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Northwestern vs Chicago State Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#128
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game61.8
vs
Position#267
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Northwestern v Chicago State
29 Dec 2026
NORT v CHIC
upcoming
13 Dec 2023
NORT73
CHIC75
07 Nov 2022
NORT85
CHIC54
05 Dec 2020
NORT111
CHIC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H10/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
34-26
34-25
32-45
29-39
37-28
34-32
42-34
36-37
38-24
21-45
47-36
51-35
35-25
44-30
34-35
39-24
33-31
23-27
24-40
135.0Avg total
69.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.861.8132.5+9.075%
Season at home (4)70.861.8132.5+9.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.665.4135.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)70.265.6135.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.574.1139.6-8.520%
vs Similar (8)71.868.2140.0+3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.766.4147.1+14.386%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
59-109
59
109
-50
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
33-32
28-25
42-26
31-32
25-41
24-42
37-38
33-40
42-39
30-56
29-53
34-22
32-32
33-53
34-29
39-26
42-36
29-46
38-41
139.8Avg total
66.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Season at home (1)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
Season away (4)68.278.0146.2-9.850%
Last 10 (10)66.173.7139.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.675.2138.8-11.617%
vs Similar (4)76.273.2149.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (2)75.558.0133.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -1.3-1.3
NorthwesternChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H14/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.432.568.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)29.636.365.9-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.267.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.735.667.3-3.933%-
vs Similar (8)33.231.664.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.633.472.0+5.186%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A14/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
30.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.866.7-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.032.766.7+1.364%-
Last 30 away (19)29.237.566.7-8.426%-
Last 10 (10)30.737.067.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.673.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.436.866.2-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.569.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (2)40.528.068.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northwestern wins
1
Chicago State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDePaul47-67
10/11/26HBoston University72-55
07/11/26HStony Brook78-65
03/11/26HBinghamton86-60
12/03/26APurdue68-81
11/03/26AIndiana74-61
10/03/26HPenn State76-66
08/03/26AMinnesota66-67
05/03/26HPurdue66-70
28/02/26HOregon63-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Diego Toreros67-87
12/11/26ACalifornia Baptist81-62
10/11/26HSouth Carolina St67-82
06/11/26AIncarnate Word66-54
03/11/26ATexas59-109
05/03/26ALIU Sharks75-79
28/02/26AWagner61-80
27/02/26ALIU Sharks56-73
21/02/26HCentral Connecticut State70-51
20/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson59-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game70.870.8-
Allowed / game61.861.8-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total132.5132.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Chicago State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game68.067.068.2
Allowed / game78.882.078.0
Point differential-10.8-15.0-9.8
Avg total146.8149.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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