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Nunawading vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 89-78
16-23 16-16 29-21 28-18
Position#11
Record10-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#15
Record8-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Nunawading v Keilor Thunder
19 Jul 2025
NUNA89
KEIL78
19 May 2024
NUNA98
KEIL77
22 May 2022
NUNA90
KEIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nunawading winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NunawadingAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H31/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A01/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A28/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H05/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H06/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A18/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
14-18
20-21
15-18
23-19
23-21
18-23
23-21
34-24
21-22
12-25
16-25
25-18
27-8
18-12
21-21
20-26
21-22
17-17
23-25
21-27
14-25
29-18
20-14
24-27
25-20
14-23
19-13
24-28
22-26
22-17
28-21
27-23
20-21
22-25
17-23
29-26
29-20
23-19
23-12
172.4Avg total
87.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.386.8174.0+0.548%
Season at home (10)87.887.6175.4+0.240%
Season away (11)86.886.0172.8+0.855%
Last 10 (10)87.784.7172.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)91.887.2179.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.592.8173.3-12.317%
vs Similar (15)85.586.9172.4-1.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.079.0169.0+11.078%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A06/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A08/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H13/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H18/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
17-18
15-23
18-29
22-24
17-29
16-21
19-27
22-21
10-16
23-14
22-15
21-17
32-22
18-18
25-21
18-20
23-30
27-15
27-31
31-24
29-16
15-24
33-35
21-25
17-23
17-10
14-12
22-25
18-18
11-13
18-23
20-21
22-21
20-24
20-27
17-22
25-20
22-18
21-20
168.7Avg total
83.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.688.0170.6-5.438%
Season at home (11)85.988.4174.3-2.555%
Season away (10)78.987.6166.5-8.720%
Last 10 (10)83.585.2168.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)82.684.2166.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.287.4165.6-9.321%
vs Similar (7)83.783.3167.0+0.471%
vs Weaker (4)97.090.2187.2+6.875%
This opponent (Nunawading) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
NunawadingKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H31/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A01/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H29/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H06/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A18/07
NBL1 South
91.6Avg total
47.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.488.7+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.644.587.1-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)46.144.290.3+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)47.044.691.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.048.695.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.049.789.7-9.733%-
vs Similar (15)43.744.788.4-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.440.288.7+8.278%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A06/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H13/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/07
NBL1 South
86.6Avg total
43.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.685.5-1.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.585.2-1.727%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.785.7-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.286.6+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.944.784.7-4.821%-
vs Similar (7)42.443.485.9-1.029%-
vs Weaker (4)50.238.288.5+12.075%-
This opponent (Nunawading) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nunawading wins
1
Keilor Thunder wins
Nunawadinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25ADiamond Valley104-77
12/07/25AMt Gambier86-92
06/07/25HWaverley96-92
05/07/25HKnox82-83
29/06/25HHobart Chargers91-92 OT
28/06/25AGeelong81-90
21/06/25HBendigo Braves91-59
15/06/25HBallarat83-96
01/06/25ADandenong87-84
31/05/25HFrankston76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25HGeelong85-80
13/07/25HKnox82-93
11/07/25ABallarat69-79
08/07/25ASandringham Sabres69-70
05/07/25HDiamond Valley108-99
28/06/25HRingwood95-96
21/06/25AEltham96-78
14/06/25HBallarat77-66
06/06/25AMelbourne Tigers74-101
31/05/25HCasey Cavaliers80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nunawading
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%40%55%
Points / game87.387.886.8
Allowed / game86.887.686.0
Point differential+0.5+0.2+0.8
Avg total174.0175.4172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game82.685.978.9
Allowed / game88.088.487.6
Point differential-5.4-2.5-8.7
Avg total170.6174.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2117481%91.783.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier2216673%96.582.4+14.1
3 Eltham2214864%89.985.5+4.4
4 Kilsyth2214864%89.386.0+3.3
5 Melbourne Tigers2113862%87.081.3+5.6
6 Sandringham Sabres2113862%93.790.6+3.1
7 Ballarat2012860%88.089.5-1.6
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers21111052%88.586.7+1.8
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Nunawading21101148%87.386.8+0.5
12 Frankston2191243%91.991.0+1.0
13 Waverley2191243%93.496.3-2.9
14 Keilor Thunder2181338%82.688.0-5.4
15 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
16 Dandenong2171433%90.195.1-5.0
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2051525%85.791.5-5.8
19 Diamond Valley2151624%84.294.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nunawading1616292889
Keilor Thunder2316211878
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