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Ohio State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 80-88
42-48 38-40
Position#104
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#35
Record7-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio State v Illinois
09 Dec 2025
OHIO80
ILLI88
30 Jan 2024
OHIO75
ILLI87
26 Feb 2023
OHIO72
ILLI60
06 Mar 2021
OHIO68
ILLI73
05 Mar 2020
OHIO71
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#132
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H12/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
118-102
118
102
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
113-60
113
60
+53
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-25
31-41
37-37
33-40
66-50
52-52
45-30
49-38
30-25
45-28
31-34
33-29
49-24
42-34
52-26
61-34
24-34
42-33
40-44
46-38
153.3Avg total
83.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.469.1157.5+19.288%
Season at home (6)92.567.3159.8+25.2100%
Season away (2)76.074.5150.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)83.769.6153.3+14.170%
Last 5 (5)84.066.0150.0+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.569.5137.0-2.050%
vs Similar (17)75.874.5150.4+1.341%
vs Weaker (11)92.073.9165.9+18.191%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
113-55
113
55
+58
H04/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
113-70
113
70
+43
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
43-47
60-27
53-28
59-27
54-43
45-32
36-45
41-30
43-35
42-41
44-49
54-19
44-39
42-31
45-42
32-43
29-31
32-34
43-28
158.1Avg total
87.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.769.3158.0+19.378%
Season at home (8)90.470.2160.6+20.175%
Season away (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.370.8158.1+16.570%
Last 5 (5)81.471.4152.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.396.3163.7-29.00%
vs Similar (11)80.177.0157.1+3.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.472.9161.3+15.675%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +11.8+11.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +4.7+4.7
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +11.8+11.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +4.7+4.7
Ohio StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#132
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/12
NCAA
73.2Avg total
40.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.071.6+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.034.174.1+5.967%-
Last 30 away (12)33.934.067.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.973.2+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.471.6+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.539.069.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (17)34.632.967.5+1.665%-
vs Weaker (11)43.534.878.3+8.664%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H04/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
59-27
59
27
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NCAA
76.0Avg total
43.9Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.375.9+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.433.876.1+8.675%-
Last 30 away (10)36.938.575.4-1.630%-
Last 10 (10)43.932.176.0+11.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.674.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.349.784.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (11)36.835.972.7+0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.232.276.5+12.081%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
6
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Illinois v Ohio State87-79
15/03/24Illinois v Ohio State77-74
31/01/24Ohio State v Illinois75-87
26/02/23Ohio State v Illinois72-60
25/01/23Illinois v Ohio State69-60
25/02/22Illinois v Ohio State83-86
14/03/21Illinois v Ohio State91-88 OT
06/03/21Ohio State v Illinois68-73
16/01/21Illinois v Ohio State81-87
06/03/20Ohio State v Illinois71-63
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ANorthwestern86-82
29/11/25APittsburgh66-67
25/11/25HMount St. Mary's113-60
21/11/25HWestern Michigan91-58
16/11/25HNotre Dame64-63
11/11/25HAppalachian State75-53
07/11/25HIPFW94-68
03/11/25HIU Indy118-102
12/03/25HIowa70-77
08/03/25AIndiana60-66
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ATennessee75-62
28/11/25HUconn61-74
25/11/25HUTRGV87-73
22/11/25HLIU Sharks98-58
20/11/25HAlabama86-90
15/11/25HColgate84-65
12/11/25HTexas Tech81-77
08/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast113-70
04/11/25HJackson State113-55
23/03/25AKentucky75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%100%50%
Points / game88.492.576.0
Allowed / game69.167.374.5
Point differential+19.2+25.2+1.5
Avg total157.5159.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %78%75%100%
Points / game88.790.475.0
Allowed / game69.370.262.0
Point differential+19.3+20.1+13.0
Avg total158.0160.6137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan990100%94.066.0+28.0
2 Nebraska990100%83.267.9+15.3
3 Iowa98189%79.962.6+17.3
4 Purdue98189%85.269.1+16.1
5 Michigan State98189%76.661.0+15.6
6 Penn State98189%83.170.0+13.1
7 USC98189%89.078.2+10.8
8 Ohio State87188%88.469.1+19.2
9 Illinois97278%88.769.3+19.3
10 Indiana97278%85.466.3+19.1
11 Wisconsin97278%87.973.8+14.1
12 UCLA97278%77.265.0+12.2
13 Washington96367%82.473.9+8.6
14 Maryland106460%77.178.5-1.4
15 Northwestern95456%81.173.1+8.0
16 Minnesota95456%73.467.9+5.6
17 Rutgers105550%69.972.3-2.4
18 Oregon94544%72.975.4-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State423880
Illinois484088
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