NW Tasmania vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 78-89

17-21 19-24 24-25 18-19

Position#6

Record12-10

FormLWLLW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game81.2

NW Tasmania

Kilsyth 🏆

Position#11

Record9-12

FormWLLLW

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game77.4

SEABLRound 17

Other2015

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

86-78

H20/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

96-79

+17

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

65-61

A03/07

SEABL

Geelong

76-86

-10

A05/07

SEABL

Bendigo

85-75

+10

A10/07

SEABL

Dandenong

83-94

-11

A11/07

SEABL

Bendigo

115-73

115

+42

H18/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

83-86 OT

-3

H25/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

80-83

-3

A31/07

SEABL

Nunawading

92-80

+12

A01/08

SEABL

25-21

28-9

16-24

17-24

27-18

19-24

18-15

32-22

16-11

15-16

16-13

18-21

19-13

20-27

14-21

23-25

18-24

27-24

21-14

19-13

20-24

23-22

15-22

25-26

30-35

27-13

28-12

30-13

24-27

24-17

23-21

8-14

22-22

9-15

22-30

27-16

29-21

21-24

15-21

27-14

165.6Avg total

86.1Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	83.5	81.2	164.7	+2.2	55%
Season at home (10)	85.5	76.7	162.2	+8.8	70%
Season away (12)	81.8	85.0	166.8	-3.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	79.5	165.6	+6.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	83.2	173.8	+7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.5	84.5	166.0	-3.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	87.8	81.4	169.2	+6.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	80.3	80.5	160.7	-0.2	55%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

92-96 OT

-4

H30/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

75-89

-14

H13/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

72-71

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

81-88

-7

H27/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

66-64

H05/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

67-60

H11/07

SEABL

Albury

78-84

-6

A18/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

71-89

-18

A25/07

SEABL

Bendigo

76-79 OT

-3

H01/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

63-53

+10

A07/08

SEABL

21-17

20-23

25-26

17-17

17-24

19-17

20-16

19-32

20-14

13-18

23-20

16-19

22-24

20-23

17-22

22-19

18-13

15-18

18-16

15-17

23-13

15-16

12-19

17-12

23-28

17-25

18-16

20-15

16-27

17-22

22-17

16-23

22-17

13-18

20-18

15-17

12-19

13-11

17-15

21-8

151.4Avg total

74.1Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	76.9	77.4	154.2	-0.5	43%
Season at home (11)	78.6	77.0	155.6	+1.6	45%
Season away (10)	74.9	77.8	152.7	-2.9	40%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	77.3	151.4	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	73.0	144.0	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	77.2	83.0	160.2	-5.8	17%
vs Similar (12)	74.8	74.2	149.0	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	78.7	163.3	+6.0	67%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.5	20.0	41.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	25.8	50.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.1	20.4	44.6	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.1	19.8	38.8	-0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.4	20.5	40.8	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	21.3	44.9	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.1	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	17.2	18.6	35.9	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	18.4	36.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	15.9	18.9	34.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.1	35.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.4	33.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	20.2	39.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	17.2	33.6	-0.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	33%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

53-30

+23

H20/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

46-42

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

31-27

A03/07

SEABL

Geelong

39-40

-1

A05/07

SEABL

Bendigo

45-48

-3

A10/07

SEABL

Dandenong

43-46

-3

A11/07

SEABL

Bendigo

57-48

H18/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-44

H25/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

31-37

-6

A31/07

SEABL

Nunawading

50-45

A01/08

SEABL

85.0Avg total

44.3Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	41.9	40.5	82.4	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	44.4	39.0	83.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	40.7	85.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	44.0	89.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	40.5	80.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	47.7	41.8	89.4	+5.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	37.6	39.5	77.1	-1.8	45%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

41-40

H30/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

36-41

-5

H13/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

33-32

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

42-47

-5

H27/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

33-31

H05/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

38-29

H11/07

SEABL

Albury

40-53

-13

A18/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

33-49

-16

A25/07

SEABL

Bendigo

35-35

H01/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

25-30

-5

A07/08

SEABL

74.3Avg total

35.6Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	37.3	38.7	76.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.5	37.2	75.7	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.0	40.3	76.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.7	74.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	39.2	73.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	40.2	43.0	83.2	-2.8	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.4	37.0	72.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	25.5	48.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.4	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.3	18.4	37.8	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	18.5	37.6	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	18.7	42.3	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.6	40.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	15.0	32.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.0	32.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	40.7	39.8	80.5	+0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	40.7	37.0	77.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	38.1	79.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.8	81.8	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	40.5	80.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.1	39.7	79.8	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.3	39.7	81.0	+1.5	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	38.6	37.2	75.8	+1.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.7	37.8	76.5	+0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.4	36.5	74.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	36.4	73.4	+0.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	32.0	67.6	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.0	40.0	77.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.1	35.4	73.5	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	38.7	82.3	+5.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
24/05/15	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	87-62

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/08/15	A	Nunawading	92-80
31/07/15	A	Mt Gambier	80-83
25/07/15	H	Mt Gambier	83-86 OT
18/07/15	H	Bendigo	115-73
11/07/15	A	Dandenong	83-94
10/07/15	A	Bendigo	85-75
05/07/15	A	Geelong	76-86
03/07/15	A	Hobart Chargers	65-61
27/06/15	H	Canberra	96-79
20/06/15	H	Albury	86-78

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/08/15	A	Hobart Chargers	63-53
01/08/15	H	Bendigo	76-79 OT
25/07/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	71-89
18/07/15	A	Albury	78-84
11/07/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	67-60
05/07/15	H	Southern Sabres	66-64
27/06/15	H	Albury	81-88
20/06/15	A	Canberra	72-71
13/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	75-89
30/05/15	H	Nunawading	92-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

SEABL 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	55%
Home	LWWWL	70%
Away	LWLLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	55%	70%	42%
Points / game	83.5	85.5	81.8
Allowed / game	81.2	76.7	85.0
Point differential	+2.2	+8.8	-3.2
Avg total	164.7	162.2	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	9%	10%	8%

Kilsyth

SEABL 2015

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	43%
Home	LLWWL	45%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	43%	45%	40%
Points / game	76.9	78.6	74.9
Allowed / game	77.4	77.0	77.8
Point differential	-0.5	+1.6	-2.9
Avg total	154.2	155.6	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	27%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	18%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	22	19	3	86%	88.0	73.4	+14.6
2	Albury	22	15	7	68%	86.8	81.5	+5.3
3	Geelong	21	14	7	67%	84.1	79.7	+4.5
4	Bendigo	21	13	8	62%	82.5	81.7	+0.9
5	Dandenong	21	13	8	62%	84.9	84.1	+0.8
6	NW Tasmania	22	12	10	55%	83.5	81.2	+2.2
7	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	87.3	86.5	+0.7
8	Ballarat	22	11	11	50%	87.1	85.9	+1.2
9	Kilsyth	21	9	12	43%	76.9	77.4	-0.5
10	BA CoE	14	6	8	43%	83.7	87.5	-3.8
11	Hobart Chargers	23	9	14	39%	68.8	71.9	-3.0
12	Southern Sabres	22	8	14	36%	81.8	83.2	-1.5
13	Brisbane Spartans	22	8	14	36%	80.7	83.3	-2.6
14	Canberra	22	7	15	32%	77.2	86.2	-9.0
15	Frankston	21	3	18	14%	76.4	87.6	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	17	19	24	18	78
Kilsyth	21	24	25	19	89

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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