Northwestern faces DePaul on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model rating the Wildcats as the clear favourite, assigning them an 84% chance of victory largely because of their 3-0 record, 78.7 points per game and 60.0 allowed per game, and a 1.5-point home line that the model believes they will cover with an 85% probability. Both teams are undefeated this season, each 3-0, with DePaul averaging 80.3 points per game and allowing 61.7, slightly higher scoring than Northwestern but also conceding more. Northwestern's home form is perfect, 3-0, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 72-55 win over Boston University, a 78-65 win over Stony Brook and an 86-60 win over Binghamton. DePaul's recent wins include 84-47 over Alabama A&M, 82-80 over South Florida and 75-58 over West Georgia, with three wins in their last five. Historically, Northwestern has won four of five meetings, most recently 81-79 in 2025. The model projects a 76-65 score for the game, a total of 140.6 points, and an over-under line of 140.5 with a 50% chance of the over; the overtime probability is 3%. The next game will see Northwestern try to extend their winning streak against a DePaul side that has yet to lose a contest.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Northwestern winLost
83.9%fair 1.19
Best odds2.00
Implied48.4%
Edge+35.4pp
DePaul winWon
16.1%fair 6.20
Best odds1.87
Implied51.6%
Edge-35.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 134.5Actual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
64.2%
@ 1.47+0.6pp
Under 134.5
35.8%
@ 2.62-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 139.5 · main lineActual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
52.2%
@ 1.91+2.2pp
Under 139.5
47.8%
@ 1.91-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
40.1%
@ 2.60+2.9pp
Under 144.5
59.9%
@ 1.50-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
📊 3. Team Totals
Northwestern total 64.5Actual: Northwestern under 64.5
Over 64.5
87.4%
@ 1.32+18.9pp
Under 64.5
12.6%
@ 2.87-18.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
2.87
Northwestern total 69 · main lineActual: Northwestern under 69
Over 69
76.5%
@ 1.85+26.5pp
Under 69
23.5%
@ 1.85-26.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Northwestern total 73Actual: Northwestern under 73
Over 73
62.0%
Under 73
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
DePaul total 67Push
Over 67
40.0%
Under 67
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
DePaul total 71 · main lineActual: DePaul under 71
Over 71
25.6%
@ 1.86-24.2pp
Under 71
74.4%
@ 1.85+24.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
DePaul total 75Actual: DePaul under 75
Over 75
14.8%
Under 75
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Northwestern -2Actual: DePaul +2
NORT -2
81.5%
@ 2.22+38.4pp
DEPA +2
18.5%
@ 1.68-38.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.10
DEPA
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.62
Spread Northwestern +1 · main lineActual: DePaul -1
NORT +1
85.2%
@ 1.94+35.8pp
DEPA -1
14.8%
@ 1.89-35.8pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
DEPA
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Spread Northwestern +4Actual: DePaul -4
NORT +4
90.4%
@ 1.57+31.5pp
DEPA -4
9.6%
@ 2.25-31.5pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Bet365
1.57
DEPA
Bet365
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
NorthwesternDePaul
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 67
Last 30 (30)
34.0
35.0
69.0
-1.0
50%
53%
Last 30 at home (17)
37.2
32.8
70.1
+4.4
71%
53%
Last 30 away (13)
29.8
37.8
67.5
-8.0
23%
54%
Last 10 (10)
35.0
34.5
69.5
+0.5
50%
50%
Last 5 (5)
38.2
34.2
72.4
+4.0
60%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)
32.3
37.5
69.7
-5.2
33%
53%
vs Similar (8)
33.2
31.6
64.9
+1.6
50%
50%
vs Weaker (7)
38.6
33.4
72.0
+5.1
86%
57%
This opponent (DePaul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Northwestern -4
75.8%
2.50
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
-
+38.8pp
Lost
Northwestern -5
72.6%
2.70
Bet365
2.70
-
-
-
-
+38.4pp
Lost
Northwestern -2
81.5%
2.16
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.10
-
-
-
+38.4pp
Lost
Northwestern -3
78.5%
2.30
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
-
+38.4pp
Lost
Northwestern -4.5
73.4%
2.59
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.57
-
-
-
+37.9pp
Lost
Northwestern -5.5
70.2%
2.85
Betano
2.90
Bet365
2.80
-
-
-
+37.9pp
Lost
Northwestern (regulation)
81.9%
2.03
Marathon Bet
2.04
Betano
2.02
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Northwestern -3.5
76.5%
2.38
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.35
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Northwestern -2.5
79.0%
2.20
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.17
-
-
-
+37.2pp
Lost
Northwestern -1
83.6%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.00
-
-
-
+37.2pp
Lost
Northwestern -1.5
82.0%
2.09
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.05
-
-
+37.1pp
Lost
Northwestern +1
85.2%
1.91
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.88
-
-
+35.8pp
Lost
Northwestern win
83.9%
1.97
1xBet
2.00
WilliamHill
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.98
Bet365
1.98
+35.4pp
Lost
Northwestern +1.5
85.4%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.87
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
+34.5pp
Lost
Northwestern +2
87.3%
1.77
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.74
-
+33.8pp
Lost
Northwestern +2.5
87.5%
1.71
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.69
-
+31.9pp
Lost
Northwestern +4
90.4%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+31.5pp
Lost
Northwestern +3
88.8%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+31.2pp
Lost
Northwestern +4.5
90.5%
1.52
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+29.6pp
Lost
Northwestern +3.5
89.0%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57
-
-
+29.6pp
Lost
Northwestern +5
91.8%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+29.3pp
Lost
Northwestern +5.5
91.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+27.7pp
Lost
Northwestern +6
93.0%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+27.3pp
Lost
Northwestern over 69
76.5%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Northwestern over 68.5
77.2%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Northwestern over 69.5
74.1%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathon Bet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
+26.1pp
Lost
Northwestern +6.5
93.1%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+26.0pp
Lost
Northwestern +7
94.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+25.9pp
Lost
Northwestern over 70.5
70.7%
2.03
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
1.98
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Lost
DePaul under 71
74.4%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
-
+24.2pp
Won
Northwestern +8
94.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+24.0pp
Lost
Northwestern +7.5
94.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+23.9pp
Lost
Northwestern over 70
73.2%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
-
+22.7pp
Lost
Northwestern over 67.5
80.1%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+22.3pp
Lost
Northwestern +8.5
95.0%
1.27
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
+22.2pp
Lost
Northwestern +9
95.7%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+21.9pp
Lost
Northwestern +9.5
95.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Lost
DePaul under 70
71.1%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+21.1pp
Won
Northwestern over 66.5
82.8%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+21.1pp
Lost
DePaul under 71.5
75.2%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.67
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
Northwestern over 65.5
85.2%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Lost
DePaul under 70.5
72.0%
1.81
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
+19.8pp
Won
DePaul under 72.5
78.1%
1.53
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
Northwestern over 64.5
87.4%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Lost
DePaul under 73.5
80.8%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Won
DePaul under 74.5
83.3%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+17.4pp
Won
DePaul under 75.5
85.5%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Northwestern over 62.5
91.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Lost
Northwestern over 60.5
93.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
Northwestern over 58.5
95.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Lost
DePaul under 80.5
93.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
Northwestern over 56.5
97.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Lost
Northwestern over 54.5
98.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Lost
Overtime: no
96.8%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Northwestern over 52.5
98.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Lost
Under 164.5
92.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Over 119.5
90.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Lost
Over 132
70.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Lost
Over 131.5
70.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Lost
Over 129.5
74.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Lost
Under 159.5
87.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Over 124.5
83.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Lost
Under 154.5
80.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Under 149.5
71.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
DePaul over 53.5
86.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
DePaul over 55.5
81.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
DePaul over 57.5
75.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-13.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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