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Notre Dame vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-67
24-36 40-31
Position#117
Record6-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game68.3
Notre Dame
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#41
Record7-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game61.6
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Notre Dame v Louisville
16 Feb 2025
NOTR60
LOUI75
28 Jan 2023
NOTR76
LOUI62
09 Feb 2022
NOTR63
LOUI57
11 Jan 2020
NOTR64
LOUI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#198
W
64-62 OT
64
62
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#267
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H07/12
NCAA
Detroit
#314
W
110-71
110
71
+39
H11/12
NCAA
UCLA
#148
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#305
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H29/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A04/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
31-28
42-30
49-36
20-32
31-40
28-38
44-35
49-33
61-38
31-24
44-37
23-34
37-28
36-18
46-38
37-40
51-47
39-34
29-39
144.4Avg total
76.1Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.168.3144.4+7.860%
Season at home (7)79.164.4143.6+14.771%
Season away (3)69.077.3146.3-8.333%
Last 10 (10)76.168.3144.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)74.667.8142.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.073.0136.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.769.5137.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.866.5155.2+22.275%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#24
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A29/11
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#164
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H19/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-31
35-45
37-23
34-31
28-18
30-25
35-21
29-25
28-31
29-39
50-32
49-35
28-20
42-26
24-32
37-29
32-39
33-39
43-32
31-26
132.6Avg total
71.0Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.061.6132.6+9.470%
Season at home (8)71.160.5131.6+10.675%
Season away (2)70.566.0136.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)71.061.6132.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)75.665.4141.0+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.770.7135.3-6.033%
vs Weaker (5)75.654.2129.8+21.4100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
Notre DameLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#198
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#267
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H27/11
NCAA
Maryland
#37
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A05/12
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Detroit
#314
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H11/12
NCAA
UCLA
#148
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#305
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A09/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)33.231.064.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.629.663.1+4.056%-
Last 30 away (3)32.035.367.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.931.063.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.063.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.028.051.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)29.031.860.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (4)38.829.868.5+9.075%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#24
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H24/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A29/11
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#164
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
35.2Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)34.228.862.9+5.462%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.829.063.8+5.864%-
Last 30 away (2)30.527.558.0+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.227.963.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.066.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.026.067.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.231.762.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker (5)38.625.664.2+13.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
Louisville wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/20ANC State68-73
04/01/20ASyracuse88-87
29/12/19HAlabama A&M Bulldogs82-56
21/12/19HIndiana60-62
14/12/19HUCLA75-61
11/12/19HDetroit110-71
07/12/19HBoston College72-73
05/12/19AMaryland51-72
27/11/19HFairleigh Dickinson91-66
22/11/19HToledo64-62 OT
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/20HMiami (FL)74-58
04/01/20HFlorida State65-78
28/12/19AKentucky70-78 OT
19/12/19HMiami (Ohio)70-46
14/12/19HEastern Kentucky99-67
11/12/19HTexas Tech57-70
07/12/19HPittsburgh64-46
04/12/19HMichigan58-43
29/11/19AWestern Kentucky71-54
24/11/19HAkron82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game76.179.169.0
Allowed / game68.364.477.3
Point differential+7.8+14.7-8.3
Avg total144.4143.6146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%14%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %70%75%50%
Points / game71.071.170.5
Allowed / game61.660.566.0
Point differential+9.4+10.6+4.5
Avg total132.6131.6136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1211192%77.564.5+13.0
2 Duke1110191%83.263.6+19.5
3 SMU Mustangs108280%80.870.1+10.7
4 Stanford108280%68.257.8+10.4
5 Pittsburgh108280%68.159.9+8.2
6 Louisville107370%71.061.6+9.4
7 NC State107370%76.370.5+5.8
8 Virginia107370%54.650.2+4.4
9 Notre Dame106460%76.168.3+7.8
10 Virginia Tech106460%67.164.6+2.5
11 Wake Forest106460%73.072.6+0.4
12 Miami (FL)95456%71.676.1-4.6
13 Boston College105550%62.166.1-4.0
14 Syracuse115645%76.471.0+5.4
15 Georgia Tech125742%65.568.4-2.9
16 Clemson104640%64.563.5+1.0
17 North Carolina114736%68.373.3-5.0
18 California113827%61.771.2-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame244064
Louisville363167
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