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Nunawading vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 98-77
23-18 27-18 29-26 19-15
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game97.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Nunawading v Keilor Thunder
19 Jul 2025
NUNA89
KEIL78
19 May 2024
NUNA98
KEIL77
22 May 2022
NUNA90
KEIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nunawading winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NunawadingAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
102-88
102
88
+14
H05/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A07/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H20/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A28/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H04/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A18/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
25-26
23-24
23-19
18-18
29-21
16-21
26-14
22-25
18-33
18-18
17-20
22-21
19-22
16-22
15-16
16-20
21-18
13-18
23-17
24-14
17-29
27-14
26-17
25-28
15-20
27-12
16-17
21-18
25-26
23-17
19-30
21-20
24-25
18-24
15-27
20-17
19-16
25-23
22-31
169.0Avg total
84.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.884.2169.0+0.650%
Season at home (3)87.386.7174.0+0.733%
Season away (7)83.783.1166.9+0.657%
Last 10 (10)84.884.2169.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.885.0170.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.091.0169.0-13.025%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.188.1174.2-2.038%
vs Weaker (18)92.084.0176.0+8.067%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
81-108
81
108
-27
A11/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H21/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
107-101
107
101
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
83-113
83
113
-30
H04/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A11/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H18/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-25
36-28
25-33
28-28
19-22
16-27
18-31
28-25
16-25
33-19
26-28
20-17
18-24
15-27
16-19
32-30
24-22
28-23
21-21
27-24
26-26
25-10
18-23
35-23
19-25
32-32
21-21
21-33
15-22
20-28
27-30
22-23
21-28
26-18
32-28
15-21
19-19
25-18
18-11
188.9Avg total
93.2Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.697.5191.1-3.864%
Season at home (6)90.793.8184.5-3.267%
Season away (5)97.2101.8199.0-4.660%
Last 10 (10)93.295.7188.9-2.570%
Last 5 (5)92.892.6185.4+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)90.199.5189.6-9.435%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.486.7174.1+0.771%
vs Weaker (3)86.7100.3187.0-13.733%
This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
NunawadingKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H05/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A07/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H20/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A21/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A28/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/05
NBL1 South
86.8Avg total
43.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.690.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.545.293.6+3.362%-
Last 30 away (17)42.945.988.8-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.686.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.684.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.549.892.2-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.645.090.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker (18)45.844.990.7+0.850%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H21/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H04/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A11/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/05
NBL1 South
93.6Avg total
45.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.849.595.3-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.446.190.5-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)47.152.499.4-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)45.448.293.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.892.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)46.551.698.1-5.135%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.445.189.6-0.743%-
vs Weaker (3)44.745.390.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nunawading wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
01/07/23Keilor Thunder v Nunawading90-105
22/05/22Nunawading v Keilor Thunder90-81
Nunawadinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AGeelong86-87
10/05/24AMt Gambier78-96
04/05/24HDiamond Valley88-91
28/04/24ASandringham Sabres83-77
27/04/24AKilsyth94-74
21/04/24ABendigo Braves81-78 OT
20/04/24HHobart Chargers72-81
13/04/24AEltham75-96
07/04/24AMelbourne Tigers89-74
05/04/24HRingwood102-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HHobart Chargers77-69
11/05/24ADandenong101-97
04/05/24HBallarat83-113
28/04/24HWaverley107-101
26/04/24AMt Gambier96-83
21/04/24HNW Tasmania105-96
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers69-87
14/04/24HGeelong103-97
11/04/24AKilsyth81-108
09/04/24ADiamond Valley110-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nunawading
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%33%57%
Points / game84.887.383.7
Allowed / game84.286.783.1
Point differential+0.6+0.7+0.6
Avg total169.0174.0166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%14%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game93.690.797.2
Allowed / game97.593.8101.8
Point differential-3.8-3.2-4.6
Avg total191.1184.5199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier108280%90.282.5+7.7
2 Ballarat107370%94.283.2+11.0
3 Waverley117464%90.984.8+6.1
4 Keilor Thunder117464%93.697.5-3.8
5 Dandenong138562%85.581.6+3.9
6 Sandringham Sabres106460%91.782.0+9.7
7 Frankston95456%90.883.9+6.9
8 Knox116555%93.785.4+8.4
9 Hobart Chargers116555%80.179.5+0.5
10 Eltham105550%90.083.2+6.8
11 Nunawading105550%84.884.2+0.6
12 Ringwood136746%86.688.2-1.5
13 Melbourne Tigers115645%77.783.2-5.5
14 NW Tasmania115645%83.089.1-6.1
15 Bendigo Braves125742%79.586.1-6.6
16 Geelong104640%79.584.0-4.5
17 Kilsyth123925%79.389.6-10.2
18 Diamond Valley92722%83.496.9-13.4
19 Casey Cavaliers102820%78.786.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nunawading2327291998
Keilor Thunder1818261577
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