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Notre Dame vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-76
36-33 41-43
Position#117
Record11-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#288
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Notre Dame v North Carolina
04 Jan 2025
NOTR73
NORT74
22 Feb 2023
NOTR59
NORT63
05 Jan 2022
NOTR78
NORT73
17 Feb 2020
NOTR77
NORT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
49-50 OT
49
50
-1
A12/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
40-31
29-27
49-47
42-46
40-38
37-47
47-38
36-41
54-39
36-33
44-39
42-33
38-39
27-29
34-28
26-22
21-25
32-42
28-52
146.3Avg total
72.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.570.9145.4+3.555%
Season at home (12)79.268.8148.0+10.367%
Season away (8)67.474.0141.4-6.638%
Last 10 (10)72.873.5146.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)66.069.0135.0-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (12)68.368.4136.8-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.569.7157.2+17.883%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#211
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
A23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H25/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-29
31-41
23-43
29-23
36-30
24-30
51-27
43-44
39-35
36-30
30-32
40-39
28-29
31-36
44-35
40-49
26-44
31-30
28-28
34-36
145.0Avg total
71.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.073.2143.2-3.329%
Season at home (12)73.474.9148.3-1.533%
Season away (9)65.371.0136.3-5.722%
Last 10 (10)71.873.2145.0-1.420%
Last 5 (5)68.874.4143.2-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.573.9143.5-4.431%
vs Similar (7)70.772.3143.0-1.629%
vs Weaker (1)70.071.0141.0-1.00%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.9-1.9
Notre DameNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H11/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A15/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
33.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)33.133.166.2+0.045%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.432.566.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (8)30.934.165.0-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.135.668.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.864.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.739.069.7-8.30%-
vs Similar (12)29.832.061.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.832.271.0+6.767%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#211
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A12/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)33.933.267.1+0.652%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.131.667.7+4.567%-
Last 30 away (9)30.935.466.3-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.267.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.664.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.334.067.3-0.746%-
vs Similar (7)35.432.067.4+3.471%-
vs Weaker (1)30.032.062.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
North Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20ADuke60-94
12/02/20AVirginia49-50 OT
09/02/20AClemson61-57
05/02/20HPittsburgh80-72
01/02/20HGeorgia Tech80-72
30/01/20HWake Forest90-80
26/01/20AFlorida State84-85
23/01/20HSyracuse82-84
16/01/20AGeorgia Tech78-74
11/01/20HLouisville64-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/20HVirginia62-64
12/02/20AWake Forest57-74
08/02/20HDuke96-98 OT
04/02/20AFlorida State59-65
01/02/20HBoston College70-71
28/01/20ANC State75-65
25/01/20HMiami (FL)94-71
23/01/20AVirginia Tech77-79 OT
18/01/20APittsburgh52-66
11/01/20HClemson76-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %55%67%38%
Points / game74.579.267.4
Allowed / game70.968.874.0
Point differential+3.5+10.3-6.6
Avg total145.3148.0141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%8%12%
North Carolina
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %29%33%22%
Points / game70.073.465.3
Allowed / game73.274.971.0
Point differential-3.3-1.5-5.7
Avg total143.2148.3136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)29% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %14%17%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2118386%82.967.0+15.9
2 Florida State2118386%75.866.6+9.2
3 Louisville2116576%72.764.9+7.8
4 SMU Mustangs2014670%76.570.2+6.3
5 Virginia2013765%56.554.2+2.2
6 NC State2012860%71.268.9+2.3
7 Pittsburgh2112957%66.264.3+2.0
8 Stanford2011955%68.262.5+5.8
9 Notre Dame2011955%74.570.9+3.5
10 Syracuse21111052%75.671.3+4.2
11 Virginia Tech20101050%67.466.9+0.5
12 Clemson21101148%64.564.0+0.6
13 Georgia Tech22101245%67.066.5+0.6
14 Miami (FL)2091145%71.075.3-4.3
15 Wake Forest2191243%70.672.2-1.6
16 Boston College2191243%62.869.7-6.9
17 North Carolina2161529%70.073.2-3.3
18 California2161529%60.369.1-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame364177
North Carolina334376
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