
NORT82
MAIT55
29 Jul 2023
NORT81
MAIT57
23 Apr 2022
NORT98
MAIT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths Bears WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A05/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A12/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H18/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A26/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H15/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
25-8
24-16
20-16
14-13
19-18
22-12
18-14
20-7
28-16
16-21
14-24
14-8
16-13
25-19
12-18
15-18
25-23
19-19
20-14
17-6
22-11
23-18
6-17
22-19
23-21
21-20
16-18
23-23
32-12
26-19
11-24
15-13
27-21
16-10
20-15
22-13
22-19
20-8
27-13
142.7Avg total
79.5Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.162.1139.2+15.193%
Season at home (8)82.261.0143.2+21.2100%
Season away (7)71.363.3134.6+8.086%
Last 10 (10)79.563.2142.7+16.3100%
Last 5 (5)82.264.0146.2+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.594.5168.0-21.00%
vs Similar (2)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.564.1149.7+21.492%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#1
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A04/05
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H18/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A19/05
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H25/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A15/06
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A16/06
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A22/06
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
W
88-53
88
53
+35
A23/06
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-23
27-22
15-31
15-23
22-16
8-24
17-17
9-15
10-18
19-26
23-8
16-17
12-22
23-8
21-12
13-10
15-17
10-14
12-16
18-24
6-25
27-19
17-28
14-21
14-27
18-10
26-23
18-20
27-13
12-26
16-11
17-27
6-18
16-21
23-23
17-19
19-8
23-16
22-18
24-11
142.2Avg total
67.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.372.9142.2-3.631%
Season at home (8)65.071.5136.5-6.525%
Season away (8)73.674.2147.9-0.638%
Last 10 (10)67.574.7142.2-7.220%
Last 5 (5)72.476.8149.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.376.5144.7-8.240%
vs Similar (5)69.273.0142.2-3.80%
vs Weaker (10)70.457.1127.5+13.380%
This opponent (Norths Bears W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Norths Bears WMaitland Mustangs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norths Bears WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A12/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
W
39-17
39
17
+22
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A26/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
71.6Avg total
41.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.232.076.2+12.290%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.432.679.1+13.894%-
Last 30 away (14)41.631.372.9+10.386%-
Last 10 (10)41.929.771.6+12.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.031.676.6+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.545.085.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (2)42.028.570.5+13.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.631.375.9+13.396%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A04/05
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A19/05
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H25/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/06
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/06
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A22/06
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A23/06
NBL1 East Women
69.5Avg total
32.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.768.4-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.732.865.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)34.536.771.2-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)32.237.369.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.670.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.437.269.6-4.827%-
vs Similar (5)31.640.672.2-9.00%-
vs Weaker (10)36.528.164.6+8.470%-
This opponent (Norths Bears W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Norths Bears W wins
0
Maitland Mustangs W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/24HSydney Comets W91-53
15/06/24HCentral Coast W78-59
01/06/24HCanberra W92-78
26/05/24ANewcastle Falcons W82-78
25/05/24AManly W. W68-52
18/05/24HHornsby S. W79-74
12/05/24AIllawarra Hawks W67-58
11/05/24HPenrith P. W78-68
05/05/24ABA CoE W73-57
04/05/24HInner West Bulls W87-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24ABA CoE W88-53
22/06/24ACanberra W62-81
16/06/24APenrith P. W72-77
15/06/24ABankstown Bruins W76-80
01/06/24HManly W. W64-93
25/05/24HSydney Comets W55-71
19/05/24AInner West Bulls W69-52
18/05/24HPenrith P. W68-69
11/05/24HHills Hornets W56-72
04/05/24AAlbury W65-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game77.182.271.3
Allowed / game62.161.063.3
Point differential+15.1+21.2+8.0
Avg total139.2143.2134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%88%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%25%38%
Points / game69.365.073.6
Allowed / game72.971.574.2
Point differential-3.6-6.5-0.6
Avg total142.2136.5147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%12%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W17170100%98.264.9+33.3
2 Norths Bears W1514193%77.162.1+15.1
3 Newcastle Falcons W1612475%80.572.2+8.2
4 Manly W. W1511473%78.262.2+16.0
5 Central Coast W169756%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sutherland Sharks W158753%75.779.2-3.5
7 BA CoE W20101050%72.573.2-0.8
8 Sydney Comets W168850%69.971.1-1.1
9 Illawarra Hawks W157847%68.368.1+0.2
10 Canberra W1771041%76.277.2-1.0
11 Hills Hornets W156940%70.378.9-8.6
12 Maitland Mustangs W1651131%69.372.9-3.6
13 Hornsby S. W1651131%72.383.3-11.0
14 Penrith P. W1651131%67.980.6-12.7
15 Bankstown Bruins W1641225%74.179.2-5.1
16 Inner West Bulls W171166%53.281.4-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norths Bears W2320251482
Maitland Mustangs W87251555
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