NW Tasmania vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 85-84

27-19 16-22 21-21 21-22

Position#18

Record1-2

FormLLLWL

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game93.0

NW Tasmania 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#7

Record2-2

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game82.0

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

96-93

A22/06

NBL1 South

Knox

70-95

-25

A23/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

93-78

+15

H28/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

77-81 OT

-4

H29/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

96-85

+11

H06/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

71-75

-4

A13/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

75-81

-6

A14/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

#13

88-104

104

-16

A05/04

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

90-81

A06/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

88-94

-6

H11/04

NBL1 South

28-22

14-30

26-25

28-16

17-29

24-26

16-15

13-25

24-21

27-20

22-16

20-21

21-24

23-21

20-15

8-12

25-24

25-22

19-16

27-23

18-21

22-19

7-15

24-20

20-25

18-26

23-13

14-17

15-28

20-28

19-26

34-22

26-23

18-21

22-13

24-24

28-16

21-24

12-27

27-27

171.1Avg total

84.4Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	88.7	93.0	181.7	-4.3	33%
Season at home (1)	88.0	94.0	182.0	-6.0	0%
Season away (2)	89.0	92.5	181.5	-3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	86.7	171.1	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	87.0	169.4	-4.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	80.2	89.6	169.8	-9.5	21%
vs Similar (9)	85.4	87.9	173.3	-2.4	44%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	100%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

65-86

-21

A28/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

81-77 OT

A29/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

73-105

105

-32

A04/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

68-87

-19

H06/07

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

86-72

+14

H13/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

80-79

A14/07

NBL1 South

Knox

84-88

-4

A29/03

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

85-77

A04/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#11

72-67

H06/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

84-96

-12

A11/04

NBL1 South

21-25

16-16

7-21

21-24

24-21

21-23

15-20

12-8

20-20

22-27

17-28

14-30

15-25

12-23

21-19

20-20

22-21

19-20

23-10

26-19

25-17

16-20

13-23

23-16

18-29

18-27

25-16

19-24

27-17

17-11

22-25

19-10

18-19

17-18

18-20

17-26

19-19

20-30

28-21

161.2Avg total

77.8Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	81.2	82.0	163.2	-0.8	50%
Season at home (1)	72.0	67.0	139.0	+5.0	100%
Season away (3)	84.3	87.0	171.3	-2.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	83.4	161.2	-5.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	81.4	162.4	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	78.5	90.3	168.8	-11.8	16%
vs Similar (11)	80.7	76.6	157.4	+4.1	73%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.8	44.9	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	24.1	47.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	23.4	42.9	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.3	45.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.8	23.6	44.5	-2.8	37%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	24.2	45.3	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	23.7	44.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	22.9	45.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	24.4	43.5	-5.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.7	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

42-52

-10

A22/06

NBL1 South

Knox

41-55

-14

A23/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

51-41

+10

H28/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

44-45

-1

H29/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

50-46

H06/07

NBL1 South

Nunawading

40-40

A13/07

NBL1 South

Dandenong

38-51

-13

A14/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

#13

35-56

-21

A05/04

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#16

44-44

A06/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

49-40

H11/04

NBL1 South

90.4Avg total

43.4Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	47.5	89.2	-5.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	47.1	92.4	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	47.9	86.4	-9.3	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	47.0	90.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	46.2	87.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.3	47.8	89.1	-6.5	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.1	47.7	89.8	-5.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	44.0	88.5	+0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

37-41

-4

A28/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

45-44

A29/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

42-47

-5

A04/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

27-48

-21

H06/07

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

44-42

H13/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

51-36

+15

A14/07

NBL1 South

Knox

41-45

-4

A29/03

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

46-41

A04/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#11

37-29

H06/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

36-45

-9

A11/04

NBL1 South

82.4Avg total

40.6Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.2	84.6	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	41.7	82.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	44.4	86.7	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	41.8	82.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	39.2	81.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	40.9	45.4	86.4	-4.5	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.2	39.3	81.5	+2.9	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.2	40.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	19.2	40.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.2	20.6	40.7	-0.4	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.4	38.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.3	22.0	40.3	-3.7	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	41.0	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	18.7	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.0	46.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.5	37%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.2	40.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.3	22.9	42.2	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.7	38.3	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	39.9	76.8	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.3	41.6	84.9	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.8	79.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.9	41.8	80.7	-2.9	37%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.6	89%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	43.3	80.1	-6.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	41.1	77.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.5	44.9	82.4	-7.4	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.7	36.9	74.6	+0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
29/06/24	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	77-81 OT
19/05/24	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	80-81
18/06/23	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	93-68
07/05/22	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	73-100
23/05/21	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	63-98
06/07/19	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	81-86
08/07/17	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	80-84
24/03/17	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	62-73
09/07/16	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	85-78
26/06/16	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	80-87

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/25	H	Ballarat	88-94
06/04/25	A	Bendigo Braves	90-81
05/04/25	A	Waverley	88-104
14/07/24	A	Dandenong	75-81
13/07/24	A	Nunawading	71-75
06/07/24	H	Bendigo Braves	96-85
29/06/24	H	Kilsyth	77-81 OT
28/06/24	H	Diamond Valley	93-78
23/06/24	A	Knox	70-95
22/06/24	A	Eltham	96-93

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/25	A	Hobart Chargers	84-96
06/04/25	H	Nunawading	72-67
04/04/25	A	Melbourne Tigers	85-77
29/03/25	A	Knox	84-88
14/07/24	A	Diamond Valley	80-79
13/07/24	H	Bendigo Braves	86-72
06/07/24	H	Eltham	68-87
04/07/24	A	Frankston	73-105
29/06/24	A	NW Tasmania	81-77 OT
28/06/24	A	Hobart Chargers	65-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWL	33%
Home	L	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	33%	0%	50%
Points / game	88.7	88.0	89.0
Allowed / game	93.0	94.0	92.5
Point differential	-4.3	-6.0	-3.5
Avg total	181.7	182.0	181.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	50%	100%	33%
Points / game	81.2	72.0	84.3
Allowed / game	82.0	67.0	87.0
Point differential	-0.8	+5.0	-2.7
Avg total	163.2	139.0	171.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	3	3	0	100%	100.7	78.7	+22.0
2	Hobart Chargers	3	3	0	100%	84.7	78.3	+6.3
3	Mt Gambier	4	3	1	75%	94.2	69.8	+24.5
4	Waverley	4	3	1	75%	94.2	92.2	+2.0
5	Melbourne Tigers	3	2	1	67%	85.0	72.0	+13.0
6	Ringwood	3	2	1	67%	91.3	81.3	+10.0
7	Frankston	3	2	1	67%	90.3	83.3	+7.0
8	Ballarat	3	2	1	67%	91.7	87.0	+4.7
9	Casey Cavaliers	3	2	1	67%	81.0	79.3	+1.7
10	Eltham	2	1	1	50%	83.0	77.0	+6.0
11	Kilsyth	4	2	2	50%	81.2	82.0	-0.8
12	Bendigo Braves	4	2	2	50%	83.5	89.8	-6.2
13	NW Tasmania	3	1	2	33%	88.7	93.0	-4.3
14	Nunawading	3	1	2	33%	82.7	89.0	-6.3
15	Dandenong	4	1	3	25%	90.8	97.2	-6.5
16	Keilor Thunder	4	1	3	25%	86.8	95.0	-8.2
17	Geelong	4	1	3	25%	83.2	91.8	-8.5
18	Diamond Valley	5	1	4	20%	79.4	94.6	-15.2
19	Sandringham Sabres	4	0	4	0%	72.2	93.0	-20.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	27	16	21	21	85
Kilsyth	19	22	21	22	84

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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