NSB Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2009

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 80-55

18-14 19-16 21-13 22-12

Position#13

Record7-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game78.8

NSB Napoli 🏆

Virtus Bologna

Position#6

Record13-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game76.9

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · NSB Napoli v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NSB Napoli winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NSB Napoli Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

90-91 OT

-1

H21/12

Lega A

Cantu

69-88

-19

A27/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

60-59

H04/01

Lega A

Ferrara

64-105

105

-41

A11/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

79-72

H18/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

73-78

-5

A25/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

79-74

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

65-86

-21

A08/02

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

75-66

H15/02

Lega A

Treviso

79-82

-3

A28/02

Lega A

28-18

9-20

19-19

23-22

18-21

21-29

15-17

15-21

12-17

15-15

16-15

17-12

10-24

10-34

22-20

22-27

15-12

21-18

25-19

18-23

19-18

19-24

23-17

12-19

16-17

16-21

22-18

25-18

19-33

13-14

14-19

19-20

20-13

17-18

20-15

18-20

20-12

22-17

23-24

14-29

153.4Avg total

73.3Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	73.5	78.8	152.2	-5.3	35%
Season at home (10)	76.1	72.2	148.3	+3.9	70%
Season away (10)	70.8	85.4	156.2	-14.6	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	80.1	153.4	-6.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	77.2	151.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	77.9	82.1	160.0	-4.2	20%
vs Similar (9)	67.9	75.9	143.8	-8.0	44%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	72.0	151.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

84-93

-9

A25/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

104-91

104

+13

A27/01

EuroChallenge

Olimpia Milano

70-60

+10

H01/02

Lega A

Oldenburg

81-82

-1

H03/02

EuroChallenge

Udine

#16

93-86

A07/02

Lega A

BC Kiev

68-64

H11/02

EuroChallenge

Pesaro

#11

95-88

H14/02

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

93-77

+16

H25/02

EuroChallenge

Avellino

#10

65-64

A28/02

Lega A

Oldenburg

64-73

-9

A03/03

EuroChallenge

19-20

22-33

17-18

26-22

27-30

23-25

32-14

22-22

22-12

14-11

17-13

17-24

22-22

26-21

14-20

19-19

16-15

23-21

19-19

35-31

18-10

16-20

15-22

19-12

20-16

30-14

22-21

23-37

17-26

29-15

24-19

23-17

13-17

16-15

16-18

20-14

24-14

16-24

14-13

10-22

159.5Avg total

81.7Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.8	76.9	155.7	+1.8	65%
Season at home (10)	81.1	71.3	152.4	+9.8	80%
Season away (10)	76.4	82.5	158.9	-6.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	77.8	159.5	+3.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	73.2	150.2	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.5	93.5	177.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar (14)	74.3	75.9	150.1	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	83.4	74.9	158.2	+8.5	86%

This opponent (NSB Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NSB NapoliVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.3	15.6	34.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.4	22.9	40.3	-5.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	18.8	36.3	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	12.0	27.0	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.9	19.1	36.0	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	15.8	17.5	33.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.5	16.7	34.2	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.4	21.1	37.6	-4.7	11%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	22.2	40.9	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	19.9	39.9	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	60%	-

NSB NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

37-38

-1

H21/12

Lega A

Cantu

39-50

-11

A27/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

27-32

-5

H04/01

Lega A

Ferrara

20-58

-38

A11/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

36-30

H18/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

38-42

-4

A25/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

32-38

-6

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

32-47

-15

A08/02

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

37-31

H15/02

Lega A

Treviso

42-29

+13

A28/02

Lega A

73.5Avg total

34.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	35.5	38.0	73.5	-2.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	35.1	33.1	68.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.0	42.9	78.9	-6.9	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	39.5	73.5	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.4	73.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.9	37.1	74.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.0	39.9	73.9	-5.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	30.0	66.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

41-53

-12

A25/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

50-55

-5

A27/01

EuroChallenge

Olimpia Milano

36-23

+13

H01/02

Lega A

Oldenburg

48-43

H03/02

EuroChallenge

Udine

#16

39-36

A07/02

Lega A

BC Kiev

34-30

H11/02

EuroChallenge

Pesaro

#11

50-30

+20

H14/02

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

46-41

H25/02

EuroChallenge

Avellino

#10

29-32

-3

A28/02

Lega A

Oldenburg

40-38

A03/03

EuroChallenge

79.4Avg total

41.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.7	39.3	78.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.7	37.4	79.1	+4.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.7	41.2	76.9	-5.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	38.1	79.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	34.2	74.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	44.5	79.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.6	38.4	76.1	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.0	39.5	80.5	+1.5	60%	-

This opponent (NSB Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.1	23.2	42.3	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	16.4	33.8	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	16.9	35.4	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	16.3	37.2	+4.6	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.4	22.3	38.7	-5.9	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.6	19.6	36.1	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	21.8	42.8	-0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	36.9	39.5	76.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.0	36.6	75.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	34.8	42.5	77.3	-7.7	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	39.4	77.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.8	77.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.0	42.5	81.5	-3.5	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	33.9	36.0	69.9	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.6	58%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	35.6	75.8	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	39.6	79.8	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.6	37.4	74.1	-0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.0	36.6	81.6	+8.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NSB Napoli wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/08	Virtus Bologna v NSB Napoli	74-64

NSB Napolilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/09	A	Treviso	79-82
15/02/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	75-66
08/02/09	A	Pesaro	65-86
01/02/09	H	Avellino	79-74
25/01/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	73-78
18/01/09	H	Udine	79-72
11/01/09	A	Ferrara	64-105
04/01/09	H	Caserta	60-59
27/12/08	A	Cantu	69-88
21/12/08	H	Virtus Roma	90-91 OT

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/09	A	Oldenburg	64-73
28/02/09	A	Avellino	65-64
25/02/09	H	Galatasaray	93-77
14/02/09	H	Pesaro	95-88
11/02/09	H	BC Kiev	68-64
07/02/09	A	Udine	93-86
03/02/09	H	Oldenburg	81-82
01/02/09	H	Olimpia Milano	70-60
27/01/09	A	Galatasaray	104-91
25/01/09	A	Biella	84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NSB Napoli

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	35%
Home	LWWWW	70%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	35%	70%	0%
Points / game	73.5	76.1	70.8
Allowed / game	78.8	72.2	85.4
Point differential	-5.3	+3.9	-14.6
Avg total	152.2	148.3	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (6)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	65%	80%	50%
Points / game	78.8	81.1	76.4
Allowed / game	76.9	71.3	82.5
Point differential	+1.9	+9.8	-6.1
Avg total	155.7	152.4	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	70%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	20	19	1	95%	89.5	71.0	+18.6
2	Virtus Roma	20	14	6	70%	85.4	80.0	+5.5
3	Virtus Bologna	20	13	7	65%	78.8	76.9	+1.9
4	Teramo	20	13	7	65%	83.7	82.5	+1.2
5	Treviso	20	11	9	55%	78.0	77.4	+0.7
6	Cantu	20	11	9	55%	81.5	83.5	-2.0
7	Olimpia Milano	20	10	10	50%	76.1	74.0	+2.0
8	Sutor Montegranaro	19	9	10	47%	75.6	80.2	-4.6
9	Avellino	20	9	11	45%	76.8	74.5	+2.4
10	Pesaro	20	9	11	45%	83.2	81.1	+2.1
11	Biella	20	9	11	45%	84.5	83.3	+1.1
12	Fortitudo Bologna	19	7	12	37%	74.1	80.3	-6.3
13	NSB Napoli	20	7	13	35%	73.5	78.8	-5.3
14	Caserta	20	7	13	35%	73.3	80.3	-7.0
15	Ferrara	20	6	14	30%	74.8	78.8	-4.0
16	Udine	20	5	15	25%	79.8	86.5	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NSB Napoli	18	19	21	22	80
Virtus Bologna	14	16	13	12	55

← all games of the day

NSB Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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