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UMass vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-82
37-39 57-43
Position#189
Record15-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.3
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Ohio
USA
Position#241
Record15-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMass v Ohio
23 Jan 2027
UMAS v OHIO
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
UMAS94
OHIO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
30-38
47-43
37-43
38-30
32-37
40-47
55-42
32-21
32-43
43-44
49-55
36-41
41-45
34-29
34-39
34-21
27-40
37-28
25-53
162.3Avg total
79.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.077.3157.3+2.750%
Season at home (16)81.474.9156.3+6.662%
Season away (14)78.480.1158.5-1.836%
Last 10 (10)79.482.9162.3-3.530%
Last 5 (5)77.285.2162.4-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.090.6173.6-7.60%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.178.2158.3+1.950%
vs Weaker (10)77.373.2150.5+4.170%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-86
65
86
-21
H24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A28/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
48-47
26-48
39-38
24-28
33-44
46-31
49-52
44-28
47-43
35-40
37-38
35-43
39-47
32-15
37-42
37-25
37-41
28-41
39-38
150.3Avg total
74.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.876.7153.5+0.152%
Season at home (18)78.374.0152.3+4.361%
Season away (11)74.381.2155.5-6.936%
Last 10 (10)74.475.9150.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)71.274.0145.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.385.5155.8-15.39%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.274.5153.8+4.769%
vs Weaker (5)81.469.2150.6+12.280%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -2.5-2.5
UMassOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/02
NCAA
71.2Avg total
37.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.570.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.732.469.1+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)37.334.872.1+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.371.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.669.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.438.077.4+1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.433.069.4+3.457%-
vs Weaker (10)36.133.269.3+2.980%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
32-15
32
15
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.572.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.334.971.3+1.461%-
Last 30 away (12)34.238.973.1-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.966.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.866.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.343.076.3-9.79%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.533.969.4+1.562%-
vs Weaker (5)37.029.666.6+7.480%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
1
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26Ohio v UMass86-83
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ABowling Green62-81
25/02/26ABall State73-74 OT
21/02/26HBuffalo82-86 OT
18/02/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86
14/02/26AAkron92-99
07/02/26ACoastal Carolina91-94 OT
04/02/26HCentral Michigan95-89
31/01/26HEastern Michigan70-67
28/01/26AMiami (Ohio)84-86
24/01/26ABuffalo68-67
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HToledo67-79
21/02/26ANorthern Illinois74-66
18/02/26HBall State69-57
14/02/26AMiami (Ohio)74-90
08/02/26AOld Dominion72-78
04/02/26HWestern Michigan91-71
31/01/26ABuffalo95-83
28/01/26AKent State57-72
24/01/26HAkron65-86
21/01/26HNorthern Illinois80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game80.081.478.4
Allowed / game77.374.980.1
Point differential+2.7+6.6-1.8
Avg total157.3156.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)40% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Ohio
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLWWL61%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %52%61%36%
Points / game76.878.374.3
Allowed / game76.774.081.2
Point differential+0.1+4.3-6.9
Avg total153.5152.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)29290100%90.973.9+17.0
2 Akron2924583%89.974.7+15.2
3 Kent State2920969%84.880.4+4.4
4 Bowling Green30171357%81.671.5+10.2
5 Buffalo30171357%78.375.5+2.8
6 Toledo29161355%81.276.9+4.3
7 Ohio29151452%76.876.7+0.1
8 UMass30151550%80.077.3+2.7
9 Ball State29101934%66.769.4-2.8
10 Central Michigan29101934%73.976.6-2.8
11 Western Michigan29101934%74.879.4-4.7
12 Eastern Michigan30102033%70.773.4-2.7
13 Northern Illinois2891932%69.876.4-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass375794
Ohio394382
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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