Nurnberger vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 87-95

23-16 25-25 18-20 21-34

Position#14

Record10-19

FormWLWWL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game80.9

Nurnberger

Bayreuth 🏆

Position#13

Record10-19

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game88.7

Pro ARound 30· Kia Metropol Arena

Other2024-25

Meetings · Nurnberger v Bayreuth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nurnberger winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayreuth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Phoenix Hagen

78-70

A25/01

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

95-76

+19

H02/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

73-71

H07/02

Pro A

Jena

62-94

-32

A09/02

Pro A

Artland

#15

62-75

-13

A15/02

Pro A

Giessen

77-71

H01/03

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

73-97

-24

A07/03

Pro A

Koblenz

#17

94-91 OT

H09/03

Pro A

Munster

#10

93-73

+20

H16/03

Pro A

Trier

74-85

-11

A23/03

Pro A

18-18

19-16

23-19

18-17

22-19

24-22

26-13

23-22

22-22

13-21

24-19

14-9

22-26

7-29

19-20

14-19

19-20

17-19

11-15

15-21

26-22

20-16

17-20

14-13

21-23

11-29

18-27

23-18

17-30

25-8

16-20

23-23

31-19

23-12

15-20

24-22

21-28

9-20

20-16

24-21

158.4Avg total

78.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	75.2	80.9	156.1	-5.7	34%
Season at home (14)	78.7	77.1	155.8	+1.6	57%
Season away (15)	71.9	84.5	156.4	-12.5	13%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	80.3	158.4	-2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	83.4	165.6	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	73.8	82.7	156.4	-8.9	31%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	78.8	79.1	157.9	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	76.5	85.0	161.5	-8.5	0%

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koblenz

#17

95-93

A22/01

Pro A

Artland

#15

83-77

H01/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

73-84

-11

A07/02

Pro A

Bochum

109-112 OT

109

112

-3

A09/02

Pro A

Munster

#10

80-86

-6

H15/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

71-67

H01/03

Pro A

Jena

72-104

104

-32

A07/03

Pro A

Giessen

78-77

H09/03

Pro A

Dresden

#11

84-88

-4

A15/03

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

90-77

+13

H22/03

Pro A

27-22

23-21

24-27

21-23

25-25

21-20

17-14

20-18

23-25

13-30

20-9

17-20

27-20

25-29

18-25

28-24

20-14

14-35

24-18

22-19

12-22

22-11

22-17

15-17

21-17

19-23

19-34

13-30

10-21

23-19

21-22

24-15

21-22

16-11

21-28

26-27

25-12

28-30

21-18

16-17

170.0Avg total

83.5Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.0	88.7	171.6	-5.7	34%
Season at home (15)	84.3	87.0	171.3	-2.7	40%
Season away (14)	81.6	90.4	172.0	-8.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	86.5	170.0	-3.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	82.6	161.6	-3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	76.6	89.2	165.8	-12.7	19%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	88.6	90.4	179.0	-1.8	30%
vs Weaker (4)	89.5	81.5	171.0	+8.0	100%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NurnbergerBayreuth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.2	39.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.7	44.6	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.4	47.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	12.0	33.0	+9.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	16.2	39.5	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	22.1	40.2	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	23.7	46.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	23.9	48.2	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.6	24.2	45.8	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.5	24.5	50.0	+1.0	50%	-

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Phoenix Hagen

37-34

A25/01

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

46-41

H02/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

35-43

-8

H07/02

Pro A

Jena

29-55

-26

A09/02

Pro A

Artland

#15

36-39

-3

A15/02

Pro A

Giessen

46-38

H01/03

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#12

32-52

-20

A07/03

Pro A

Koblenz

#17

42-38

H09/03

Pro A

Munster

#10

54-31

+23

H16/03

Pro A

Trier

30-48

-18

A23/03

Pro A

80.6Avg total

38.7Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.4	79.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	36.4	77.5	+4.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	43.9	81.1	-6.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.9	80.6	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.4	82.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	38.3	41.5	79.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	36.0	77.5	+5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koblenz

#17

50-43

A22/01

Pro A

Artland

#15

46-45

H01/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

36-55

-19

A07/02

Pro A

Bochum

52-49

A09/02

Pro A

Munster

#10

34-49

-15

H15/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

34-33

H01/03

Pro A

Jena

40-40

A07/03

Pro A

Giessen

33-40

-7

H09/03

Pro A

Dresden

#11

37-33

A15/03

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

53-42

+11

H22/03

Pro A

84.4Avg total

41.5Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	43.8	86.0	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	44.7	87.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	42.9	84.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.9	84.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.6	77.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.4	45.1	84.5	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.8	40.8	89.5	+8.0	75%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.2	37.9	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	24.5	44.0	-5.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.7	39.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.7	41.1	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.8	44.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.8	19.8	39.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	24.5	40.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	23.7	43.1	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.2	22.6	40.9	-4.4	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	40.5	76.7	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	40.9	76.7	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.4	75.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.0	78.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	35.4	41.2	76.6	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.4	38.1	75.5	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	49.0	84.0	-14.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	43.4	82.3	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	40.4	80.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	46.3	84.3	-8.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	45.0	84.6	-5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.1	44.2	81.3	-7.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.1	43.1	84.2	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	40.8	81.5	+0.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nurnbergertheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.3	37.9%	-	33.9
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.1	71.2%	-	14.1

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.2	60.4%	-	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	12.8	42.2%	-	38.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.4%	-	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	16.1	52.1%	-	32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.6	37.6%	-	31.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.2	57.5%	-	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	11.1	39.4%	-	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.9	74.3%	-	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nurnberger wins

Bayreuth wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/24	Bayreuth v Nurnberger	86-72
03/03/24	Nurnberger v Bayreuth	95-97 OT
26/12/23	Bayreuth v Nurnberger	92-73

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/25	A	Trier	74-85
16/03/25	H	Munster	93-73
09/03/25	H	Koblenz	94-91 OT
07/03/25	A	PS Karlsruhe	73-97
01/03/25	H	Giessen	77-71
15/02/25	A	Artland	62-75
09/02/25	A	Jena	62-94
07/02/25	H	Kirchheim	73-71
02/02/25	H	Dusseldorf	95-76
25/01/25	A	Phoenix Hagen	78-70

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/25	H	Vechta 2	90-77
15/03/25	A	Dresden	84-88
09/03/25	H	Giessen	78-77
07/03/25	A	Jena	72-104
01/03/25	H	Bremerhaven	71-67
15/02/25	H	Munster	80-86
09/02/25	A	Bochum	109-112 OT
07/02/25	A	Phoenix Hagen	73-84
01/02/25	H	Artland	83-77
22/01/25	A	Koblenz	95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nurnberger

Pro A 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	34%
Home	WWWWW	57%
Away	WLLLL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	34%	57%	13%
Points / game	75.2	78.7	71.9
Allowed / game	80.9	77.1	84.5
Point differential	-5.7	+1.6	-12.5
Avg total	156.1	155.8	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	21%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Bayreuth

Pro A 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	34%
Home	WLWWW	40%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	34%	40%	29%
Points / game	83.0	84.3	81.6
Allowed / game	88.7	87.0	90.4
Point differential	-5.7	-2.7	-8.9
Avg total	171.6	171.3	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	33% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Jena	30	28	2	93%	92.0	74.2	+17.7
2	Trier	29	23	6	79%	92.4	80.5	+11.9
3	Crailsheim Merlins	29	19	10	66%	88.7	79.6	+9.1
4	Giessen	29	19	10	66%	85.7	77.5	+8.2
5	Bremerhaven	30	19	11	63%	81.9	76.2	+5.8
6	Phoenix Hagen	30	19	11	63%	84.6	79.7	+4.9
7	Bochum	29	18	11	62%	83.6	83.9	-0.3
8	Tubingen	30	17	13	57%	79.0	79.8	-0.8
9	Munster	29	16	13	55%	84.5	83.0	+1.5
10	Kirchheim	29	16	13	55%	81.7	81.8	-0.2
11	Dresden	30	15	15	50%	85.8	86.6	-0.7
12	PS Karlsruhe	29	11	18	38%	78.3	83.2	-4.9
13	Bayreuth	29	10	19	34%	83.0	88.7	-5.7
14	Nurnberger	29	10	19	34%	75.2	80.9	-5.7
15	Dusseldorf	30	8	22	27%	78.2	85.9	-7.7
16	Koblenz	30	7	23	23%	75.6	86.4	-10.8
17	Artland	29	6	23	21%	79.1	87.0	-7.9
18	Vechta 2	30	4	26	13%	77.7	92.0	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nurnberger	23	25	18	21	87
Bayreuth	16	25	20	34	95

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Nurnberger vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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