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North Carolina vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 96-98 (OT)
44-35 40-49 12-14
Position#288
Record6-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record15-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · North Carolina v Duke
07 Feb 2026
NORT71
DUKE68
08 Mar 2025
NORT69
DUKE82
03 Feb 2024
NORT93
DUKE84
04 Mar 2023
NORT57
DUKE62
05 Feb 2022
NORT67
DUKE87
06 Mar 2021
NORT91
DUKE73
08 Feb 2020
NORT96
DUKE98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#14
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
A23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H25/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
38-39
27-47
56-49
37-28
28-45
39-29
31-41
23-43
29-23
36-30
24-30
51-27
43-44
39-35
36-30
30-32
40-39
28-29
31-36
145.3Avg total
72.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.772.3142.0-2.733%
Season at home (10)72.373.7146.0-1.440%
Season away (8)66.470.6137.0-4.225%
Last 10 (10)72.173.2145.3-1.130%
Last 5 (5)75.070.2145.2+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.872.6140.5-4.836%
vs Similar (6)73.072.0145.0+1.033%
vs Weaker (1)70.071.0141.0-1.00%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#295
W
88-49
88
49
+39
H31/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
95-62
95
62
+33
A05/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H22/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-19
43-30
50-36
45-26
40-29
33-35
49-23
41-36
33-40
39-39
32-42
41-37
48-24
41-35
45-34
34-33
40-36
57-52
21-24
42-31
148.0Avg total
81.9Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.165.9148.0+16.283%
Season at home (10)82.764.8147.5+17.980%
Season away (8)81.467.2148.6+14.188%
Last 10 (10)81.966.1148.0+15.880%
Last 5 (5)80.269.6149.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.763.7145.4+17.987%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +6.2+6.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +6.2+6.2
North CarolinaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A04/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.2Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)34.132.866.9+1.256%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.131.667.7+4.570%-
Last 30 away (8)31.534.465.9-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.867.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.834.567.3-1.645%-
vs Similar (6)37.030.067.0+7.083%-
vs Weaker (1)30.032.062.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#295
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H31/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A05/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A05/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
40.3Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)40.031.271.2+8.872%-
Last 30 at home (10)41.330.571.8+10.880%-
Last 30 away (8)38.432.070.4+6.462%-
Last 10 (10)40.330.771.0+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.069.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)44.034.778.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.230.569.7+8.767%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Duke wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/20AFlorida State59-65
01/02/20HBoston College70-71
28/01/20ANC State75-65
25/01/20HMiami (FL)94-71
23/01/20AVirginia Tech77-79 OT
18/01/20APittsburgh52-66
11/01/20HClemson76-79 OT
09/01/20HPittsburgh65-73
04/01/20HGeorgia Tech83-96
31/12/19HYale70-67
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/20ABoston College63-55
02/02/20ASyracuse97-88
29/01/20HPittsburgh79-67
22/01/20HMiami (FL)89-59
18/01/20HLouisville73-79
15/01/20AClemson72-79
12/01/20HWake Forest90-59
09/01/20AGeorgia Tech73-64
05/01/20AMiami (FL)95-62
31/12/19HBoston College88-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game69.772.366.4
Allowed / game72.373.770.6
Point differential-2.7-1.4-4.2
Avg total142.0146.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Duke
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %83%80%88%
Points / game82.182.781.4
Allowed / game65.964.867.2
Point differential+16.2+17.9+14.1
Avg total148.0147.5148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1917289%76.165.8+10.3
2 Louisville1916384%74.064.3+9.7
3 Duke1815383%82.165.9+16.2
4 SMU Mustangs1812667%76.669.9+6.7
5 Stanford1711665%68.360.3+8.0
6 Pittsburgh1912763%67.563.7+3.7
7 NC State1811761%70.968.5+2.4
8 Virginia1811761%56.454.1+2.3
9 Notre Dame1710759%77.671.6+6.0
10 Syracuse1810856%75.670.3+5.3
11 Virginia Tech1991047%67.467.4+0.0
12 Clemson1881044%63.864.9-1.1
13 Wake Forest1881044%71.273.0-1.8
14 Georgia Tech2191243%67.266.9+0.3
15 Boston College1981142%62.668.9-6.3
16 Miami (FL)1871139%70.277.4-7.3
17 North Carolina1861233%69.772.3-2.7
18 California1861233%60.869.1-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
North Carolina44401296
Duke35491498
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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