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Illinois vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 77-74
31-29 46-45
Position#27
Record23-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game72.9
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Ohio State
USA
Position#123
Record20-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Ohio State
09 Jan 2027
ILLI v OHIO
upcoming
02 Feb 2025
ILLI87
OHIO79
15 Mar 2024
ILLI77
OHIO74
24 Jan 2023
ILLI69
OHIO60
24 Feb 2022
ILLI83
OHIO86
14 Mar 2021
ILLI91
OHIO88
16 Jan 2021
ILLI81
OHIO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#62
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
39-37
41-44
39-44
47-29
50-39
43-38
42-42
48-41
41-49
44-43
51-42
48-45
57-52
39-37
52-46
40-34
31-43
39-29
34-32
168.6Avg total
87.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.972.9156.9+11.074%
Season at home (20)84.269.4153.7+14.885%
Season away (11)83.479.4162.7+4.055%
Last 10 (10)87.381.3168.6+6.070%
Last 5 (5)87.080.6167.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)78.078.1156.1-0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.771.7158.4+15.086%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
31-47
33-32
28-29
21-34
33-28
35-30
38-39
34-42
45-46
22-32
38-25
39-37
39-32
32-27
52-34
30-28
43-23
43-38
47-40
142.9Avg total
74.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.969.2144.2+5.762%
Season at home (18)77.667.6145.2+10.078%
Season away (14)71.571.4142.9+0.143%
Last 10 (10)74.368.6142.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)77.063.2140.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.078.0152.0-4.050%
vs Similar (16)75.172.4147.4+2.756%
vs Weaker (12)75.363.0138.3+12.375%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +5.1+5.1
IllinoisOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#62
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
79.9Avg total
42.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.674.7+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.833.173.8+7.779%-
Last 30 away (11)39.037.376.3+1.773%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.679.9+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)37.137.174.2+0.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.433.575.0+7.990%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H29/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A14/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
33.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.265.8+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.129.166.1+8.088%-
Last 30 away (14)31.733.765.4-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)33.132.966.0+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.465.6+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (16)34.433.467.8+1.162%-
vs Weaker (12)34.827.762.4+7.183%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illinois wins
4
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Ohio State v Illinois75-87
26/02/23Ohio State v Illinois72-60
25/01/23Illinois v Ohio State69-60
25/02/22Illinois v Ohio State83-86
14/03/21Illinois v Ohio State91-88 OT
06/03/21Ohio State v Illinois68-73
16/01/21Illinois v Ohio State81-87
06/03/20Ohio State v Illinois71-63
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AIowa73-61
06/03/24HPurdue71-77
02/03/24AWisconsin91-83
29/02/24HMinnesota105-97
24/02/24HIowa95-85
21/02/24APenn State89-90
17/02/24AMaryland85-80
14/02/24HMichigan97-68
10/02/24AMichigan State80-88
04/02/24HNebraska87-84 OT
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AIowa90-78
10/03/24ARutgers73-51
03/03/24HMichigan84-61
29/02/24HNebraska78-69
25/02/24AMichigan State60-57
23/02/24AMinnesota79-88
18/02/24HPurdue73-69
14/02/24AWisconsin54-62
10/02/24HMaryland79-75 OT
07/02/24HIndiana73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %74%85%55%
Points / game83.984.283.4
Allowed / game72.969.479.4
Point differential+11.0+14.8+4.0
Avg total156.9153.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%9%
Ohio State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %62%78%43%
Points / game74.977.671.5
Allowed / game69.267.671.4
Point differential+5.7+10.0+0.1
Avg total144.2145.2142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3229391%83.770.0+13.7
2 Illinois3123874%83.972.9+11.0
3 Nebraska3122971%76.869.3+7.5
4 Northwestern32211166%73.769.0+4.7
5 Oregon32211166%75.672.4+3.2
6 Wisconsin33211264%74.769.1+5.6
7 Ohio State32201262%74.969.2+5.7
8 Indiana32191359%72.573.7-1.2
9 Michigan State33191458%73.165.9+7.2
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois314677
Ohio State294574
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