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Eltham vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 102-66
25-18 29-19 25-17 23-12
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game77.4
Eltham 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#16
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game88.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Eltham v Keilor Thunder
21 Jun 2025
ELTH78
KEIL96
30 Apr 2023
ELTH102
KEIL66
16 Jul 2022
ELTH69
KEIL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A30/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H31/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H06/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
58-90
58
90
-32
A13/08
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H14/08
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A01/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A21/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
15-24
18-18
15-11
17-20
20-17
22-18
26-23
24-16
15-11
12-22
17-14
7-29
20-19
18-26
13-16
17-21
21-20
22-19
22-18
17-25
26-16
18-20
26-16
25-20
24-17
27-13
22-22
19-20
24-18
19-23
25-16
26-17
24-19
23-19
18-17
17-23
17-22
21-21
20-23
156.9Avg total
80.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.677.4165.0+10.280%
Season at home (2)94.572.0166.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)83.081.0164.0+2.067%
Last 10 (10)80.076.9156.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)87.677.4165.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.884.1157.8-10.317%
vs Similar (7)75.777.1152.9-1.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.075.2164.2+13.8100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
23-18
18-23
17-12
15-17
24-17
21-18
20-37
23-25
24-19
25-15
26-15
18-26
16-15
18-18
23-8
6-21
18-25
23-22
24-17
14-20
29-25
13-30
17-13
33-24
23-26
28-15
11-27
23-15
29-19
16-14
16-24
26-31
22-30
19-16
15-29
22-25
26-21
18-21
27-18
166.4Avg total
82.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.488.6174.0-3.260%
Season at home (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Season away (2)87.595.5183.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)82.783.7166.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.488.6174.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.685.4166.0-4.842%
vs Similar (11)76.679.6156.3-3.027%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
ElthamKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H31/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H06/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A13/08
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/08
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/04
NBL1 South
79.0Avg total
39.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.579.9-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.580.5-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.742.579.2-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.479.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.483.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.043.079.0-7.022%-
vs Similar (7)39.939.979.7+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.638.683.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A29/04
NBL1 South
87.7Avg total
43.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.140.780.8-0.552%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.241.483.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (13)37.939.977.8-2.046%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.587.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)49.447.296.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.943.686.5-0.758%-
vs Similar (11)37.540.978.5-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eltham wins
1
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
16/07/22Eltham v Keilor Thunder69-72
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ASandringham Sabres75-89
23/04/23HBendigo Braves91-72
21/04/23ARingwood87-77
15/04/23HNW Tasmania98-72
01/04/23ADiamond Valley87-77
14/08/22HDandenong82-78
13/08/22ASandringham Sabres58-90
06/08/22HRingwood68-63
31/07/22HNunawading85-78
30/07/22ADiamond Valley69-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ADiamond Valley93-85
22/04/23AMt Gambier82-106
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers84-72
14/04/23HBallarat95-92
02/04/23HKnox73-88
14/08/22AKnox71-85
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers75-67
06/08/22HGeelong98-74
30/07/22ASandringham Sabres80-89
23/07/22HDiamond Valley76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.694.583.0
Allowed / game77.472.081.0
Point differential+10.2+22.5+2.0
Avg total165.0166.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game85.484.087.5
Allowed / game88.684.095.5
Point differential-3.2+0.0-8.0
Avg total174.0168.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier660100%103.586.3+17.2
2 Eltham54180%87.677.4+10.2
3 Frankston75271%95.482.7+12.7
4 Ballarat75271%94.788.9+5.9
5 Nunawading53260%93.886.0+7.8
6 Keilor Thunder53260%85.488.6-3.2
7 Kilsyth74357%94.491.0+3.4
8 Sandringham Sabres74357%87.491.6-4.1
9 Knox63350%82.073.8+8.2
10 Diamond Valley63350%86.289.2-3.0
11 Hobart Chargers63350%83.887.3-3.5
12 Melbourne Tigers73443%80.082.7-2.7
13 Casey Cavaliers62433%76.379.0-2.7
14 Ringwood62433%88.792.2-3.5
15 NW Tasmania62433%77.790.2-12.5
16 Dandenong72529%87.690.1-2.6
17 Bendigo Braves72529%86.396.9-10.6
18 Geelong51420%81.889.6-7.8
19 Waverley51420%79.889.8-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham25292523102
Keilor Thunder1819171266
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