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Ohrid vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-81
21-19 24-25 20-21 24-16
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game89.0
Ohrid 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Position#10
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game95.3
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 12· Biljanini Izvori Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ohrid v Vardar
17 Apr 2024
OHRI72
VARD80
16 Dec 2023
OHRI89
VARD81
01 May 2019
OHRI70
VARD73
08 Dec 2018
OHRI83
VARD80
25 Mar 2017
OHRI65
VARD77
21 Dec 2016
OHRI73
VARD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhridMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOhrid
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 58
H07/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
69-96
69
96
-27
57avg 58
A15/10
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 58
H22/10
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
57-97
57
97
-40
43avg 58
A28/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
59avg 58
H03/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
59-100
59
100
-41
40avg 58
A11/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
56-86
56
86
-30
40avg 58
A18/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
70-92
70
92
-22
68avg 58
H26/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
67avg 58
A02/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 58
H09/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-10
20-21
15-13
17-22
15-25
9-29
21-25
24-17
13-24
21-19
21-27
9-17
19-22
14-35
12-25
12-15
28-27
19-21
9-20
17-30
18-20
21-25
12-35
8-20
4-21
14-26
21-24
17-15
23-24
13-27
18-16
16-25
15-29
18-25
22-22
20-17
14-22
16-15
15-23
19-14
155.8Avg total
66.9Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.489.0157.4-20.69%
Season at home (5)70.683.4154.0-12.820%
Season away (6)66.593.7160.2-27.20%
Last 10 (10)66.988.9155.8-22.010%
Last 5 (5)64.889.0153.8-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.488.6153.1-24.20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.078.1151.1-5.122%
vs Weaker (3)101.379.7181.0+21.7100%
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 61
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 61
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 61
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 61
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 61
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 61
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 61
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 61
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 61
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 61
A10/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
168.8Avg total
72.3Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.995.3169.2-21.427%
Season at home (6)76.794.5171.2-17.833%
Season away (5)70.696.2166.8-25.620%
Last 10 (10)72.396.5168.8-24.220%
Last 5 (5)66.699.2165.8-32.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)72.291.3163.5-19.111%
vs Similar ◀ (3)91.080.7171.7+10.3100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -10.7-10.7Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -10.7-10.7Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
OhridVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OhridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H07/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A15/10
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/10
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A28/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
18-47
18
47
-29
A18/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H26/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A02/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/12
Prva Liga
81.1Avg total
34.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.943.178.0-8.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.978.9-2.921%-
Last 30 away (16)32.145.177.2-12.912%-
Last 10 (10)34.446.781.1-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)31.246.878.0-15.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.245.977.1-14.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.837.473.2-1.722%-
vs Weaker (3)53.038.791.7+14.3100%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
85.6Avg total
34.3Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.345.884.0-7.524%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.647.185.7-8.629%-
Last 30 away (15)38.044.582.5-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)34.351.385.6-17.00%-
Last 5 (5)33.254.087.2-20.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.946.384.2-8.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ohridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ohrid: 66.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.5
47.2%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.0
25.6%
32.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.1
70.3%
70.3%12.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.5
45.7%
53.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
32.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.013.1
65.5%
70.3%13.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ohrid
LLLLLLLLLW
Vardar
LLLLLWLLLW
#12
League position
#10
-29.6
Net rating
-29.8
87.5
Offensive rating
88.4
117.1
Defensive rating
118.2
44.4%
Effective FG%
45.6%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
22.0%
Turnover %
21.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
25.6%
3-point %
30.4%
51.8%
Assist %
57.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 88.4Defence117.1 · 118.2Shooting44.4% · 45.6%3-point %25.6% · 30.4%Ball care22.0% · 21.2%Off. rebounds25.8% · 22.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Ohrid   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ohrid wins
6
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Vardar v Ohrid90-83
18/05/19Vardar v Ohrid78-70 OT
01/05/19Ohrid v Vardar70-73
23/03/19Vardar v Ohrid76-68
08/12/18Ohrid v Vardar83-80
12/04/17Vardar v Ohrid86-78
25/03/17Ohrid v Vardar65-77
04/03/17Vardar v Ohrid80-93
21/12/16Ohrid v Vardar73-64
Ohridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HCair 203064-74
02/12/23ATFT Skopje75-93
26/11/23HFeniks 201070-92
18/11/23ARabotnicki56-86
11/11/23ATikvesh59-100
03/11/23HMZT Skopje73-98
28/10/23APelister57-97
22/10/23HGostivar64-87
15/10/23AKozuv69-96
07/10/23HFMP Akademija82-66
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
26/11/23APelister74-116
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohrid
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game68.470.666.5
Allowed / game89.083.493.7
Point differential-20.6-12.8-27.2
Avg total157.4154.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game73.976.770.6
Allowed / game95.394.596.2
Point differential-21.4-17.8-25.6
Avg total169.2171.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje1211192%80.865.0+15.8
2 Pelister129375%86.474.4+12.0
3 Tikvesh118373%86.870.4+16.5
4 Rabotnicki128467%83.871.7+12.2
5 Cair 2030117464%84.780.5+4.3
6 TFT Skopje127558%72.069.6+2.4
7 Feniks 2010116555%81.078.6+2.4
8 Gostivar124833%75.883.0-7.2
9 Vardar113827%73.995.3-21.4
10 Kozuv123925%77.178.4-1.3
11 FMP Akademija112918%77.295.3-18.1
12 Ohrid111109%68.489.0-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ohrid2124202489
Vardar1925211681
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