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Ockelbo vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-62
19-10 20-23 22-15 16-14
Position#10
Record13-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game76.2
Ockelbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#2
Record19-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game77.4
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen (Ockelbo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ockelbo v AIK Basket
30 Jan 2027
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OCKE56
AIK 73
01 Mar 2025
OCKE95
AIK 82
09 Mar 2024
OCKE77
AIK 62
08 Oct 2022
OCKE82
AIK 74
29 Jan 2022
OCKE70
AIK 75
06 Mar 2021
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
59avg 61
A16/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
61-109
61
109
-48
45avg 61
A20/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
56avg 61
A21/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
83-106
83
106
-23
69avg 61
H27/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
58avg 61
H04/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
92-76
92
76
+16
94avg 61
H10/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 61
H17/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A02/03
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
51-66
51
66
-15
40avg 61
A03/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
73avg 61
H06/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
15-14
19-25
10-19
12-22
16-30
13-25
20-32
20-20
11-17
11-18
31-10
21-30
26-19
23-28
13-29
15-25
24-21
23-19
17-16
25-12
32-18
14-30
21-16
20-22
22-22
25-10
15-25
25-25
23-13
15-20
20-18
15-13
11-17
10-18
15-18
18-15
29-13
10-17
23-17
155.4Avg total
75.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.276.2149.4-3.050%
Season at home (12)77.573.2150.8+4.275%
Season away (14)69.578.8148.3-9.329%
Last 10 (10)75.080.4155.4-5.450%
Last 5 (5)77.671.8149.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.882.5155.2-9.838%
vs Similar (17)72.975.6148.5-2.747%
vs Weaker (5)80.871.4152.2+9.480%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 74
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 74
H16/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
80-108
80
108
-28
64avg 74
A06/01
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
62avg 74
H13/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
72avg 74
A27/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
54-63
54
63
-9
46avg 74
H04/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
85-55
85
55
+30
77avg 74
A17/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 74
A18/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 74
A01/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
72-62
72
62
+10
62avg 74
H03/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
23-20
27-25
16-22
23-20
22-17
19-19
14-19
15-33
21-22
26-22
18-31
15-15
23-18
15-25
20-24
17-29
26-17
19-12
26-22
10-15
16-11
11-16
17-21
23-13
20-18
18-17
24-7
25-26
20-22
14-33
31-12
16-29
24-18
23-15
23-21
16-22
18-16
17-9
21-15
157.5Avg total
79.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.077.4161.4+6.679%
Season at home (11)80.973.9154.8+7.082%
Season away (13)86.680.3166.9+6.377%
Last 10 (10)79.478.1157.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)77.471.2148.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.088.8175.8-1.850%
vs Similar (14)86.580.2166.7+6.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.772.5153.2+8.280%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
OckelboAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A20/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H10/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A02/03
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A03/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H06/03
Superettan
79.6Avg total
40.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.140.078.1-1.931%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.240.381.5+0.838%-
Last 30 away (16)35.639.775.3-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.479.6+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.078.0+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.145.478.5-12.20%-
vs Similar (16)39.038.577.5+0.538%-
vs Weaker (5)43.236.079.2+7.260%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H16/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A06/01
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H13/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H04/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A18/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/03
Superettan
78.9Avg total
39.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.581.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.178.2+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.040.683.6+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.478.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.046.587.5-5.533%-
vs Similar (14)44.538.683.1+5.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.036.574.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.617.8
43.8%
50.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.1
29.6%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
66.9%14.1
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.122.7
47.2%
50.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
31.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.212.3
60.9%
66.9%12.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WLWWWLLWLL
AIK Basket
WWLWLWLLWW
#10
League position
#2
-6.7
Net rating
+2.2
91.5
Offensive rating
98.6
98.1
Defensive rating
96.4
44.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.6%
3-point %
32.4%
59.8%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 98.6Defence98.1 · 96.4Shooting44.0% · 47.7%3-point %29.6% · 32.4%Ball care20.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Ockelbo   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ockelbo wins
3
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo87-68
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HDjurgarden80-62
03/03/24AMalbas51-66
02/03/24AIK Eos83-76
17/02/24HTureberg82-79
10/02/24HHuddinge92-76
04/02/24HEskilstuna79-81
27/01/24HKFUM Fryshuset83-106
21/01/24ARIG Mark73-65
20/01/24AHogsbo61-109
16/12/23ASloga Uppsala66-84
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HRIG Mark72-62
01/03/24ADjurgarden86-83
18/02/24AWetterbygden Stars90-93
17/02/24ARIG Mark85-55
04/02/24HSloga Uppsala54-63
27/01/24AEskilstuna88-80
13/01/24HHogsbo73-82
06/01/24AKFUM Kalmar80-108
16/12/23HTureberg78-75
12/12/23ANorrort88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%75%29%
Points / game73.277.569.5
Allowed / game76.273.278.8
Point differential-3.0+4.2-9.3
Avg total149.4150.8148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayLWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %79%82%77%
Points / game84.080.986.6
Allowed / game77.473.980.3
Point differential+6.6+7.0+6.3
Avg total161.4154.8166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2520580%93.079.1+13.9
2 AIK Basket2419579%84.077.4+6.6
3 Tureberg2516964%77.574.0+3.6
4 Wetterbygden Stars26161062%80.975.9+5.0
5 Helsingborg26151158%86.981.3+5.6
6 Huddinge25141156%81.679.2+2.4
7 Sloga Uppsala25141156%77.479.2-1.7
8 KFUM Fryshuset25131252%86.887.0-0.2
9 Ockelbo26131350%73.276.2-3.0
10 Djurgarden25121348%85.285.0+0.2
11 Malbas25111444%72.275.2-3.0
12 IK Eos2391439%79.281.3-2.1
13 Norrort2481633%73.277.7-4.5
14 Eskilstuna2471729%75.986.0-10.1
15 KFUM Kalmar2361726%77.482.2-4.7
16 RIG Mark2762122%67.275.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo1920221677
AIK Basket1023151462
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