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NPC Rieti vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-67
18-18 16-16 24-19 21-14
Position#25
Record8-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#15
Record12-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.1
ItalySerie A2Round 17
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NPC Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NPC RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#10
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
H24/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A31/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A11/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H14/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H28/02
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
A03/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A21/03
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H28/03
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A03/04
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H07/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-20
20-20
23-23
28-23
16-18
21-12
16-15
18-18
15-19
12-16
16-11
24-22
17-23
22-21
19-20
26-8
21-17
18-27
12-11
14-20
26-17
13-15
21-22
16-27
19-18
19-20
18-27
13-18
18-17
14-25
29-22
29-26
19-23
13-22
11-20
15-22
22-18
18-12
29-21
158.1Avg total
77.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.077.8152.9-2.836%
Season at home (11)78.176.4154.5+1.755%
Season away (11)72.079.3151.3-7.318%
Last 10 (10)77.880.3158.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)77.285.2162.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.484.1160.5-7.715%
vs Similar (15)74.072.5146.5+1.553%
vs Weaker (2)74.068.5142.5+5.550%
This opponent (Ferrara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerraraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H24/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A27/01
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H31/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A03/02
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
64-92
64
92
-28
A17/03
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A21/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A24/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H28/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H07/04
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H11/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
21-15
18-24
14-17
20-15
15-31
15-22
13-23
22-13
20-22
19-22
20-28
13-16
17-23
17-21
23-26
19-21
15-33
12-19
18-19
22-18
23-23
12-25
15-12
21-26
17-19
22-21
23-20
22-17
23-18
11-18
26-27
22-19
22-20
18-12
19-17
19-22
24-26
26-18
29-26
160.5Avg total
77.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.078.1155.1-1.157%
Season at home (11)81.976.0157.9+5.991%
Season away (10)71.680.5152.1-8.920%
Last 10 (10)77.483.1160.5-5.740%
Last 5 (5)83.280.8164.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.381.3157.6-5.030%
vs Similar (14)76.175.5151.6+0.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.582.0164.5+0.567%
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
NPC RietiFerrara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NPC RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A31/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A11/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H28/02
Serie A2
Forli
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A03/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/03
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H28/03
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/04
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/04
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
39.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.377.8-2.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.977.0-0.727%-
Last 30 away (15)36.741.878.5-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.579.2+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.241.877.0-6.58%-
vs Similar (15)38.738.977.7-0.240%-
vs Weaker (2)42.041.583.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Ferrara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H24/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Serie A2
Forli
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H31/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/02
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A17/03
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H07/04
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/04
Serie A2
81.8Avg total
40.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.977.8-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.979.1+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)37.439.076.4-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.481.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.641.180.7-1.540%-
vs Similar (14)37.236.974.1+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.740.081.7+1.767%-
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NPC Rieti wins
1
Ferrara wins
DateGameScore
23/12/20Ferrara v NPC Rieti84-75
NPC Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/21HStella Azzurra84-73
03/04/21ALatina72-91
28/03/21HBasket Napoli74-82
21/03/21AScafati72-92
03/03/21AForli84-88 OT
28/02/21HChieti Basket77-63
14/02/21HEurobasket Roma82-86
11/02/21ASan Severo61-64
31/01/21APistoia81-68
24/01/21HRavenna91-96 OT
Ferraralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HSan Severo98-92
07/04/21HScafati81-68
28/03/21HPistoia82-80
24/03/21AScafati83-86
21/03/21ABaltur Cento72-78
17/03/21ALatina64-92
03/02/21AStella Azzurra70-86
31/01/21HForli81-85
27/01/21ABasket Napoli63-91
24/01/21HEurobasket Roma80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NPC Rieti
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game75.078.172.0
Allowed / game77.876.479.3
Point differential-2.8+1.7-7.3
Avg total152.9154.5151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)43% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Ferrara
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%91%20%
Points / game77.081.971.6
Allowed / game78.176.080.5
Point differential-1.1+5.9-8.9
Avg total155.1157.9152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forli2319483%79.471.9+7.6
2 Basket Napoli2419579%78.067.4+10.6
3 Scafati2418675%81.774.0+7.7
4 Basket Torino2518772%81.470.2+11.3
5 Tortona2617965%77.169.2+8.0
6 Udine25151060%77.577.5-0.0
7 Eurobasket Roma24141058%78.976.3+2.6
8 Ferrara2112957%77.078.1-1.1
9 Verona25141156%80.878.2+2.6
10 Urania Milano25131252%75.276.8-1.6
11 Trapani25131252%77.079.8-2.8
12 Assigeco Piacenza26131350%82.182.4-0.3
13 Chieti Basket22111150%74.075.2-1.3
14 Treviglio26131350%82.083.5-1.5
15 Ravenna23111248%75.974.5+1.4
16 Baltur Cento23111248%72.473.7-1.3
17 Mantova26121446%75.376.3-1.0
18 Monferrato25111444%74.080.3-6.3
19 Pistoia23101343%73.575.8-2.3
20 Capo d'Orlando26111542%83.087.6-4.7
21 Orzinuovi24101442%83.283.9-0.7
22 NPC Rieti2281436%75.077.8-2.8
23 Latina2381535%70.073.2-3.2
24 Bergamo2691735%75.575.9-0.4
25 Biella2691735%82.484.9-2.5
26 San Severo2241818%66.275.5-9.3
27 Stella Azzurra2442017%70.480.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NPC Rieti1816242179
Ferrara1816191467
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