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NW Tasmania vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 94-86 (OT)
22-20 25-13 12-30 17-13 18-10
Position#17
Record4-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#5
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game80.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Eltham
17 May 2025
NW T89
ELTH90
27 May 2023
NW T94
ELTH86
08 May 2021
NW T87
ELTH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A15/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
99-95
99
95
+4
A16/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
H21/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H22/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H29/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
111-79
111
79
+32
A06/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H13/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
68-100
68
100
-32
A21/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
17-24
13-27
22-22
34-31
26-23
20-16
19-25
15-27
15-20
20-23
12-30
25-29
25-14
21-19
13-32
11-25
16-17
25-27
17-15
27-24
25-21
26-21
33-13
18-21
29-23
17-25
25-22
20-26
13-21
20-24
19-27
22-19
30-20
25-18
18-35
23-25
20-29
14-29
11-17
175.2Avg total
82.1Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.991.0172.9-9.136%
Season at home (5)73.489.2162.6-15.820%
Season away (6)89.092.5181.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)82.193.1175.2-11.030%
Last 5 (5)87.092.0179.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.686.6159.2-13.918%
vs Similar (10)88.485.9174.3+2.560%
vs Weaker (3)79.365.0144.3+14.3100%
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#17
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A21/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A29/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
102-66
102
66
+36
H30/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A06/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H07/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H13/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
H20/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A26/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
24-17
27-13
22-22
19-20
24-18
19-23
25-16
26-17
24-19
23-19
18-17
17-23
17-22
21-21
20-23
25-18
29-19
25-17
23-12
20-24
22-24
18-25
20-20
28-10
28-19
29-21
14-26
23-22
20-26
25-14
32-29
23-22
27-21
15-29
23-16
21-22
31-14
15-15
20-19
172.8Avg total
92.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.880.2172.0+11.682%
Season at home (6)99.079.3178.3+19.7100%
Season away (5)83.281.2164.4+2.060%
Last 10 (10)92.380.5172.8+11.880%
Last 5 (5)94.085.8179.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.982.3155.1-9.420%
vs Similar (5)82.882.2165.0+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.777.8171.5+15.9100%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
NW TasmaniaEltham
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A16/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H21/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H29/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A06/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A07/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H13/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A20/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
NBL1 South
89.5Avg total
43.1Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.142.382.4-2.248%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.439.573.9-5.133%-
Last 30 away (17)44.144.488.5-0.259%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.489.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.891.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.342.278.5-5.929%-
vs Similar (9)46.246.292.4+0.067%-
vs Weaker (3)43.331.775.0+11.7100%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H30/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A06/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H07/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H20/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A26/05
NBL1 South
87.0Avg total
47.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.981.0-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.239.982.1+2.347%-
Last 30 away (13)37.542.279.6-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)47.339.787.0+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.640.889.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.142.177.2-6.927%-
vs Similar (5)39.841.881.6-2.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.838.686.4+9.280%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NW Tasmania wins
2
Eltham wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Eltham v NW Tasmania98-72
09/07/22Eltham v NW Tasmania92-88 OT
22/05/21Eltham v NW Tasmania68-94
08/05/21NW Tasmania v Eltham87-69
05/05/19Eltham v NW Tasmania95-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23ASandringham Sabres68-100
20/05/23ADandenong95-92
13/05/23HGeelong72-98
07/05/23AWaverley89-91
06/05/23ACasey Cavaliers111-79
29/04/23HMelbourne Tigers69-84
22/04/23HBallarat84-94
21/04/23HKnox62-100
16/04/23ABendigo Braves99-95
15/04/23AEltham72-98
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/23AHobart Chargers87-70
20/05/23HRingwood104-99 OT
13/05/23HMelbourne Tigers100-91
07/05/23HDandenong99-76
06/05/23ANunawading80-93
30/04/23HKeilor Thunder102-66
29/04/23ASandringham Sabres75-89
23/04/23HBendigo Braves91-72
21/04/23ARingwood87-77
15/04/23HNW Tasmania98-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%20%50%
Points / game81.973.489.0
Allowed / game91.089.292.5
Point differential-9.1-15.8-3.5
Avg total172.9162.6181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game91.899.083.2
Allowed / game80.279.381.2
Point differential+11.6+19.7+2.0
Avg total172.0178.3164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham119282%91.880.2+11.6
2 Frankston118373%93.682.9+10.7
3 Sandringham Sabres139469%92.086.7+5.3
4 Knox128467%85.477.5+7.9
5 Nunawading117464%89.983.9+6.0
6 Mt Gambier106460%95.789.6+6.1
7 Diamond Valley127558%87.986.3+1.6
8 Geelong116555%88.487.5+0.9
9 Waverley116555%84.186.1-2.0
10 Hobart Chargers126650%82.683.9-1.3
11 Kilsyth115645%88.888.5+0.3
12 Ballarat115645%92.092.9-0.9
13 Keilor Thunder104640%84.693.4-8.8
14 Ringwood114736%89.290.8-1.6
15 Melbourne Tigers114736%82.485.2-2.8
16 Bendigo Braves114736%88.597.5-9.0
17 NW Tasmania114736%81.991.0-9.1
18 Casey Cavaliers113827%76.784.5-7.8
19 Dandenong1321115%85.292.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
NW Tasmania222512171894
Eltham201330131086
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