PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-64
41-28 40-36
Position#117
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#302
Record8-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Carolina v Notre Dame
21 Jan 2026
NORT91
NOTR69
12 Mar 2025
NORT76
NOTR56
05 Mar 2024
NORT84
NOTR51
07 Jan 2023
NORT81
NOTR64
10 Mar 2021
NORT101
NOTR59
30 Jan 2021
NORT v NOTR
upcoming
02 Jan 2021
NORT66
NOTR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#136
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
31-38
34-37
43-40
29-35
36-42
27-37
45-43
39-26
36-33
48-33
52-34
35-44
44-35
41-34
39-42
40-34
34-42
37-38
51-41
158.0Avg total
80.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.474.9156.3+6.567%
Season at home (8)83.269.1152.4+14.1100%
Season away (7)79.381.6160.9-2.329%
Last 10 (10)80.977.1158.0+3.850%
Last 5 (5)86.276.4162.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.679.4166.0+7.275%
vs Similar (12)72.270.2142.4+2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.567.9150.4+14.690%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#252
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Boston University
#230
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H11/12
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H28/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-31
31-32
42-24
28-28
35-35
26-27
36-29
45-46
29-34
35-45
36-41
26-36
39-38
33-35
21-19
38-24
34-33
31-43
38-34
25-36
131.8Avg total
64.8Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.768.5138.2+1.153%
Season at home (12)70.767.3138.0+3.367%
Season away (3)65.773.3139.0-7.70%
Last 10 (10)64.867.0131.8-2.230%
Last 5 (5)64.267.8132.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.868.3136.1-0.656%
vs Similar (14)71.669.1140.7+2.657%
vs Weaker (7)77.366.6143.9+10.771%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -3.4-3.4
North CarolinaNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#136
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
36.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.631.869.4+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.929.768.6+9.269%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.270.4+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.071.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.134.572.6+3.638%-
vs Similar (12)33.631.565.1+2.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.130.072.1+12.180%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#252
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Boston University
#230
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H08/12
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H11/12
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H28/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.0Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.167.2+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.331.065.3+3.368%-
Last 30 away (11)36.534.070.5+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.864.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.066.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.129.762.8+3.467%-
vs Similar (14)34.834.168.9+0.764%-
vs Weaker (7)38.131.369.4+6.986%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
2
Notre Dame wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23HWake Forest88-79
30/12/22APittsburgh74-76
22/12/22HMichigan80-76
17/12/22AOhio State89-84 OT
14/12/22HCitadel100-67
10/12/22HGeorgia Tech75-59
04/12/22AVirginia Tech72-80
01/12/22AIndiana65-77
27/11/22AAlabama101-103 OT
25/11/22AIowa State65-70
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23ABoston College63-70
30/12/22HMiami (FL)65-76
28/12/22HJacksonville59-43
22/12/22AFlorida State72-73
18/12/22AGeorgia62-77
11/12/22HMarquette64-79
08/12/22HBoston University81-75
03/12/22HSyracuse61-62
01/12/22HMichigan State70-52
25/11/22HSt. Bonaventure51-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%100%29%
Points / game81.483.279.3
Allowed / game74.969.181.6
Point differential+6.5+14.1-2.3
Avg total156.3152.4160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %13%0%29%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %53%67%0%
Points / game69.770.765.7
Allowed / game68.567.373.3
Point differential+1.1+3.3-7.7
Avg total138.2138.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1512380%75.466.2+9.2
2 Virginia1310377%69.859.1+10.7
3 NC State1612475%79.867.8+12.1
4 Duke1511473%72.962.4+10.5
5 Virginia Tech1511473%74.764.2+10.5
6 Pittsburgh1511473%75.367.7+7.5
7 North Carolina1510567%81.474.9+6.5
8 Syracuse1510567%75.269.1+6.1
9 Wake Forest1510567%75.972.2+3.7
10 Miami (FL)29191066%76.271.2+5.0
11 Georgia Tech148657%71.668.7+2.9
12 Notre Dame158753%69.768.5+1.1
13 Boston College158753%64.767.5-2.7
14 SMU Mustangs156940%68.871.2-2.4
15 Stanford1551033%68.366.7+1.5
16 Florida State1541127%68.674.1-5.5
17 California1631319%61.566.6-5.1
18 Louisville1521313%62.074.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina414081
Notre Dame283664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.