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NW Tasmania vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 84-94
25-29 25-14 21-19 13-32
Position#17
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Position#11
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game90.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Ballarat
11 Apr 2025
NW T88
BALL94
26 Apr 2024
NW T98
BALL95
22 Apr 2023
NW T84
BALL94
24 Apr 2021
NW T71
BALL74
02 Jun 2017
NW T85
BALL78
23 Apr 2016
NW T95
BALL92
30 May 2015
NW T85
BALL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H16/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A23/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A24/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H30/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H06/08
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A12/08
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A15/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
99-95
99
95
+4
A16/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
H21/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
30-21
12-9
30-13
30-27
24-17
14-22
21-20
25-35
18-21
19-21
27-20
17-18
17-15
13-14
22-16
17-26
11-12
22-33
28-20
12-15
22-16
25-33
24-23
26-19
14-21
20-12
20-18
20-25
17-24
13-27
22-22
34-31
26-23
20-16
19-25
15-27
15-20
20-23
12-30
165.9Avg total
81.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.290.8169.0-12.550%
Season at home (2)71.085.0156.0-14.050%
Season away (2)85.596.5182.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)81.184.8165.9-3.750%
Last 5 (5)79.290.0169.2-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.483.7155.1-12.429%
vs Similar (10)82.584.8167.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (6)82.872.0154.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H06/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
118-100
118
100
+18
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
19-23
20-26
9-17
23-23
20-34
17-23
19-21
27-25
18-23
20-28
13-10
16-28
25-30
17-24
12-20
28-18
21-18
19-25
30-27
25-13
18-23
23-18
26-14
34-33
29-23
30-23
25-21
24-33
26-23
15-28
27-11
24-35
22-22
12-28
18-19
27-16
16-24
27-14
24-29
179.1Avg total
87.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.490.0184.4+4.460%
Season at home (2)105.084.0189.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)87.394.0181.3-6.733%
Last 10 (10)87.591.6179.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)94.490.0184.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.886.8165.5-8.038%
vs Similar (15)82.382.9165.2-0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.182.6172.7+7.671%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
NW TasmaniaBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H16/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A23/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A24/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H30/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H06/08
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/08
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H01/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A16/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H21/04
NBL1 South
83.9Avg total
40.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.240.579.7-1.352%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.538.073.5-2.543%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.985.5-0.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.183.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.284.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.940.576.4-4.629%-
vs Similar (9)41.345.686.9-4.256%-
vs Weaker (6)43.733.076.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A30/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H06/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
96.2Avg total
47.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.588.3-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.242.488.6+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)41.346.787.9-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.049.098.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.545.588.0-3.038%-
vs Similar (15)41.344.385.7-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.343.994.1+6.471%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NW Tasmania wins
5
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
24/07/22Ballarat v NW Tasmania97-89
24/04/21NW Tasmania v Ballarat71-74 OT
25/05/19Ballarat v NW Tasmania94-67
30/07/17Ballarat v NW Tasmania98-79
02/06/17NW Tasmania v Ballarat85-78
23/04/16NW Tasmania v Ballarat95-92
30/05/15NW Tasmania v Ballarat85-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23HKnox62-100
16/04/23ABendigo Braves99-95
15/04/23AEltham72-98
01/04/23HHobart Chargers80-70
12/08/22AHobart Chargers83-87
06/08/22HSandringham Sabres78-91
30/07/22HWaverley69-63
24/07/22ABallarat89-97
23/07/22AMt Gambier89-86
16/07/22HDiamond Valley90-61
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23AHobart Chargers94-83
15/04/23ANunawading76-104
14/04/23AKeilor Thunder92-95
06/04/23HBendigo Braves118-100
01/04/23HMelbourne Tigers92-68
14/08/22HBendigo Braves98-88
12/08/22AMt Gambier70-102
07/08/22AMelbourne Tigers78-86
06/08/22HDiamond Valley79-101
30/07/22ANunawading78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.271.085.5
Allowed / game90.885.096.5
Point differential-12.5-14.0-11.0
Avg total169.0156.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game94.4105.087.3
Allowed / game90.084.094.0
Point differential+4.4+21.0-6.7
Avg total184.4189.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier440100%105.889.2+16.5
2 Eltham330100%90.775.3+15.3
3 Frankston43175%100.287.5+12.8
4 Kilsyth64267%94.890.5+4.3
5 Diamond Valley32167%91.791.7+0.0
6 Keilor Thunder32167%84.084.0+0.0
7 Nunawading53260%93.886.0+7.8
8 Ballarat53260%94.490.0+4.4
9 Dandenong42250%92.884.8+8.0
10 Sandringham Sabres63350%87.294.3-7.2
11 NW Tasmania42250%78.290.8-12.5
12 Knox52340%83.676.6+7.0
13 Casey Cavaliers52340%79.680.0-0.4
14 Ringwood52340%90.692.2-1.6
15 Hobart Chargers52340%84.290.6-6.4
16 Melbourne Tigers41325%77.586.5-9.0
17 Waverley41325%81.592.5-11.0
18 Bendigo Braves51420%87.699.0-11.4
19 Geelong4040%82.593.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania2525211384
Ballarat2914193294
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