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Ohio vs N. Carolina A&T Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 85-69
Projected total 154.4
Final 80-70
38-31 42-39
Position#91
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.0
Ohio 🏆
USA
Vs
92%
■ OHIO 92%■ N. C 8%
Pythia win probability
N. Carolina A&T
USA
Position#255
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game53.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Ohio hosts N. Carolina A&T in the NCAA on 7 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Ohio as the clear favourite, assigning a 92% chance of victory and projecting an 85-69 win. Ohio's single game this season is a 1-0 record, 86.0 points per game, 77.0 allowed, and a 168th league position, while N. Carolina A&T also stands 1-0, 92.0 points per game, 53.0 allowed, 51st in the standings. Ohio's last five games include one win and four losses, with a recent 86-77 victory over South Alabama and a 75-86 defeat to Kent State, whereas N. Carolina A&T's last five mirror that pattern, highlighted by a 92-53 win over Warren Wilson and losses to Northeastern and Campbell. Their head-to-head history shows Ohio winning the sole meeting, 84-72 on 26 November 2020. Pythia assigns Ohio a 92% win probability, N. Carolina A&T 8%, and projects a total of 154.4 points. The home team's line is 85-69, and the model gives a 2% chance of overtime. Ohio's offensive output of 85 points is projected to comfortably outpace N.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio winWon
91.7%fair 1.09
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
N. Carolina A&T winLost
8.3%fair 12.11
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#227
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-28
47-43
35-40
37-38
35-43
39-47
32-15
37-42
37-25
37-41
28-41
39-38
39-37
43-57
48-54
52-46
38-40
37-46
34-35
52-42
160.6Avg total
79.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.880.8160.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)83.689.2172.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.989.0162.9-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.475.9155.4+3.564%
vs Weaker (5)81.666.6148.2+15.0100%
This opponent (N. Carolina A&T) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina A&TUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A06/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H07/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H20/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
102-82
102
82
+20
A22/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A27/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H06/03
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#443
W
92-53
92
53
+39
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
25-37
36-40
35-39
26-30
45-40
26-41
35-33
53-41
49-41
26-44
39-44
37-46
51-45
35-45
37-45
24-40
48-48
41-26
51-27
154.9Avg total
75.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.053.0145.0+39.0100%
Season at home (1)92.053.0145.0+39.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.679.3154.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)77.882.0159.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.583.2157.7-8.615%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.574.1146.5-1.646%
vs Weaker (3)89.766.7156.3+23.0100%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146Actual: Over 146
Over 146
70.1%
Under 146
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151Actual: Under 151
Over 151
58.3%
Under 151
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156Actual: Under 156
Over 156
45.7%
Under 156
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ohio total 84.5Actual: Ohio under 84.5
Over 84.5
53.0%
Under 84.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ohio total 88.5Actual: Ohio under 88.5
Over 88.5
37.0%
Under 88.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ohio total 92.5Actual: Ohio under 92.5
Over 92.5
23.1%
Under 92.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
N. Carolina A&T total 58.5Actual: N. Carolina A&T over 58.5
Over 58.5
85.5%
Under 58.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
N. Carolina A&T total 62.5Actual: N. Carolina A&T over 62.5
Over 62.5
74.5%
Under 62.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
N. Carolina A&T total 66.5Actual: N. Carolina A&T over 66.5
Over 66.5
60.1%
Under 66.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ohio -3Actual: Ohio -3
OHIO -3
88.5%
N. C +3
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
OHIO
No market prices yet.
N. C
No market prices yet.
Spread Ohio 0Actual: Ohio 0
OHIO 0
91.7%
N. C 0
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
OHIO
No market prices yet.
N. C
No market prices yet.
Spread Ohio +3Actual: Ohio +3
OHIO +3
94.6%
N. C -3
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
OHIO
No market prices yet.
N. C
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
OhioN. Carolina A&T
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
32-15
32
15
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#227
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
37.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.437.273.5-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.236.573.6+0.759%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.173.4-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.872.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.478.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.545.981.4-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.734.169.9+1.664%-
vs Weaker (5)36.828.865.6+8.080%-
This opponent (N. Carolina A&T) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina A&TLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H20/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A22/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A27/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H06/03
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#443
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H04/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
34.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.674.0-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.137.673.7-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)34.739.574.3-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)34.139.473.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.272.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.742.478.1-6.715%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.837.270.1-4.423%-
vs Weaker (3)43.732.075.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohio wins
0
N. Carolina A&T wins
DateGameScore
26/11/20N. Carolina A&T v Ohio72-84
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ASouth Alabama86-77
12/03/26AKent State75-86
07/03/26HMiami (Ohio)108-110 OT
04/03/26AUMass82-94
28/02/26HToledo67-79
21/02/26ANorthern Illinois74-66
18/02/26HBall State69-57
14/02/26AMiami (Ohio)74-90
08/02/26AOld Dominion72-78
04/02/26HWestern Michigan91-71
N. Carolina A&Tlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HWarren Wilson92-53
06/03/26HNortheastern72-88
04/03/26ACampbell72-90
28/02/26HWilliam & Mary88-91
27/02/26ANC Wilmington65-88
22/02/26AElon102-82
20/02/26HCharleston61-74
14/02/26HHampton71-70
07/02/26HCampbell71-79
06/02/26ACharleston62-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
N. Carolina A&T
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+39.0+39.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Michigan220100%88.064.0+24.0
2 Akron110100%75.061.0+14.0
3 Miami (Ohio)110100%86.077.0+9.0
4 Ohio110100%86.077.0+9.0
5 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
6 Kent State21150%88.567.5+21.0
7 Western Michigan21150%74.056.5+17.5
8 UMass21150%63.065.5-2.5
9 Eastern Michigan21150%62.073.0-11.0
10 Ball State2020%60.568.0-7.5
11 Northern Illinois2020%81.091.5-10.5
12 Toledo2020%65.581.0-15.5
13 Buffalo2020%63.086.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston220100%111.560.5+51.0
2 N. Carolina A&T110100%92.053.0+39.0
3 NC Wilmington110100%101.065.0+36.0
4 William & Mary110100%80.066.0+14.0
5 Elon220100%79.068.0+11.0
6 Hofstra21150%77.555.5+22.0
7 Stony Brook21150%81.062.5+18.5
8 Towson2020%63.578.0-14.5
9 Northeastern2020%78.595.0-16.5
10 Campbell1010%64.083.0-19.0
11 Hampton1010%55.075.0-20.0
12 Drexel1010%60.089.0-29.0
13 Monmouth2020%52.081.5-29.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio384280
N. Carolina A&T313970
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