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Penrith P. W vs Maitland Mustangs W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 77-72
13-27 26-12 11-16 27-17
Position#11
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#13
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game73.5
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2024
Meetings · Penrith P. W v Maitland Mustangs W
16 Jun 2024
PENR77
MAIT72
09 Jul 2023
PENR48
MAIT54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
84-72 OT
84
72
+12
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
59-117
59
117
-58
H12/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A18/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A02/06
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H15/06
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
21-15
21-11
14-24
22-25
19-20
10-17
24-18
10-10
13-4
16-25
17-14
7-20
16-28
21-16
24-14
8-32
24-29
16-31
11-25
18-10
26-19
8-23
17-16
18-28
17-22
20-24
21-25
20-23
17-20
17-17
14-18
21-19
15-27
23-24
15-21
6-14
7-19
3-11
24-19
146.8Avg total
66.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)66.083.0149.0-17.021%
Season at home (6)63.777.2140.8-13.533%
Season away (8)67.887.4155.1-19.612%
Last 10 (10)66.979.9146.8-13.030%
Last 5 (5)65.479.8145.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)57.081.2138.2-24.35%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.175.7145.9-5.643%
vs Weaker (2)71.565.5137.0+6.050%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A04/05
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H18/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A19/05
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H25/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A15/06
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-20
22-23
21-15
8-19
16-14
16-21
22-20
15-14
15-25
22-20
15-8
8-23
27-22
15-31
15-23
22-16
8-24
17-17
9-15
10-18
19-26
23-8
16-17
12-22
23-8
21-12
13-10
15-17
10-14
12-16
18-24
6-25
27-19
17-28
14-21
14-27
18-10
26-23
18-20
143.4Avg total
67.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.273.5141.7-5.231%
Season at home (8)65.071.5136.5-6.525%
Season away (5)73.476.6150.0-3.240%
Last 10 (10)67.276.2143.4-9.020%
Last 5 (5)66.473.0139.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.477.4143.8-10.936%
vs Similar ◀ (4)68.572.0140.5-3.50%
vs Weaker (12)69.756.6126.2+13.183%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Penrith P. WMaitland Mustangs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H12/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A18/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/06
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
13-33
13
33
-20
H15/06
NBL1 East Women
72.1Avg total
31.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.440.770.1-11.320%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.139.368.4-10.224%-
Last 30 away (13)29.842.572.4-12.715%-
Last 10 (10)31.840.372.1-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.273.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)26.342.068.3-15.814%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.038.375.3-1.329%-
vs Weaker (2)35.535.070.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A04/05
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A19/05
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H25/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/06
NBL1 East Women
69.3Avg total
31.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.767.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.532.164.6+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)34.635.570.1-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.437.969.3-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.837.268.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.236.969.1-4.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)29.841.070.8-11.20%-
vs Weaker (12)36.227.563.7+8.775%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penrith P. W wins
1
Maitland Mustangs W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24HManly W. W40-63
02/06/24AHills Hornets W74-91
01/06/24HBA CoE W68-78
25/05/24AAlbury W76-99
18/05/24AMaitland Mustangs W69-68
12/05/24HAlbury W59-117
11/05/24ANorths Bears W68-78
04/05/24HCanberra W56-53
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons W75-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets W84-72 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24ABankstown Bruins W76-80
01/06/24HManly W. W64-93
25/05/24HSydney Comets W55-71
19/05/24AInner West Bulls W69-52
18/05/24HPenrith P. W68-69
11/05/24HHills Hornets W56-72
04/05/24AAlbury W65-99
27/04/24ACentral Coast W73-78 OT
25/04/24HHornsby S. W62-74
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks W84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%33%12%
Points / game66.063.767.8
Allowed / game83.077.287.4
Point differential-17.0-13.5-19.6
Avg total149.0140.8155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%25%40%
Points / game68.265.073.4
Allowed / game73.571.576.6
Point differential-5.2-6.5-3.2
Avg total141.7136.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%12%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W15150100%97.166.1+31.1
2 Norths Bears W1413193%76.162.7+13.4
3 Manly W. W1210283%81.061.9+19.1
4 Newcastle Falcons W1511473%80.972.1+8.7
5 BA CoE W1710759%75.973.2+2.6
6 Sutherland Sharks W137654%76.477.7-1.3
7 Central Coast W158753%78.375.4+2.9
8 Sydney Comets W147750%69.870.1-0.4
9 Illawarra Hawks W146843%68.268.9-0.6
10 Hills Hornets W125742%72.477.8-5.3
11 Canberra W1661038%75.978.2-2.2
12 Hornsby S. W1551033%73.483.1-9.7
13 Maitland Mustangs W134931%68.273.5-5.2
14 Bankstown Bruins W1431121%75.180.8-5.6
15 Penrith P. W1431121%66.083.0-17.0
16 Inner West Bulls W151147%52.481.7-29.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P. W1326112777
Maitland Mustangs W2712161772
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