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Oakland vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 98-97
45-48 53-49
Position#212
Record4-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game84.9
Oakland 🏆
USA
vs
Position#156
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oakland v Toledo
06 Dec 2025
OAKL98
TOLE97
06 Dec 2023
OAKL68
TOLE69
17 Nov 2021
OAKL80
TOLE59
26 Nov 2020
OAKL53
TOLE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oakland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OaklandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#38
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
A04/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
45-78
45
78
-33
A13/11
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
113-47
113
47
+66
H15/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A21/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
36-40
38-69
40-52
35-35
42-52
17-39
28-39
68-21
45-26
40-44
43-43
41-46
50-51
34-31
49-37
46-43
49-44
47-38
54-54
168.5Avg total
84.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.184.9170.0+0.244%
Season at home (2)107.069.5176.5+37.5100%
Season away (7)78.989.3168.1-10.429%
Last 10 (10)84.284.3168.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)90.686.2176.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.879.6150.4-8.929%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.276.0157.2+5.260%
vs Weaker (6)87.066.5153.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Troy
#84
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#486
W
102-58
102
58
+44
H01/12
NCAA
Moron
#11
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A06/12
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
0-0
34-39
0-0
47-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
49-46
20-25
19-27
22-19
18-12
0-0
41-35
0-0
51-40
18-16
22-17
17-25
24-15
0-0
30-36
0-0
45-32
0-0
33-36
0-0
39-51
0-0
46-21
0-0
56-37
17-13
26-23
10-27
20-10
161.8Avg total
85.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.475.4157.8+7.062%
Season at home (5)86.275.4161.6+10.860%
Season away (3)76.075.3151.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)85.975.9161.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)84.075.8159.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.5171.0-8.038%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.977.2153.2-1.331%
vs Weaker (9)89.874.2164.0+15.689%
This opponent (Oakland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
OaklandToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OaklandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#38
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
38-69
38
69
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
17-39
17
39
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Defiance College
#638
W
68-21
68
21
+47
H15/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/12
NCAA
80.4Avg total
40.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.873.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.233.173.3+7.258%-
Last 30 away (18)36.037.773.7-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.080.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.738.072.7-3.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.535.575.0+4.080%-
vs Weaker (6)41.731.373.0+10.350%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Troy
#84
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#486
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Moron
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/12
Segunda FEB
75.0Avg total
39.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.175.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.135.475.4+4.765%-
Last 30 away (13)34.441.776.1-7.315%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.175.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.470.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.243.678.9-8.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.739.273.9-4.523%-
vs Weaker (9)43.931.675.4+12.389%-
This opponent (Oakland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oakland wins
4
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Toledo v Oakland52-85
07/12/23Oakland v Toledo68-69
17/11/22Toledo v Oakland112-90
18/11/21Oakland v Toledo80-59
26/11/20Oakland v Toledo53-80
01/12/19Toledo v Oakland65-63
Oaklandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HIPFW101-92
26/11/25AMontana95-87
24/11/25ALamar83-68
21/11/25AEastern Michigan91-97
18/11/25AUCF Knights83-87
15/11/25HDefiance College113-47
13/11/25AHouston45-78
08/11/25APurdue77-87
04/11/25AMichigan78-121
10/03/25ARobert Morris76-79 OT
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AMoron90-93 OT
01/12/25HCentral State (OH)102-58
26/11/25ABelmont72-87
24/11/25ATroy75-68
22/11/25HLogrono81-73
20/11/25HYoungstown State92-75
16/11/25AIraurgi SB79-83
15/11/25HDetroit90-83
12/11/25AWright State81-71
09/11/25HJaen97-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oakland
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %44%100%29%
Points / game85.1107.078.9
Allowed / game84.969.589.3
Point differential+0.2+37.5-10.4
Avg total170.0176.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game82.486.276.0
Allowed / game75.475.475.3
Point differential+7.0+10.8+0.7
Avg total157.8161.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Kentucky107370%85.775.6+10.1
2 Robert Morris107370%76.469.8+6.6
3 Youngstown State106460%78.270.0+8.2
4 IPFW115645%86.880.1+6.7
5 Oakland94544%85.184.9+0.2
6 Wisc. Green Bay104640%73.575.0-1.5
7 Detroit104640%74.279.1-4.9
8 Wisc. Milwaukee83538%81.984.4-2.5
9 Cleveland State114736%78.585.2-6.6
10 Wright State93633%74.670.6+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)880100%95.466.8+28.6
2 Buffalo98189%77.770.3+7.3
3 Akron97278%96.275.2+21.0
4 Kent State97278%96.383.1+13.2
5 Bowling Green96367%83.667.6+16.0
6 Toledo85362%82.475.4+7.0
7 UMass85362%78.072.6+5.4
8 Eastern Michigan106460%72.670.0+2.6
9 Western Michigan105550%76.778.3-1.6
10 Central Michigan83538%75.475.1+0.2
11 Northern Illinois83538%75.879.2-3.5
12 Ball State93633%65.169.6-4.4
13 Ohio82625%72.181.0-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oakland455398
Toledo484997
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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