NW Tasmania vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 81-86

23-21 22-21 16-22 20-22

Position#14

Record7-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game86.5

NW Tasmania

Kilsyth 🏆

Position#7

Record9-7

FormWWWLL

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game83.8

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

#17

100-95

100

A05/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

76-109

109

-33

H11/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

97-75

+22

H17/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

67-94

-27

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

59-66

-7

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

85-94

-9

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

75-54

+21

H15/06

NBL 1

Geelong

74-79

-5

A21/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

61-74

-13

H22/06

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

90-82 OT

H28/06

NBL 1

25-17

21-18

26-30

28-30

31-26

8-24

14-29

23-30

30-13

28-16

21-31

18-15

15-24

20-28

10-22

22-20

15-12

9-25

21-16

14-13

21-29

18-17

16-24

30-24

13-9

17-10

26-13

19-22

25-14

11-25

18-20

20-20

16-16

11-21

20-24

14-13

12-19

21-18

19-15

23-23

160.6Avg total

78.4Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.2	86.5	170.8	-2.2	44%
Season at home (9)	79.8	78.8	158.6	+1.0	44%
Season away (7)	90.0	96.4	186.4	-6.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	82.2	160.6	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	76.6	153.6	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	79.5	92.2	171.6	-12.7	15%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	91.3	83.3	174.6	+8.0	77%
vs Weaker (4)	89.5	70.5	160.0	+19.0	100%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

92-106

106

-14

H05/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

71-87

-16

H11/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

90-98

-8

H18/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

86-89

-3

A25/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

74-79

-5

A01/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

101-68

101

+33

A02/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

90-77

+13

H15/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

99-87

+12

H22/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

84-95

-11

A29/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

62-80

-18

A05/07

NBL 1

21-22

21-23

17-26

33-35

23-26

16-18

15-12

17-31

30-29

22-22

24-21

14-26

14-20

31-32

20-19

21-18

15-26

26-24

20-20

13-9

18-15

32-11

30-17

21-25

14-21

15-20

27-21

34-15

17-16

33-25

29-17

20-29

20-22

31-28

18-25

15-20

17-14

18-21

13-22

14-23

171.5Avg total

84.9Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.9	83.8	170.7	+3.2	56%
Season at home (8)	90.9	88.1	179.0	+2.8	62%
Season away (8)	83.0	79.4	162.4	+3.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	86.6	171.5	-1.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	81.4	168.6	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.5	84.4	157.9	-10.9	12%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	88.7	84.5	173.3	+4.2	60%
vs Weaker (7)	87.3	80.0	167.3	+7.3	71%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	20.3	43.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.4	34.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.2	18.0	42.2	+6.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	24.3	45.8	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.2	36.6	-3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.2	33.8	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.2	23.1	40.2	-5.9	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	13.8	36.5	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	21.1	45.4	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	22.4	46.9	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	21.0	46.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.9	21.6	44.5	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.6	17.3	40.9	+6.3	71%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eltham

#17

46-35

+11

A05/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

39-50

-11

H11/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

58-29

+29

H17/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

35-52

-17

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

24-37

-13

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

39-46

-7

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

30-19

+11

H15/06

NBL 1

Geelong

36-39

-3

A21/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

27-37

-10

H22/06

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

33-37

-4

H28/06

NBL 1

74.8Avg total

36.7Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.3	83.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	41.1	81.0	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	41.6	85.9	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	38.1	74.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	35.6	68.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.4	46.4	84.8	-8.0	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	45.0	38.4	83.4	+6.6	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	34.5	79.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#18

42-45

-3

H05/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

39-44

-5

H11/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

52-51

H18/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

45-52

-7

A25/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

41-50

-9

A01/06

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

50-26

+24

A02/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

29-41

-12

H15/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

50-41

H22/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

51-50

A29/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

35-35

A05/07

NBL 1

86.9Avg total

43.4Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	42.9	85.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	44.7	87.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	40.8	83.5	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	43.5	86.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.6	81.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	43.9	82.0	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	44.0	44.6	88.6	-0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.6	38.0	82.6	+6.6	71%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.1	41.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.3	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.7	22.7	44.4	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.1	42.4	+2.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	24.3	49.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.1	24.1	45.2	-3.0	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.2	21.2	44.3	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.6	44.8	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.1	43.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	21.8	37.9	-5.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.7	19.7	43.4	+4.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	43.4	86.1	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	40.7	80.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	46.1	91.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	43.4	83.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.6	80.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.9	45.2	85.2	-5.3	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.8	43.8	88.7	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.5	36.0	80.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	40.6	82.3	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.5	41.7	87.2	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	43.1	84.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.8	87.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.4	40.5	75.9	-5.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	44.7	39.9	84.7	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.7	42.0	84.7	+0.7	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
08/07/17	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	80-84
24/03/17	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	62-73
09/07/16	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	85-78
26/06/16	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	80-87
22/08/15	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	86-69
08/08/15	NW Tasmania v Kilsyth	78-89
24/05/15	Kilsyth v NW Tasmania	87-62

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/06/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	90-82 OT
22/06/19	H	Knox	61-74
21/06/19	A	Geelong	74-79
15/06/19	H	Hobart Huskies	75-54
01/06/19	H	Geelong	85-94
26/05/19	H	BA CoE	59-66
25/05/19	A	Ballarat	67-94
17/05/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	97-75
11/05/19	H	Dandenong	76-109
05/05/19	A	Eltham	100-95

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/07/19	A	Hobart Huskies	62-80
29/06/19	A	Dandenong	84-95
22/06/19	H	Nunawading	99-87
15/06/19	H	Knox	90-77
02/06/19	A	Waverley	101-68
01/06/19	A	Eltham	74-79
25/05/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	86-89
18/05/19	H	Diamond Valley	90-98
11/05/19	H	Ballarat	71-87
05/05/19	H	Southern Sabres	92-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	44%
Home	LLWLW	44%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	44%	44%	43%
Points / game	84.2	79.8	90.0
Allowed / game	86.5	78.8	96.4
Point differential	-2.2	+1.0	-6.4
Avg total	170.8	158.6	186.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	12%	11%	14%

Kilsyth

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	56%
Home	LLLWW	62%
Away	LLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	56%	62%	50%
Points / game	86.9	90.9	83.0
Allowed / game	83.8	88.1	79.4
Point differential	+3.2	+2.8	+3.6
Avg total	170.7	179.0	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	17	15	2	88%	91.8	75.8	+16.0
2	Nunawading	17	12	5	71%	92.4	84.9	+7.4
3	Frankston	16	10	6	62%	92.2	89.1	+3.1
4	Geelong	18	11	7	61%	81.2	79.7	+1.5
5	Kilsyth	16	9	7	56%	86.9	83.8	+3.2
6	Melbourne Tigers	16	9	7	56%	86.1	84.3	+1.8
7	Waverley	15	8	7	53%	88.1	90.4	-2.3
8	Dandenong	16	8	8	50%	89.8	87.2	+2.6
9	Bendigo Braves	16	8	8	50%	85.0	83.1	+1.9
10	Hobart Huskies	16	8	8	50%	86.7	87.6	-0.9
11	Knox	16	7	9	44%	81.6	82.4	-0.8
12	NW Tasmania	16	7	9	44%	84.2	86.5	-2.2
13	Diamond Valley	17	7	10	41%	85.6	88.6	-3.0
14	BA CoE	17	7	10	41%	82.1	85.5	-3.4
15	Eltham	16	6	10	38%	86.7	89.4	-2.7
16	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	16	6	10	38%	92.1	97.3	-5.2
17	Ringwood	17	5	12	29%	90.3	96.0	-5.7
18	Southern Sabres	16	4	12	25%	87.0	99.2	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	23	22	16	20	81
Kilsyth	21	21	22	22	86

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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