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Notre Dame vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-74
32-39 41-35
Position#241
Record7-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game70.6
Notre Dame
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#111
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Notre Dame v North Carolina
04 Jan 2025
NOTR73
NORT74
22 Feb 2023
NOTR59
NORT63
05 Jan 2022
NOTR78
NORT73
17 Feb 2020
NOTR77
NORT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#312
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Elon
#174
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
37-27
46-41
31-43
35-34
34-35
31-39
23-26
30-40
46-40
22-34
26-35
30-26
39-38
39-28
38-37
49-30
42-32
24-43
51-43
144.4Avg total
72.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.870.6146.4+5.254%
Season at home (9)80.470.6151.0+9.967%
Season away (4)65.270.8136.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)72.671.8144.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)72.069.2141.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.469.6131.9-7.225%
vs Similar (12)75.870.0145.8+5.858%
vs Weaker (2)88.569.5158.0+19.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#62
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-51
59-39
32-40
40-45
34-43
48-39
34-43
45-51
31-30
37-35
42-25
51-42
34-46
50-44
32-40
44-34
40-29
57-52
31-37
39-46
164.5Avg total
82.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.479.6165.0+5.757%
Season at home (9)87.778.6166.2+9.167%
Season away (5)81.281.6162.8-0.440%
Last 10 (10)82.282.3164.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)84.079.0163.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.389.7172.0-7.30%
vs Similar (11)84.582.5166.9+2.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.268.3150.6+13.981%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
Notre DameNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#312
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.767.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.033.669.6+2.453%-
Last 30 away (13)29.536.265.8-6.723%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.669.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.265.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.135.665.6-5.512%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.669.2+2.175%-
vs Weaker (2)43.535.078.5+8.550%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#62
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/01
NCAA
72.7Avg total
34.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.775.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.936.376.1+3.667%-
Last 30 away (9)36.037.873.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.338.472.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.471.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.076.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (11)39.239.979.1-0.745%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.433.472.8+6.075%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Notre Dame wins
5
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24North Carolina v Notre Dame84-51
23/02/23Notre Dame v North Carolina59-63
07/01/23North Carolina v Notre Dame81-64
06/01/22Notre Dame v North Carolina78-73
11/03/21North Carolina v Notre Dame101-59
02/01/21North Carolina v Notre Dame66-65
18/02/20Notre Dame v North Carolina77-76
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24AGeorgia Tech75-86
22/12/24HLe Moyne91-62
12/12/24HDartmouth77-65
07/12/24HSyracuse69-64
04/12/24AGeorgia48-69
30/11/24HCreighton76-80
28/11/24AHouston54-65
27/11/24HRutgers84-85 OT
23/11/24HElon77-84
20/11/24HNorth Dakota75-58
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25ALouisville70-83
30/12/24HCampbell97-81
21/12/24AUCLA76-74
18/12/24AFlorida84-90
14/12/24HLa Salle93-67
07/12/24HGeorgia Tech68-65
05/12/24HAlabama79-94
28/11/24HMichigan State91-94 OT
27/11/24HAuburn72-85
26/11/24HDayton92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %54%67%25%
Points / game75.880.465.2
Allowed / game70.670.670.8
Point differential+5.2+9.9-5.5
Avg total146.4151.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%11%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%67%40%
Points / game85.487.781.2
Allowed / game79.678.681.6
Point differential+5.7+9.1-0.4
Avg total165.0166.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1311285%79.659.0+20.6
2 SMU Mustangs1311285%87.270.8+16.4
3 Pittsburgh1311285%84.268.4+15.8
4 Clemson1411379%78.466.8+11.6
5 Wake Forest1410471%68.565.4+3.1
6 Florida State139469%78.269.2+9.1
7 Stanford139469%77.571.1+6.5
8 Louisville149564%78.471.6+6.8
9 Boston College149564%71.871.4+0.4
10 NC State138562%73.866.1+7.8
11 Virginia138562%62.260.8+1.4
12 North Carolina148657%85.479.6+5.7
13 Notre Dame137654%75.870.6+5.2
14 California137654%78.576.6+1.9
15 Georgia Tech147750%76.873.2+3.6
16 Syracuse136746%76.878.9-2.1
17 Virginia Tech135838%70.072.6-2.6
18 Miami (FL)134931%77.874.3+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame324173
North Carolina393574
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