Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2009

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 64-65

17-13 15-16 18-16 14-20

Position#10

Record9-10

FormWWLLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game75.0

Avellino

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Position#6

Record12-7

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game77.6

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

91-78

+13

A28/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

82-78

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

88-92

-4

A07/01

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

90-93 OT

-3

A11/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

79-75

H15/01

Euroleague

Caserta

#14

85-58

+27

H18/01

Lega A

Treviso

83-73

+10

H24/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

74-79

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Cantu

61-65

-4

H08/02

Lega A

Biella

78-81

-3

A15/02

Lega A

27-26

14-15

23-17

27-20

17-22

11-8

26-13

28-35

19-27

18-23

16-23

35-19

24-18

21-18

19-23

18-23

13-18

28-18

12-15

26-24

16-11

21-15

18-19

30-13

23-21

20-23

20-18

20-11

17-16

21-16

18-22

18-25

12-14

19-16

17-17

13-18

30-21

15-19

14-24

19-17

158.3Avg total

81.1Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.5	75.0	152.5	+2.5	47%
Season at home (10)	77.1	73.9	151.0	+3.2	50%
Season away (9)	78.0	76.2	154.2	+1.8	44%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	77.2	158.3	+3.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	71.2	147.4	+5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.6	83.8	158.4	-9.1	12%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	75.7	74.1	149.8	+1.7	53%
vs Weaker (6)	82.3	76.3	158.7	+6.0	50%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Krasnye Krylya

#36

70-72

-2

A13/01

EuroChallenge

Treviso

65-81

-16

A17/01

Lega A

Biella

84-93

-9

A25/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

104-91

104

+13

A27/01

EuroChallenge

Olimpia Milano

70-60

+10

H01/02

Lega A

Oldenburg

81-82

-1

H03/02

EuroChallenge

Udine

#16

93-86

A07/02

Lega A

BC Kiev

68-64

H11/02

EuroChallenge

Pesaro

#11

95-88

H14/02

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

93-77

+16

H25/02

EuroChallenge

14-17

20-17

19-11

17-27

11-23

25-23

13-20

16-15

19-20

22-33

17-18

26-22

27-30

23-25

32-14

22-22

22-12

14-11

17-13

17-24

22-22

26-21

14-20

19-19

16-15

23-21

19-19

35-31

18-10

16-20

15-22

19-12

20-16

30-14

22-21

23-37

17-26

29-15

24-19

23-17

161.7Avg total

82.3Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	79.5	77.6	157.1	+1.9	63%
Season at home (10)	81.1	71.3	152.4	+9.8	80%
Season away (9)	77.7	84.6	162.2	-6.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	79.4	161.7	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	79.4	165.4	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.5	93.5	177.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	76.5	76.7	153.2	-0.2	54%
vs Weaker (14)	83.4	74.9	158.2	+8.5	86%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.5	36.9	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	14.3	34.5	+5.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.7	19.4	38.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.6	19.7	36.4	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	16.7	34.4	+1.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	16.2	33.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	15.3	32.7	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.8	20.2	40.9	+0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	20.1	40.8	+0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	60%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

41-41

A28/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

28-30

-2

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

37-50

-13

A07/01

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

45-36

A11/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

41-36

H15/01

Euroleague

Caserta

#14

37-26

+11

H18/01

Lega A

Treviso

43-44

-1

H24/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

38-32

A01/02

Lega A

Cantu

31-30

H08/02

Lega A

Biella

45-40

A15/02

Lega A

75.1Avg total

38.6Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.1	35.7	72.9	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	34.7	71.8	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	36.9	74.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	36.5	75.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.4	73.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	41.1	77.1	-5.1	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.1	34.9	71.0	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.2	30.7	71.8	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Krasnye Krylya

#36

34-34

A13/01

EuroChallenge

Treviso

36-46

-10

A17/01

Lega A

Biella

41-53

-12

A25/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

50-55

-5

A27/01

EuroChallenge

Olimpia Milano

36-23

+13

H01/02

Lega A

Oldenburg

48-43

H03/02

EuroChallenge

Udine

#16

39-36

A07/02

Lega A

BC Kiev

34-30

H11/02

EuroChallenge

Pesaro

#11

50-30

+20

H14/02

Lega A

Galatasaray

#28

46-41

H25/02

EuroChallenge

80.5Avg total

41.4Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	39.4	39.5	79.0	-0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	37.3	79.5	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (11)	35.9	42.4	78.3	-6.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.1	80.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.0	79.4	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	44.5	79.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.0	39.5	80.5	+1.5	60%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.8	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	22.3	39.6	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	22.2	40.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	24.2	42.8	-5.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	16.3	37.2	+4.6	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.5	40.3	-0.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.5	43.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	17%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.8	20.5	41.4	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.2	22.5	44.6	-0.3	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	23.2	47.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	20.5	38.8	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	39.6	81.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.8	74.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	41.2	78.9	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.2	45.7	86.8	-4.5	17%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	40.8	37.9	78.6	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	35.6	75.4	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.3	81.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.4	86.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.5	37.9	75.4	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.0	36.6	81.6	+8.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/08	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	71-78

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/09	A	Biella	78-81
08/02/09	H	Cantu	61-65
01/02/09	A	NSB Napoli	74-79
24/01/09	H	Treviso	83-73
18/01/09	H	Caserta	85-58
15/01/09	H	Cibona	79-75
11/01/09	A	Virtus Roma	90-93 OT
07/01/09	A	Le Mans	88-92
04/01/09	H	Pesaro	82-78
28/12/08	A	Teramo	91-78

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/09	H	Galatasaray	93-77
14/02/09	H	Pesaro	95-88
11/02/09	H	BC Kiev	68-64
07/02/09	A	Udine	93-86
03/02/09	H	Oldenburg	81-82
01/02/09	H	Olimpia Milano	70-60
27/01/09	A	Galatasaray	104-91
25/01/09	A	Biella	84-93
17/01/09	A	Treviso	65-81
13/01/09	A	Krasnye Krylya	70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	47%
Home	LWWWL	50%
Away	WWLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	77.5	77.1	78.0
Allowed / game	75.0	73.9	76.2
Point differential	+2.5	+3.2	+1.8
Avg total	152.5	151.0	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	30%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (10)	25% (4)	17% (6)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	63%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LLLLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	63%	80%	44%
Points / game	79.5	81.1	77.7
Allowed / game	77.6	71.3	84.6
Point differential	+1.9	+9.8	-6.9
Avg total	157.1	152.4	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	70%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	19	19	0	100%	90.9	71.2	+19.8
2	Virtus Roma	19	13	6	68%	85.5	80.5	+5.1
3	Virtus Bologna	19	12	7	63%	79.5	77.6	+1.9
4	Teramo	19	12	7	63%	83.7	82.9	+0.8
5	Cantu	19	11	8	58%	81.8	83.6	-1.7
6	Treviso	20	11	9	55%	78.0	77.4	+0.7
7	Sutor Montegranaro	18	9	9	50%	75.7	79.6	-3.8
8	Avellino	19	9	10	47%	77.5	75.0	+2.5
9	Olimpia Milano	19	9	10	47%	76.1	74.1	+2.1
10	Pesaro	19	8	11	42%	82.8	80.9	+1.9
11	Biella	19	8	11	42%	84.1	83.8	+0.3
12	Caserta	19	7	12	37%	72.8	79.7	-6.9
13	NSB Napoli	20	7	13	35%	73.5	78.8	-5.3
14	Fortitudo Bologna	18	6	12	33%	74.4	81.3	-6.8
15	Ferrara	19	6	13	32%	74.8	79.0	-4.2
16	Udine	19	5	14	26%	80.3	86.7	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	17	15	18	14	64
Virtus Bologna	13	16	16	20	65

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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