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Ohio State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-71
31-34 39-37
Position#104
Record8-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#45
Record10-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio State v North Carolina
20 Dec 2025
OHIO70
NORT71
17 Dec 2022
OHIO84
NORT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
W
118-102
118
102
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
113-60
113
60
+53
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
66-50
52-52
45-30
49-38
30-25
45-28
31-34
33-29
49-24
42-34
52-26
61-34
24-34
42-33
40-44
46-38
42-48
38-40
27-37
41-31
160.5Avg total
87.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.672.9160.5+14.780%
Season at home (8)90.572.5163.0+18.088%
Season away (2)76.074.5150.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.672.9160.5+14.780%
Last 5 (5)86.877.0163.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.775.7147.3-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.175.9151.9+0.241%
vs Weaker (10)91.774.0165.7+17.790%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H15/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H19/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H07/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H13/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
58-37
44-31
45-43
39-24
58-29
38-31
35-30
35-33
50-37
28-33
30-41
31-31
36-33
44-39
37-22
37-28
43-34
38-30
39-28
144.5Avg total
79.4Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.764.1144.8+16.691%
Season at home (9)84.863.0147.8+21.8100%
Season away (2)62.569.0131.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)79.465.1144.5+14.390%
Last 5 (5)72.663.8136.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.882.0150.8-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.466.8141.1+7.664%
vs Weaker (12)88.869.7158.5+19.2100%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +9.7+9.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +9.7+9.7
Ohio StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
40.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.972.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.435.274.5+4.258%-
Last 30 away (11)33.534.467.8-0.945%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.275.8+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.874.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.342.076.3-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.933.467.2+0.559%-
vs Weaker (10)43.735.379.0+8.460%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H07/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H13/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H17/12
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.473.1+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.432.473.8+8.988%-
Last 30 away (13)35.336.972.2-1.654%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.768.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.267.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.046.077.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.532.368.8+4.271%-
vs Weaker (12)43.932.976.8+11.0100%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohio State wins
1
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Ohio State v North Carolina84-89 OT
05/12/19North Carolina v Ohio State49-74
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HWest Virginia89-88 OT
10/12/25HIllinois80-88
06/12/25ANorthwestern86-82
29/11/25APittsburgh66-67
25/11/25HMount St. Mary's113-60
21/11/25HWestern Michigan91-58
16/11/25HNotre Dame64-63
11/11/25HAppalachian State75-53
07/11/25HIPFW94-68
03/11/25HIU Indy118-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HEast Tennessee St77-58
13/12/25HUSC Upstate80-62
07/12/25HGeorgetown81-61
03/12/25AKentucky67-64
27/11/25AMichigan State58-74
25/11/25HSt. Bonaventure85-70
19/11/25HNavy73-61
15/11/25HN. Carolina Central97-53
12/11/25HRadford89-74
08/11/25HKansas87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW80%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%88%50%
Points / game87.690.576.0
Allowed / game72.972.574.5
Point differential+14.7+18.0+1.5
Avg total160.5163.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%12%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %91%100%50%
Points / game80.784.862.5
Allowed / game64.163.069.0
Point differential+16.6+21.8-6.5
Avg total144.8147.8131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan10100100%94.767.7+27.0
2 Nebraska11110100%83.868.3+15.5
3 Michigan State1211192%78.063.3+14.7
4 USC1211192%88.376.3+12.0
5 Purdue1110191%84.667.1+17.5
6 Iowa119282%79.361.8+17.5
7 Ohio State108280%87.672.9+14.7
8 Indiana129375%85.066.6+18.4
9 UCLA129375%80.469.2+11.2
10 Illinois118373%87.871.5+16.3
11 Penn State118373%81.174.5+6.6
12 Northwestern117464%82.671.0+11.6
13 Washington117464%83.073.1+9.9
14 Wisconsin117464%83.475.5+7.9
15 Minnesota116555%73.468.1+5.3
16 Oregon116555%77.673.6+4.0
17 Maryland116555%77.680.5-2.9
18 Rutgers115645%68.973.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke11110100%87.760.8+26.9
2 California1211192%83.867.6+16.2
3 North Carolina1110191%80.764.1+16.6
4 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
5 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
6 Miami (FL)1210283%88.267.8+20.4
7 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
8 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
9 Stanford119282%81.772.0+9.7
10 Clemson129375%80.765.9+14.8
11 Wake Forest129375%85.372.3+13.0
12 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
13 NC State128467%89.373.0+16.3
14 Georgia Tech128467%75.570.8+4.8
15 Syracuse117464%72.964.7+8.2
16 Florida State126650%84.879.6+5.2
17 Pittsburgh126650%73.569.6+3.9
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State313970
North Carolina343771
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