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Ockelbo vs KFUM Kalmar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 72-83
11-13 19-26 18-24 24-20
Position#10
Record14-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#14
Record7-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.6
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen (Ockelbo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ockelbo v KFUM Kalmar
17 Mar 2024
OCKE72
KFUM83
13 Nov 2021
OCKE48
KFUM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Kalmar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
L
61-109
61
109
-48
45avg 62
A20/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
56avg 62
A21/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
83-106
83
106
-23
69avg 62
H27/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
58avg 62
H04/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
92-76
92
76
+16
94avg 62
H10/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 62
H17/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A02/03
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
51-66
51
66
-15
40avg 62
A03/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
73avg 62
H06/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
77-62
77
62
+15
75avg 62
H09/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
16-30
13-25
20-32
20-20
11-17
11-18
31-10
21-30
26-19
23-28
13-29
15-25
24-21
23-19
17-16
25-12
32-18
14-30
21-16
20-22
22-22
25-10
15-25
25-25
23-13
15-20
20-18
15-13
11-17
10-18
15-18
18-15
29-13
10-17
23-17
19-10
20-23
22-15
16-14
154.3Avg total
76.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.375.7149.0-2.452%
Season at home (13)77.572.4149.8+5.177%
Season away (14)69.578.8148.3-9.329%
Last 10 (10)76.178.2154.3-2.160%
Last 5 (5)74.669.0143.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.280.2153.4-7.044%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.975.6148.5-2.747%
vs Weaker (4)80.575.5156.0+5.075%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#13
L
79-83
79
83
-4
66avg 70
H13/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 70
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 70
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
102-71
102
71
+31
103avg 70
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 70
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 70
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
no box
H18/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 70
A09/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 70
A10/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
18-18
19-19
23-27
18-21
28-24
15-27
19-22
19-21
13-21
24-16
20-20
23-11
29-19
24-11
26-30
11-17
14-22
23-27
22-15
21-18
20-18
15-22
15-16
15-12
20-14
20-25
15-19
21-21
15-15
21-15
12-18
23-19
21-17
23-23
17-20
29-27
17-30
21-22
19-18
164.9Avg total
82.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.082.6160.7-4.628%
Season at home (12)84.784.1168.8+0.633%
Season away (13)71.981.3153.2-9.423%
Last 10 (10)82.082.9164.9-0.930%
Last 5 (5)82.684.4167.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.886.4164.3-8.621%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.684.0161.6-6.425%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
OckelboKFUM Kalmar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A20/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H10/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A02/03
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A03/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/03
Superettan
79.1Avg total
40.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.540.578.0-3.031%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.039.880.8+1.243%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.275.5-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.779.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.675.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.844.077.8-10.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.038.577.5+0.538%-
vs Weaker (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/03
Superettan
77.8Avg total
39.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.480.5-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)35.642.878.4-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.844.482.2-6.532%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.539.277.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.918.4
45.0%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.2
29.4%
31.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
66.9%13.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.2
56.3%
50.1%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.7
65.6%
66.9%10.7
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WWLWWWLLWL
KFUM Kalmar
LWWLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#14
-2.1
Net rating
+3.6
92.4
Offensive rating
103.6
94.5
Defensive rating
100.0
44.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
20.3%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.4%
3-point %
33.2%
57.9%
Assist %
57.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 103.6Defence94.5 · 100.0Shooting44.6% · 53.9%3-point %29.4% · 33.2%Ball care20.3% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ockelbo   ■ KFUM Kalmar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ockelbo wins
2
KFUM Kalmar wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23KFUM Kalmar v Ockelbo78-88
20/02/22KFUM Kalmar v Ockelbo76-67
13/11/21Ockelbo v KFUM Kalmar48-81
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HAIK Basket77-62
06/03/24HDjurgarden80-62
03/03/24AMalbas51-66
02/03/24AIK Eos83-76
17/02/24HTureberg82-79
10/02/24HHuddinge92-76
04/02/24HEskilstuna79-81
27/01/24HKFUM Fryshuset83-106
21/01/24ARIG Mark73-65
20/01/24AHogsbo61-109
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AIK Eos86-97
09/03/24AMalbas84-79
18/02/24HMalbas79-78 OT
11/02/24HNorrort93-94 OT
03/02/24HWetterbygden Stars71-74
28/01/24AHelsingborg70-81
27/01/24HHuddinge102-71
21/01/24AKFUM Fryshuset76-78
20/01/24ADjurgarden80-94
13/01/24HEskilstuna79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%77%29%
Points / game73.377.569.5
Allowed / game75.772.478.8
Point differential-2.4+5.1-9.3
Avg total149.0149.8148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL28%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%33%23%
Points / game78.084.771.9
Allowed / game82.684.181.3
Point differential-4.6+0.6-9.4
Avg total160.7168.8153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)17% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2520580%93.079.1+13.9
2 AIK Basket2619773%83.277.8+5.4
3 Wetterbygden Stars28171161%80.475.4+5.0
4 Huddinge27161159%81.478.5+2.9
5 Tureberg27161159%78.075.2+2.9
6 Helsingborg26151158%86.981.3+5.6
7 Sloga Uppsala26151158%77.979.5-1.6
8 KFUM Fryshuset27151256%86.886.4+0.3
9 Ockelbo27141352%73.375.7-2.4
10 Djurgarden26131350%85.785.0+0.6
11 IK Eos25111444%80.081.5-1.4
12 Malbas27111641%72.775.8-3.0
13 Norrort2681831%73.579.0-5.5
14 KFUM Kalmar2571828%78.082.6-4.6
15 Eskilstuna2571828%75.985.8-9.9
16 RIG Mark2762122%67.275.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo1119182472
KFUM Kalmar1326242083
← all games of the day
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