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Ohrid vs Kozuv Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-72
14-12 22-19 17-19 21-22
Position#12
Record2-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game88.9
Ohrid 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Position#8
Record3-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game79.0
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 14· Biljanini Izvori Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ohrid v Kozuv
25 Apr 2024
OHRI55
KOZU89
21 Jan 2024
OHRI74
KOZU72
29 Jan 2019
OHRI60
KOZU74
28 Oct 2017
OHRI86
KOZU74
25 Feb 2017
OHRI80
KOZU86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kozuv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhridMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOhrid
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 61
H22/10
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
57-97
57
97
-40
43avg 61
A28/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
59avg 61
H03/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
59-100
59
100
-41
40avg 61
A11/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
56-86
56
86
-30
40avg 61
A18/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
70-92
70
92
-22
68avg 61
H26/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
67avg 61
A02/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 61
H09/12
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 61
H16/12
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
79avg 61
A24/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
21-19
21-27
9-17
19-22
14-35
12-25
12-15
28-27
19-21
9-20
17-30
18-20
21-25
12-35
8-20
4-21
14-26
21-24
17-15
23-24
13-27
18-16
16-25
15-29
18-25
22-22
20-17
14-22
16-15
15-23
19-14
21-19
24-25
20-21
24-16
27-25
17-31
26-16
18-24
159.9Avg total
69.5Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.588.9160.4-17.515%
Season at home (6)73.783.0156.7-9.333%
Season away (7)69.694.0163.6-24.40%
Last 10 (10)69.590.4159.9-20.910%
Last 5 (5)77.287.2164.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.188.2153.2-23.10%
vs Similar (10)76.580.3156.8-3.830%
vs Weaker (3)101.379.7181.0+21.7100%
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KozuvMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKozuv
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 68
A21/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
55-64
55
64
-9
44avg 68
H28/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
86avg 68
A04/11
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
78-57
78
57
+21
72avg 68
H11/11
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
72avg 68
A18/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 68
H25/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
102-67
102
67
+35
94avg 68
H02/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
61-72
61
72
-11
41avg 68
A09/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
59avg 68
A13/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 68
H23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
17-28
25-17
18-24
8-15
16-16
14-17
17-16
28-22
22-11
16-30
18-25
20-9
25-19
20-18
13-11
20-25
20-28
23-25
20-15
24-29
23-20
18-14
19-27
26-17
22-17
32-16
22-17
19-15
13-17
19-23
10-17
11-26
21-14
11-15
22-24
16-20
28-20
16-21
21-25
156.5Avg total
77.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.479.0156.4-1.623%
Season at home (7)80.074.1154.1+5.943%
Season away (6)74.384.7159.0-10.30%
Last 10 (10)77.379.2156.5-1.920%
Last 5 (5)78.678.8157.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.584.9161.5-8.413%
vs Similar (6)77.784.5162.2-6.817%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.974.6168.5+19.288%
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
OhridKozuv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OhridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/10
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A28/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
18-47
18
47
-29
A18/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H26/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A02/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/12
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A24/12
Prva Liga
84.1Avg total
35.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.643.779.3-8.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.741.480.1-2.729%-
Last 30 away (16)32.945.678.5-12.812%-
Last 10 (10)35.948.284.1-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.648.486.0-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.145.876.9-14.70%-
vs Similar (10)37.640.077.6-2.430%-
vs Weaker (3)53.038.791.7+14.3100%-
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KozuvLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A21/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H28/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A04/11
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H11/11
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A18/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H25/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H02/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/12
Prva Liga
79.4Avg total
39.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.339.682.9+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.140.478.4-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.579.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.040.480.4-0.440%-
vs Similar (6)33.541.775.2-8.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.036.685.6+12.488%-
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ohridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ohrid: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.2
46.3%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.1
30.8%
32.2%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
70.3%12.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kozuvtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kozuv: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.2
54.8%
53.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.3
32.3%
32.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.011.8
69.4%
70.3%11.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ohrid
LWLLLLLLLL
Kozuv
LLLWLLWLLL
#12
League position
#8
-27.4
Net rating
-2.1
89.1
Offensive rating
102.7
116.4
Defensive rating
104.9
46.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
21.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
32.3%
49.8%
Assist %
68.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 102.7Defence116.4 · 104.9Shooting46.2% · 51.6%3-point %30.8% · 32.3%Ball care21.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds24.3% · 23.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Ohrid   ■ Kozuv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohrid wins
6
Kozuv wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Kozuv v Ohrid96-69
29/01/19Ohrid v Kozuv60-74
13/10/18Kozuv v Ohrid92-81
03/02/18Kozuv v Ohrid80-65
28/10/17Ohrid v Kozuv86-74
25/02/17Ohrid v Kozuv80-86
18/12/16Kozuv v Ohrid66-60
Ohridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AFMP Akademija88-96
16/12/23HVardar89-81
09/12/23HCair 203064-74
02/12/23ATFT Skopje75-93
26/11/23HFeniks 201070-92
18/11/23ARabotnicki56-86
11/11/23ATikvesh59-100
03/11/23HMZT Skopje73-98
28/10/23APelister57-97
22/10/23HGostivar64-87
Kozuvlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HTikvesh81-86
13/12/23AMZT Skopje65-79
09/12/23APelister61-72
02/12/23HGostivar102-67
25/11/23HRabotnicki84-90
18/11/23AFMP Akademija83-93
11/11/23HVardar78-57
04/11/23ACair 203084-88
28/10/23HTFT Skopje55-64
21/10/23AFeniks 201080-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohrid
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game71.573.769.6
Allowed / game88.983.094.0
Point differential-17.5-9.3-24.4
Avg total160.4156.7163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kozuv
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game77.480.074.3
Allowed / game79.074.184.7
Point differential-1.6+5.9-10.3
Avg total156.4154.1159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje1412286%79.665.8+13.8
2 Tikvesh1411379%88.072.6+15.4
3 Rabotnicki1410471%84.972.4+12.4
4 Pelister1410471%85.275.5+9.7
5 Cair 2030149564%82.678.7+3.9
6 TFT Skopje148657%72.871.3+1.5
7 Feniks 2010137654%81.979.1+2.8
8 Gostivar1441029%76.083.6-7.6
9 Kozuv1331023%77.479.0-1.6
10 FMP Akademija1331023%78.694.6-16.0
11 Vardar1431121%76.195.2-19.1
12 Ohrid1321115%71.588.9-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ohrid1422172174
Kozuv1219192272
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