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Louisville vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 64-46
35-21 29-25
Position#41
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game57.7
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#222
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game54.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Louisville v Pittsburgh
01 Mar 2025
LOUI79
PITT68
06 Jan 2024
LOUI70
PITT83
18 Jan 2023
LOUI54
PITT75
05 Jan 2022
LOUI75
PITT72
10 Feb 2021
LOUI v PITT
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
LOUI64
PITT46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#24
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H13/03
NIT
Middle Tenn. St.
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H18/03
NIT
Mississippi St.
#4
L
56-79
56
79
-23
H21/03
NIT
Akron
#24
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A29/11
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
7-15
22-14
21-14
15-16
26-10
24-26
19-16
12-20
16-19
13-20
15-20
0-0
47-31
0-0
35-45
0-0
37-23
0-0
34-31
0-0
28-18
0-0
30-25
132.5Avg total
69.5Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.357.7128.0+12.7100%
Season at home (2)70.059.5129.5+10.5100%
Season away (1)71.054.0125.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (6)69.563.0132.5+6.583%
Last 5 (5)70.264.0134.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (3)65.366.0131.3-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)71.054.0125.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H19/03
CBI
Butler
#3
W
68-62 OT
68
62
+6
A22/03
CBI
Washington State
#4
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A27/03
CBI
Washington State
#4
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H28/03
CBI
Washington State
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H30/03
CBI
George Washington
#15
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H17/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#348
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#322
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A28/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
49-25
0-0
33-36
0-0
26-24
0-0
26-28
0-0
38-35
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-20
0-0
28-33
0-0
38-35
0-0
33-30
0-0
23-28
0-0
31-32
0-0
31-18
0-0
35-23
0-0
28-30
0-0
35-29
0-0
25-23
0-0
47-36
0-0
35-27
0-0
36-33
125.7Avg total
67.0Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.054.8122.8+13.2100%
Season at home (2)68.550.5119.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)67.559.0126.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)67.058.7125.7+8.380%
Last 5 (5)65.255.8121.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.060.0131.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (5)65.061.2126.2+3.880%
vs Weaker (3)73.353.7127.0+19.7100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
LouisvillePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#24
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H13/03
NIT
Middle Tenn. St.
#10
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H18/03
NIT
Mississippi St.
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H21/03
NIT
Akron
#24
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H24/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A29/11
NCAA
Michigan
#131
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H04/12
NCAA
61.8Avg total
34.0Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)34.027.861.8+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (5)33.428.862.2+4.660%-
Last 30 away (1)37.023.060.0+14.0100%-
Last 10 (6)34.027.861.8+6.267%-
Last 5 (5)36.227.463.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.026.067.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (3)34.329.363.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)37.023.060.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#7
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H19/03
CBI
Butler
#3
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A22/03
CBI
Washington State
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A27/03
CBI
Washington State
#4
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H28/03
CBI
Washington State
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/03
CBI
George Washington
#15
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H17/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#348
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#322
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A25/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#323
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A28/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#104
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H04/12
NCAA
58.7Avg total
32.2Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)33.126.259.3+6.982%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.325.160.4+10.186%-
Last 30 away (4)29.228.057.2+1.275%-
Last 10 (10)32.226.558.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)28.425.253.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (5)31.828.860.6+3.080%-
vs Weaker (3)35.022.057.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Pittsburgh wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/19HMichigan58-43
29/11/19AWestern Kentucky71-54
24/11/19HAkron82-76
21/03/18HMississippi St.56-79
18/03/18HMiddle Tenn. St.84-68
13/03/18HNorthern Kentucky66-58
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/19HRutgers71-60
28/11/19ANorthwestern72-59
25/11/19AKansas State63-59
22/11/19HArkansas-Pine Bluff66-41
17/03/15HGeorge Washington54-60
30/03/12HWashington State71-65
28/03/12HWashington State57-53
27/03/12AWashington State66-67
22/03/12AButler68-62 OT
19/03/12HPrinceton82-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.370.071.0
Allowed / game57.759.554.0
Point differential+12.7+10.5+17.0
Avg total128.0129.5125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game68.068.567.5
Allowed / game54.850.559.0
Point differential+13.2+18.0+8.5
Avg total122.8119.0126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%77.257.0+20.2
2 Pittsburgh440100%68.054.8+13.2
3 Louisville330100%70.357.7+12.7
4 Duke65183%83.069.7+13.3
5 Florida State54180%76.063.6+12.4
6 Stanford43175%73.256.5+16.8
7 Virginia43175%48.046.5+1.5
8 NC State32167%73.765.0+8.7
9 Georgia Tech32167%67.361.0+6.3
10 Notre Dame32167%68.766.7+2.0
11 Wake Forest53260%71.070.0+1.0
12 Clemson42250%69.065.0+4.0
13 North Carolina42250%66.872.0-5.2
14 Miami (FL)31233%64.779.0-14.3
15 Syracuse41325%71.871.2+0.5
16 Virginia Tech41325%68.280.5-12.2
17 California41325%58.272.8-14.5
18 Boston College4040%57.270.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville352964
Pittsburgh212546
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