Keilor Thunder vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 90-105

27-24 27-23 19-32 17-26

Position#16

Record7-10

FormWWLLL

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game93.2

Keilor Thunder

Nunawading 🏆

Position#6

Record11-7

FormLLWLW

Points / game90.7

Allowed / game84.6

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Nunawading

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nunawading winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

89-125

125

-36

A13/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

78-81

-3

H20/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

88-94

-6

H21/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

103-106

103

106

-3

A27/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

92-77

+15

A28/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

84-81

H03/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

106-104 OT

106

104

H04/06

NBL1 South

Knox

69-103

103

-34

A17/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

89-91

-2

H24/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

88-89

-1

H25/06

NBL1 South

23-30

19-31

21-29

26-35

13-15

22-25

22-19

21-22

26-20

23-24

21-25

18-25

32-24

25-29

17-29

29-24

18-16

31-24

16-27

27-10

21-16

25-20

14-16

24-29

22-25

25-22

21-22

26-25

20-27

15-21

14-28

26-23

23-27

17-23

23-18

21-20

14-25

29-19

24-25

183.7Avg total

88.6Scored

95.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	86.9	93.2	180.1	-6.4	41%
Season at home (10)	88.3	88.1	176.4	+0.2	50%
Season away (7)	84.9	100.6	185.4	-15.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	95.1	183.7	-6.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	93.6	180.8	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	83.8	92.1	175.9	-8.3	37%
vs Similar (8)	80.2	79.4	159.6	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker (3)	73.7	61.7	135.3	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Nunawading) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nunawading Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Casey Cavaliers

#19

87-72

+15

A13/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

82-90

-8

A20/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

103-89

103

+14

A21/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

103-64

103

+39

H27/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

105-80

105

+25

H03/06

NBL1 South

Knox

76-95

-19

H09/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

85-90

-5

A17/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

100-90

100

+10

A23/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

79-92

-13

A24/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

96-88

A30/06

NBL1 South

26-17

13-27

27-20

21-8

21-24

26-28

11-24

24-14

31-24

16-30

28-13

28-22

33-19

19-19

26-15

25-11

26-24

22-12

28-20

29-24

27-26

18-22

16-23

15-24

24-22

27-24

24-19

10-25

22-21

21-24

22-27

35-18

19-23

21-19

18-25

21-25

27-18

25-30

21-16

23-24

176.6Avg total

91.6Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	90.7	84.6	175.3	+6.2	61%
Season at home (8)	95.0	85.0	180.0	+10.0	62%
Season away (10)	87.3	84.2	171.5	+3.1	60%
Last 10 (10)	91.6	85.0	176.6	+6.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	91.0	178.2	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.6	85.9	161.4	-10.3	11%
vs Similar (10)	86.1	86.4	172.5	-0.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	92.5	82.1	174.6	+10.5	64%

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Keilor ThunderNunawading

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	13.7	32.3	+5.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	21.9	45.8	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.6	22.6	48.3	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	21.2	43.6	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	21.8	47.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	25.5	22.6	48.1	+2.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	25.4	48.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	23.3	24.6	47.9	-1.4	37%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	13.7	32.0	+4.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	23.4	43.4	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.5	44.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.8	46.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	23.9	45.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	45%	-

Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

42-61

-19

A13/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

35-40

-5

H20/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

49-44

H21/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

57-53

A27/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

49-40

A28/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

46-36

+10

H03/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

47-47

H04/06

NBL1 South

Knox

40-54

-14

A17/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

49-50

-1

H24/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#13

35-45

-10

H25/06

NBL1 South

91.9Avg total

44.9Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.2	85.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	42.6	85.1	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	43.9	85.1	-2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	47.0	91.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	46.4	89.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	43.9	47.3	91.2	-3.3	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.8	39.5	78.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.0	27.3	64.3	+9.7	67%	-

This opponent (Nunawading) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Casey Cavaliers

#19

39-44

-5

A13/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

47-52

-5

A20/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

47-54

-7

A21/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

52-38

+14

H27/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

48-36

+12

H03/06

NBL1 South

Knox

45-48

-3

H09/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

51-46

A17/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

43-45

-2

A23/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#17

40-42

-2

A24/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

52-48

A30/06

NBL1 South

91.7Avg total

46.4Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	43.9	88.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.0	43.1	89.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	44.6	87.0	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	45.3	91.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	45.8	92.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.0	42.8	83.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.4	45.1	89.5	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	46.3	43.8	90.1	+2.5	55%	-

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	21.4	38.8	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.7	18.3	33.0	-3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	14.8	22.3	37.1	-7.6	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.4	19.3	42.6	+4.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	20.3	41.6	+1.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	23.7	45.2	-2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	24.1	47.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.0	47.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.3	22.4	43.6	-1.1	53%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.1	81.7	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	39.9	80.0	+0.2	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.9	45.1	84.0	-6.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	47.1	89.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.2	86.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.3	44.3	83.6	-5.1	26%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.5	39.9	81.4	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.7	34.3	71.0	+2.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.7	82.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	42.1	85.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	39.5	78.9	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	39.7	84.9	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.6	43.1	77.7	-8.6	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	46.3	38.3	84.5	+8.0	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keilor Thunder wins

Nunawading wins

Date	Game	Score
22/05/22	Nunawading v Keilor Thunder	90-81

Keilor Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/06/23	H	Bendigo Braves	88-89
24/06/23	H	Diamond Valley	89-91
17/06/23	A	Knox	69-103
04/06/23	H	Geelong	106-104 OT
03/06/23	H	Dandenong	84-81
28/05/23	A	Waverley	92-77
27/05/23	A	Frankston	103-106
21/05/23	H	Ringwood	88-94
20/05/23	H	Hobart Chargers	78-81
13/05/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	89-125

Nunawadinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/06/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	96-88
24/06/23	A	NW Tasmania	79-92
23/06/23	A	Hobart Chargers	100-90
17/06/23	A	Kilsyth	85-90
09/06/23	H	Knox	76-95
03/06/23	H	Diamond Valley	105-80
27/05/23	H	Melbourne Tigers	103-64
21/05/23	A	Dandenong	103-89
20/05/23	A	Geelong	82-90
13/05/23	A	Casey Cavaliers	87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	41%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	41%	50%	29%
Points / game	86.9	88.3	84.9
Allowed / game	93.2	88.1	100.6
Point differential	-6.4	+0.2	-15.7
Avg total	180.1	176.4	185.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	10%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (6)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

Nunawading

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	61%
Home	WLWWL	62%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	61%	62%	60%
Points / game	90.7	95.0	87.3
Allowed / game	84.6	85.0	84.2
Point differential	+6.2	+10.0	+3.1
Avg total	175.3	180.0	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	62%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	17	13	4	76%	88.2	75.5	+12.7
2	Frankston	17	13	4	76%	93.1	83.8	+9.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	18	13	5	72%	92.6	85.2	+7.4
4	Mt Gambier	17	12	5	71%	95.1	86.4	+8.8
5	Nunawading	18	11	7	61%	90.7	84.6	+6.2
6	Eltham	18	11	7	61%	89.9	84.2	+5.7
7	Waverley	17	10	7	59%	86.5	85.2	+1.4
8	Diamond Valley	17	10	7	59%	87.9	87.5	+0.4
9	Melbourne Tigers	18	9	9	50%	83.5	86.2	-2.7
10	Geelong	17	8	9	47%	88.3	87.7	+0.6
11	Ballarat	18	8	10	44%	93.1	95.2	-2.1
12	Bendigo Braves	18	8	10	44%	87.0	93.2	-6.2
13	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	88.2	89.8	-1.6
14	Hobart Chargers	17	7	10	41%	83.6	86.9	-3.2
15	Keilor Thunder	17	7	10	41%	86.9	93.2	-6.4
16	NW Tasmania	17	7	10	41%	81.6	89.1	-7.5
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	90.2	94.9	-4.7
18	Casey Cavaliers	17	3	14	18%	74.3	86.8	-12.5
19	Dandenong	18	3	15	17%	86.4	91.4	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keilor Thunder	27	27	19	17	90
Nunawading	24	23	32	26	105

← all games of the day

Keilor Thunder vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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